10/20/2016 3:21PM

Mohawk: Saturday 10/22 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 2,3/3/1,2,4,5,7/1,2,4,7/1,4,5 = $24

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,4,7/1,4,5/1,3/1,6 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,6/2,3,5/1,3,7/1,9 = $54

MEET STATS: 434 - 1280 / $2265.80  BEST BETS: 69 - 117 / $215.70

SPOT PLAYS: 28 - 117 / $179.10

Best Bet: SHAMBALLA (2nd)

Spot Play: DARCEE N (4th)

Race 1

(2) DREAMFAIR MESA had a nightmarish trip last week yet still only lost by less than 3 lengths. He can lay a bit closer here and avoid being parked most of the way; slight nod. (3) JACK RACKHAM is another that can be expected to sit closer to the lead this time, which gives him a much better chance. (5) REDONKULOUS has raced well in every start since shipping east; consider. (6) PERFECT VISTA faces easier here and he should be able to hit the ticket vs. this group.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]

Race 2

(3) SHAMBALLA is hard to go against here exiting the fastest mile in history - which he himself had a big hand in. He should handle these. (1) EVENIN OF PLEASURE will sit his typical good trip here and take a big share. (2) ELLIS PARK will also probably sit a nice following trip and make the ticket. (6) NICKLE BAG can pass a couple of these late for a slice.

Race 3

(5) MURMUR HANOVER drops to face easier here and he should be right there vs. these leaving from a good post. (7) DIA MONDE trotted a 27 2/5 third 1/4 in the Superfinal which took its toll late. He is sharp and dangerous. (2) LADY PING is capable of passing them all on her best day and she is almost always sent off at a good price. (1) NEILS GOLDEN GIRL should carve out a nice following trip here and take a share.

Race 4

(2) DARCEE N paced his own back 1/2 in 53 2/5 last week and still couldn't threaten the winner, who was taking a new life's mark. He should be able to pass most or all of these late if given a reasonable trip. (7) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN drops again and figures, but he needs to avoid going first up. (4) ERLE DALE N won ugly last week, drifting out several lanes down the stretch. I'll play to beat him here. (1) MACH CODE is worth a look coming in off a sharp qualifier. He has raced well off breaks previously.

Race 5

(3) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE should be a bit closer early here, get a solid pace to chase and he should be a square price; slight nod. (4) RISE UP NOW exits a rapid mile where he was on the limb in the second 1/2 with the pace not slowing at all. He can go much better here. (1) DUC DORLEANS is an obvious threat on paper, but how low of a price would you take with him showing a month gap between starts? (6) YORK SEELSTER comes off a sharp win but he will likely find these to be much tougher.

Race 6

(1) CATCH THE DREAM drops, moves inside and stands a good chance to pop here. (3) NAHAR should be right there if he can stay trotting this time. (6) ETRUSCAN HANOVER can get a better trip here and he should be a threat. (8) RUBBER DUCK has been racing well every week for a while. He is another that merits a look and he should bring a good price.

Race 7

(6) BLAYDE HANOVER will likely take a stalking/closing approach here and there should be plenty of speed on early to help his cause; top call. (1) BUDDHA BLUE CHIP figures on the drop but he's missed 5 weeks. Perhaps check how the same trainer does with the #1 horse in race 5 off a similar break. (7) VEGAS ROCKS and (8) AUDREYS DREAM should be winding up from the backfield turning for home and either could get there late if the early pace is fast enough.

Race 8

(1) DREAMY FELLA should beat one or two of these off the gate which will make his task easier this time; top call. (2) MACH POWER had no chance last time when interfered with on the backside. He should rebound here and can take this with a trip. (6) MAYFIELD DUKE is sharp and he gets a better post to work with here; using. (3) BAD GAMER can follow along and take a share, as he usually does.

Race 9

(5) DELIGHTFUL HILL should be a big threat from close range here facing a bit easier. (3) MS MAC N CHEESE looks tough in here too, but she is an infrequent winner that is more apt to take a slice. (2) OUR HOT MAJORETTE may have slowed the pace too much last week which played into the pocket-sitter's hand. She could try to bottom these out this time. (7) STORM POINT should be along late for a share.

Race 10

(1) EASY LOVER HANOVER stands an excellent chance of sitting another perfect pocket trip here so I'll give him the call to repeat. (7) ALEXAS JACKPOT fired a lifetime-best mile last week and he will likely employ the same tactics, but he could set the table for the choice this time around. (3) TRACEUR HANOVER closed like a jet two back to blow by the field like they were all tied to a post in the stretch then raced evenly in the top class. He is another to consider for the late Pick 4. (6) CONTINUAL HANOVER continues to race well and he should grab another share here.

Race 11

(1) SPINFINITI has raced well in both starts here and he should get a good trip here; slight nod in a tough finale. (9) SHADOW MARGEAUX is worth a look at a price here going for Puddy for the first time. (3) SINGLE WHITE SOCK should appreciate the slight class drop and make the ticket here. (4) DIALAMARA will be an early pace presence and he could stick around if he gets a breather at some point. (10) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL figures in this class but post 10 will likely relegate him to a smaller award.

[MEADOWLANDS: Watch & Wager on all 18 Breeders Crown elimination races this weekend.]