10/06/2016 2:29PM

Mohawk: Saturday 10/8 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 1,2,3,4,8,9/1,4,7,9/5/1/1,4,6,7,8 = $24

EARLY PICK 4: 1/1,4,6,7,8/2,3,4,6/5,9,10 = $60

LATE PICK 4: 1,5,6,7/1,2,5/1,6/4,5,7 = $72

MEET STATS: 402 - 1186 / $2080.30  BEST BETS: 66 - 109 / $205.50

SPOT PLAYS: 24 - 109 / $162.80

Best Bet: ALWAYS A HOTSHOT (4th)


Race 1

(1) SURE FIRED BET gets a much better post for his second start back from a break and should be a big price. He's worth an upset look here in a wide-open race to kick things off. (3) NEW STANDARD looks ready to roll coming back from a break and he should be passing many of these late. (4) MAX IS BACK made a big sustained move last week and almost sprung a big upset; using. (8) REDONKULUS has won close to 50% of his starts. This is a race that needs deep Pick 5 coverage.

Race 2

(7) MARQUIS VOLO drops back to non-winners of three off a good try vs. better. I'll give him the nod here. (4) A ROD HALL will roll by late one of these weeks when he is close enough turning for home; maybe tonight? (9) HONOR ABOVE ALL continues to race well every week. Toss him on the Pick 5 despite the post. (1) IRISH SCOTCH could get another great trip here and he can crack the exotics.

Race 3

(5) LISVINNIE faces much easier here and stands a good chance of controlling things throughout. (6) WALTZKING HANOVER goes to Moreau here off the claim and should be an exotics factor. (2) MR MASSIMO can use his good early speed to get a spot near the front and stick around for a share. (1) SMALLTOWN TERROR couldn't chase down the pocket-sitter last time and may find a couple of these too tough, but he can take a smaller share.

Race 4

(1) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT has been outstanding since returning from a break. He should take his third straight at a puny price here. (6) CRUISE PATROL can get closer to the choice moving in a few posts here; exacta factor. (9) MACH POWER blitzed his rivals on the backside last week. He is in great form now but the choice may be too much for him to handle at this time. (10) BIG PLACE looked good closing quickly at the end of the mile last time. He could crash the exotics at a price here.

Race 5

(4) RUBIS PRESCOTT came close to winning last time in this class. She could get her preferred pocket trip here and notch a rare win. (6) STONEBRIDGE QUEST should get an aggressive drive here and she is most dangerous when racing near the front. (8) VOODOO CHARM took a new life's mark in this class two starts back. Don't discount her chances here. (1) MISS COCO LUCK has been racing well and she could trip out here starting from the inside.

Race 6

(4) CONTINUAL HANOVER made a big move on his way to a win last week. He couldn't be any sharper right now; call to repeat. (3) NOCTURNAL BLUECHIP should lay closer to the pace here which gives him a chance of upsetting. (2) DAYLIGHT RUSH races best on the lead. He could take these a long way if the intent is to take no prisoners. (6) FLAHERTY is good enough to win this if he stays flat but the break last week is concerning.

Race 7

(10) JACK RACKHAM fits well here and he should bring a good price; call to upset. (9) SPORTS AUTHORITY had a brutal trip last time but he may be able to clear these and if he does, he will be tough. (5) SPEEDLING's last was too bad to be true after his life's-best effort two back. Toss his last line. (1) ADORE HIM went a big mile last time taking a ton of air and persevering for the win. Toss him on some Pick 4 tickets.

Race 8

(1) DARCEE N flew home last week despite having missed a month. He can lay closer here and pounce earlier. (5) YORK SEELSTER returns quickly after a sharp win on Tuesday. I'll use him in the late Pick 4. (7) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE paced his back 1/2 in 54 flat last week. He is sharp and dangerous. (6) HIDDEN POTENTIAL has an upset chance here and is likely to get aggressive early.

Race 9

(5) JINS SHARK took a new life's mark in his first start for Menary and there's a good chance he could work out a similar trip here stepping up in class; slight nod. (1) NICKLE BAG has reached peak form and can't be left off the late Pick 4. (2) TRACEUR HANOVER closed like he was shot out of a cannon down the lane last week. He has to prove he can do it vs. better, but that was impressive. (3) ELLIS PARK is a terrific earner but frequently comes up a bit short in this class.

Race 10

(1) NIRVANA SEELSTER drops and should pop here leaving from the innermost post. (6) AMERICAN VIRGIN also faces easier and he should be able to work out a decent trip this time. (7) AUDREYS DREAM flew home last week. Consider him for exotic bets. (5) MAGNUM J is one of several three-year olds in here that are likely prepping for next week's OSS Superfinal. Proceed with caution.

Race 11

(7) SPORTSMANSHIP drops back to a level he should like and I expect him to blast off the gate here. (5) VEGAS ROCKS was the best of the rest vs. a heavy chalk last week. He figures here, too. (4) PRINCE CLYDE won in a similar class two back by controlling the race. He should be prominent throughout here. (2) REGAL SON looks ready to fire a good one coming off a break; consider for Tri, Super and High-5 bets. (1) AKOYA has been hot out of town, but his style conflicts with a couple of others here; minor share predicted.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]