10/03/2013 4:51PM

Mohawk: Saturday 10/5 Analysis

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Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: ELLIS PARK (9th)

Spot Play: MACH PRIDE (2nd)

Race 1

(1) LDEES CREDITREPORT gets the rail and won in this class two starts ago. She has been very good in her last three starts and will get a lot of attention in here. (4) TALBOTCREEK JEWELY draws inside and raced very well last start despite a post 10 start. She finally draws inside and is very versatile.

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Race 2

(6) MACH PRIDE hasn't won yet this season in 15 starts, but has moved into the Auciello barn in recent starts and has improved. He's due and is at a comfortable level to do it at. (4) GEORGE JETTISON has been a different horse this season since the addition of lasix. He has the speed, comes from a top barn and should benefit from an inside trip. (5) DULL ROAR has hit the board in four of is last five starts and comes out of the Gillis barn. He closes well and has a good record this season.

Race 3

(7) WHIPLASH made a miscue last start, but won in this class just two starts ago. He closes very well and if he's not too far back, he's a good option and should provide a fair price. (9) PLANET EARTH draws outside, but comes out of the Johnson barn. He's raced well both times on this circuit in the past few weeks. (6) P L FANTASTIC raced from off a helmet last start and managed to finish third. With a closer trip, he's capable of hitting the board.

Race 4

(3) CLIFF DRUMMOND draws inside and won at this level just two starts ago. He comes out of Moreau's barn and has a good overall record this season. (1) RED BUGLER draws inside and has hit the board in each of his last five starts. He's a logical candidate for the exactor in this class. (6) THATS THE LIFE won at this level last start and remains at the same level. Waples is in the bike and will get a lot of attention.

Race 5

(7) ONTHEMONEYSIDE did most of the work last start on the front before getting picked off at the wire in 1:54 2/5. He comes out of the Blais barn and will likely be the favourite. (3) CROSBY CLAM BAKE won last week in comfortable fashion. He draws inside, comes out of Henriksen's barn and has a good record this season. (5) HAMDALLA has a good record this season and is capable in here. He draws well, races off a helmet and comes from a high percentage barn.

Race 6

(9) ART PROFESSOR hasn't won yet in six starts this season and is due for his first win. He drop in class, has been pacing very credible miles and has a lot of back class. (6) TOP GEAR is a much better horse than he's been showing. He has the speed, gets Waples and draws better. (1) MONTE CRISTO raced off a helmet and has a terrific final quarter in him. If Drury can place him mid-pack, I like his chances at the head of the lane.

Race 7

(9) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE comes out of Moreau's barn, was timed in 1:49 4/5 in his most recent outing and gets major class relief. (7) BAY OF SHARKS comes out of the Johnson barn and hasn't been worse than second in two of his last three starts. He's got back class and should be forwardly-placed off the gate. (10) MAJOR HOTTIE will have to overcome post 10 and won at this level just two starts ago. He also has back class and drops in class.

Race 8

(10) COOL GUY gets Davis, Jr. in the bike and should get an aggressive steer from post 10. He finished third in this class last start and is capable in this class. (4) FALCOR BLUESTONE draws well and made an uncharacteristic break last start. Previous to that, he hit the board in three straight starts. (2) TORNADO TIM draws inside and drops in class. He tends to be very inconsistent, but has the speed and should provide a fair price.

Race 9

(7) ELLIS PARK has a unmatchable closing kick which he has displayed in recent weeks. He paced home in :26 and :26 1/5 respectively. He's at a level where he can win his third straight and likely will be the favourite. (1) CAPTIVE AUDIENCE has a good record this season, draws inside and faces older horses. He has the speed and should benefit from an inside trip. (9) ASLAN has found a new gear since arriving in the O'Sullivan barn and is at a level where he's very competitive. Even with a post 9 start, he's a good choice for the triactor.

Race 10

(1) MODERN LEGEND has faced the sports' top older pacers all season and is a top threat in here. He's had some time off, qualified well and appears ready. (3) UPFRONT HOOSIERBOY is a logical choice to consider in here. He hasn't been worse than second in this class in his last four starts. (5) BESTOFBEST HANOVER comes out of Moreau's barn, has paced five straight sub-1:50 miles and paced home in :25 last start.

Race 11

(3) OCEANVIEW BINDI draws inside and is fresh off a win. She remains at the same level and has been much better in her last two starts. (6) THATLL BE FRANNY finally draws better and is at a level where she should benefit from a good trip. She has a good record this season and likely will offer a decent price. (8) ROBIN CRUISER has raced at a much higher level earlier last month and closed very well last start. She has the speed and is very versatile.

Race 12

(2) GRIN FOR MONEY draws inside and was only beaten by two lengths last start despite finishing fifth. He won in this class two starts ago and likely will offer a low price once again. (9) HARD TO MACH had some time off and qualified very well with a terrific final quarter. He's at the bottom level on this circuit and may surprise. (7) ADKINS HANOVER has a good record this season and hasn't been worse than third in each of his last five starts. He moves onto this circuit and looks like he's capable of dropping multiple seconds.

 

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