11/03/2016 5:43PM

Mohawk: Saturday 11/5 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,2,9,10/2,4,8/3,5,6/2,8/1,2,9 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,8/1,2,9/1,4,8,10/3,4 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,3,8/2,3,5/2,5,7/8 = $27

MEET STATS: 459 - 1366 / $2396.00  BEST BETS: 72 - 125 / $225.60

SPOT PLAYS: 31 - 125 / $203.20

Best Bet: AVATARIST (11th)

Spot Play: BLAYDE HANOVER (8th)

Race 1

(9) LEAVING A LEGACY has been racing tough every week now goes for the top barn off the claim here. She will be hard to beat probably. (10) CHARMING HILL was a strong second to the choice last time and is a contender here vs. mostly suspect foes but post 10 could be an issue for her. (1) GIA DIAMOND moves inside several posts for her 2nd try at this class after showing some late interest; using. (2) BALINSKA HANOVER is worth a look dropping into claimers and adding Lasix here.

Race 2

(8) SMASH HIT stayed in last week and took a major shuffle. She gets her regular pilot back here and she should be charging late. (4) HILL OF A COLT blew up on a wet track last time and lost all hope. If he stays flat here, he should prove tough to catch. (2) MUSCLE AVE beat a decent group at London last time and has shown he can produce more speed; using. (3) MOONLIGHT COCKTAIL could hang around for a smaller share at a price.

Race 3

(6) EASY LOVER HANOVER may have to change his style with a lot of early speed signed on here, but, he stands a good chance of keeping his win streak going. (5) ALEXAS JACKPOT drops from the top class and is sure to be a threat from close range. (3) JINS SHARK took a new life's mark last time but has now missed more than a month due to a vet scratch; your call. (4) NIRVANA SEELSTER is one of many that may be in search of the front early here which will likely relegate him to a minor award here.

Race 4

(2) ZINGERS LAUGH has really turned it up in his last two starts and Henry sticks here; slight nod. (8) ELECTRIC WESTERN drops and he has had sharper early speed recently which is a sign that a big effort may be coming. (9) PROVEN DESIRE had a nice comeback race and he is capable of showing speed here. (3) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL is an obvious threat on class alone here, but I'll try to beat him - likely at a short price - coming off a vet scratch.

Race 5

(2) RENEGADE MAGIC continues to race well and she should get put into action earlier from an inside post here; top call. (1) MANOFMANYIMAGES had good speed both early and late last time which is one of my favorite bet backs; using. (9) HONOR ABOVE ALL is in top shape and he can take a lot of air and keep coming. He's another that you must have on multi-race tickets. (4) MARQUIS VOLO will likely fill one of the lower exotics rungs here.

Race 6

(4) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ has been sharp on the lead in both of his last two starts. This is not a tough step up; slight nod. (1) HOUSE OF TERROR moves into Moreau's barn after drifting way out down the lane while winning his last start. If Moreau fixes that issue he could be faster here. (8) BELIEVE IN BOB faced much better down south and sharp improvement here would not be a surprise. (10)  COOL ROCK will likely be far back again early, but with a tightener in and the class drop, he should be passing many of these late.

Race 7

(4) BATOUTAHILL continues to roll right along, winning 4 of her last 5. I'm sticking with her here. (3) SAFEKEEPING has a similar profile as the choice and this could come down to a mini-match race between these two in the final 1/4. (8) MIAMI MAGIC is a great one to use for 3rd in your tris, likely at a price, as always. (7) DOTTIE, with 9 slices in 20 starts, is another good one to use on the bottom.

Race 8

(1) BLAYDE HANOVER fell victim to the October 22nd speed-killing bias which could help bring a decent price here; top call. (3) ALL THE COOKIES flew home last time to win. He will be dangerous here from close range. (8) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT could improve sharply here after getting a clean line last time. Toss him in the Pick 4. (7) DREAMY FELLA will be passing horses late for a slice here.

Race 9

(2) YOURE MAJESTIC has been racing well from outer posts for several starts now she moves inside. That post relief could help get her over the top here. (3) LADY PING was closer last time which could be a tell that an even better result is imminent. (5) WANAKA made a big move last time when falling just short. She is another that can take this contentious dash. (9) RAMAS LAST SON raced better last time and he can take a share here, too.

Race 10

(5) MACH CODE set solid fractions on route to a sharp win last week. He can double up in his current sharp form. (2) ARSENIC was a good second to the choice and he has a chance to bridge the gap here if he can land in the pocket at the outset. (7) DARCEE N is one of the best closers in the race and he should be coming late for a share. (1) PRESCOTTS HOPE returns with an eye to a winter campaign and he will likely need this race, but, he could sneak into the exotics.

Race 11

(8) AVATARTIST drops several levels after getting two tighteners in and he will likely be on a speed mission here. (2) LEAFS AND WINGS finally gets a good post which gives him a chance to start better and start his move earlier. (3) MR IRRESISTIBLE is likely to try to sit a trip this time and he can stick around for a share. (1) ASLAN should go better here in his second start back while dropping in class; consider for exotics. (7) SHOCK N ROCK will be near the front early again and he should stick around to make the High-5 ticket, at a minimum.

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