10/27/2016 12:02PM

Mohawk: Saturday 10/29 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 3,4/3,4,5/3,4,6,7/2,6,7/3,6 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,6,7/3,6/2,6,7,8/4,8 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 4,5,7/4,7/3,4,6/4,5,9 = $54

MEET STATS: 446 - 1322 / $2325.70  BEST BETS: 70 - 121 / $218.40

SPOT PLAYS: 29 - 121 / $182.30

Best Bet: WHISKEY TAX (8th)

Spot Play: MACH CODE (3rd)

Race 1

(4) RENEGADE MAGIC is on a roll and she seems to be able to win from anywhere right now; call for a three-peat. (3) CLASSIC VENTURE should find these easier and he returns much quicker this time. Toss him on your Pick 5 ticket. (7) MARQUIS VOLO was a good 2nd to the choice last time and he should share racing from off the pace again here. (5) ZAGSTER is another that will be passing horses late here; for a share.


Race 2

(3) EVENIN OF PLEASURE had two strikes against him last week - racing near the lead and on the inside, both of which were impossible spots that night - and he can rebound here. (4) ELLIS PARK continues to race tough every week and he is a main player here again. (5) NICKLE BAG was too far back last time. Expect him to get into action earlier here. (1) ALEXAS JACKPOT predictably was picked off late last week on a night where leaders just couldn't win. He can hang around for a slice here.

Race 3

(6) MACH CODE had a tightener racing near the lead on a speed-killing track last week. He could do much better at a price here. (3) WINDSONG LIGHTNING made two moves to win and he is streaking right now; using. (7) ARSENIC should show speed here from a better post and he is in with an upset chance. (4) FLAHERTY comes off a lifetime-best score and he is another to consider in a race full of possibilities.

Race 4

(2) COOL ROCK was 2nd in a rapid qualifier to a horse that set some big splits and won when entered for a purse. He is worth a try here, possibly at a very good price. (6) ERLE DALE N fell victim to the closer bias last Saturday. He should rebound with a better effort here. (7) HALF A BILLION keeps coming close and he will get there one of these weeks. (1) AUDREYS DREAM should lay closer and pass some of these for a share here.

Race 5

(3) COUNTER STRIKE is as consistent as they come and he should be tough in here racing from close range. (6) VELOCITY DRIVEN gets some class relief here. He should be heard from late. (10) IDOLE DUHARAS had a decent return race but he races best near the lead. He could blast off the gate here, even from this post. (2) REEL figures to sit an inside trip and parlay that into a share here.

Race 6

(2) ITS HUW YOU KNOW should go better this week if the track is kinder to early speed types; call to upset. (8) YOURE MAJESTIC is sharp and has been racing effectively using various styles. Put her on your Pick 4 tickets. (7) GRANA PADANNO made a big move then stopped last week. He can do much better here if he can find some cover. (6) WANAKA can close for a smaller share here.

Race 7

(8) SOUTHWIND GEISHA could upset this group if put into action earlier in a race that screams 'upset' when you look at the past performance page. (4) MAPLELEA drops again and figures on paper, but, she keeps burning money. (3) GRACIES PARADE drops to a class where she fits better and she is another in with a decent chance here. (1) BAROCKEY has been racing great but it's hard to say how she will bounce back from the vet scratch-sick here.

Race 8

(7) WHISKEY TAX looks formidable again here in a somewhat watered down Preferred class. (4) ETRUSCAN HANOVER exploded late last week in an impressive performance, but it was aided by a bias that favored outside closers all night. He is sharp but I wouldn't take a short price here. (5) INTIMIDATE is more likely to take a slice than win here. (6) NAHAR didn't show much last week. A smaller share seems to be his ceiling here.

Race 9

(4) CRUISE PATROL may have been on his way to victory when he broke last week. He can make amends if he stays pacing here. (7) BEYOND DELIGHT - Metro Pace winner - shows up in a strange spot, taking on three and four-year-olds. He is obviously capable, but you have to wonder about intent here. (6) MAYFIELD DUKE had equipment issues last week when distanced. He figures here and should rebound with a better performance. (9) DREAMY FELLA will be passing horses in the back 1/2; toss him on your exotic wagers.

Race 10

(6) EASY LOVER HANOVER could get his preferred trip in the pocket again here and pounce late; come again. (3) WAZZUP WAZZUP drops in class and is sure to be a major factor here.  (4) VEGAS ROCKS moves back up after an aggressive win but he figures here, too. (5) HEZA THRILL should be closing for a minor award this time.

Race 11

(5) REGAL SON was one of few horses to race near the front and stick around at the finish last Saturday. He could carve out a winning pocket trip if he leaves here. (9) SPORTSMANSHIP was full value for his win last time as all but the pocket sitter finished far back. He will have to be caught here. (4) WEATHERLEY made an early wide move on the turn and it paid off last week, but the bias also helped him. He's in with a shot here, but this assignment looks tougher. (2) ELECTRIC WESTERN showed some uncharacteristic early foot last week and hung around. He is sharp and can take a share here. (1) SINGLE WHITE SOCK should take advantage of his good post and grab a slice.

[MEADOWLANDS: Watch & Wager on all 12 Breeders Crown Finals this weekend + plenty of video analysis.]