10/13/2016 3:29PM

Mohawk: Saturday 10/15 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,4/3,4,8/4/1/5,6,8,9,10 = $6

EARLY PICK 4: 1/5,6,8,9,10/4/1,5,6,7,8 = $25

LATE PICK 4: 3,5/1,4/10/2 = $4

MEET STATS: 420 - 1238 / $2180.20  BEST BETS: 69 - 114 / $215.70

SPOT PLAYS: 26 - 113 / $171.60

Best Bet: ALWAYS A HOTSHOT (11th)

Spot Play: AINT THREE OK (5th)

Race 1

(4) NICKLE BAG gets Henry back and he can get back on track here with an aggressive steer. (2) ELLIS PARK was an easy and powerful winner last week and he is a big threat to repeat here. (5) EVENIN OF PLEASURE seems to have lost a step the past few starts but he should make the ticket anyway. (6) NEXT THING SMOKEN has some good lines from Hoosier, but these are tougher; minor share predicted.

Race 2

(3) MASS PRODUCTION comes off a lifetime-best performance which if duplicated would make him very tough to beat here; top call. (4) TYCOON SEELSTER is capable of leaving much better and the inside post here gives him a shot at the upset. (8) MISTER MUSCLE fires home quickly every start; consider for exotics. (1) LIFE WELL LIVED had a useful tightener for this lucrative Superfinal. He can sit a good trip near the front here and take a share.

Race 3

(4) L A DELIGHT is the class of this group and she should make it look easy here at a very short price. (1) PARTY IN ROME was nailed late by a very sharp rival last week. She should take a big slice here. (2) BAD AS LEADER beat some Preferred type older mares last time which is no easy feat for a sophomore filly. Give her a long look for exacta and trifecta bets. (3) BOURBON SEELSTER can sit a good trip on cover and pass a few late for a share.

Race 4

(1) ON A SUNNY DAY holds a major post advantage over her main rival (10) MAGIC PRESTO. I would expect the former to force the latter to take a seat early here and that could turn out to be the difference. (9) WINTER SWEET FROST rarely misses the board and her good tactical speed should enable her to get a good stalking spot early. (6) HOLIDAY PROMISE is one of the best closers in here. She will be passing rivals late in the mile. (Note: MAGIC PRESTO is scratched)

Race 5

(5) AINT THREE OK keeps grinding out first-over wins. If she can find a live helmet to follow here, she could be even tougher. (9) BLAMEITONTHENIGHT is in sharp form and she picks up Tetrick here; using. (10) ACTION MAJESTY is one of the best fillies in here, but the 10-hole could lead to her undoing. (6) FADE figures to sit a nice trip near the front. She has some upset possibilities.

Race 6

(4) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN gets to race in a much easier spot this week and he can wake up with a big effort here. (6) ASAP HANOVER is better racing with a closing style. He can spring an upset here with the right trip. (5) EASY LOVER HANOVER is in sharp form and is another to consider for Pick 4 bets racing from close range likely. (2) ANDREIOS KARDIA shows some big trips south of the border. He isn't out of this but he may need a race over the track.

Race 7

(5) TONY SOPRANO may be getting good again at the perfect time and he picks up Campbell here; call to upset. (1) DIA MONDE made two moves when beating the choice last time and taking a new life's mark. He's a top contender here along with (7) MUSCLE HUSTLE, who only three starts back set a Canadian record at Georgian. (8) BEE IN CHARGE could be much better here returning to a 7-day cycle. Keep him in mind, especially if he is ignored in the wagering.

Race 8

(3) CAPRICE HILL was freshened after suffering a disastrous trip in the Elegant Image final. She picks up Tetrick for this and she can get back on track. (6) FLOWERS N SONGS is incredibly consistent and she should be the choice's main rival here. (4) ROYAL CHARM will be poised to strike at the head of the lane if the pace is slowing at all; consider. (5) EMOTICON HANOVER can race near the front and stick around for a smaller share here.

Race 9

(4) STREAKAVANA is sure to be rolled early here by Filion and he will be tough to overhaul. (1) MACHIN A TRICK comes off an impressive score and he continues to improve; using. (8) SOUTHWIND GENERAL will likely be an early threat but is unlikely to stick around for more than a minor share. (2) CALVIN K can get a much better trip here and can crack the exotics at a price.

Race 10

(10) BETTING LINE shouldn't have much trouble here despite leaving from the outermost post. (1) MAGNUM J can use the rail to sit a great trip and complete the exacta. (8) SINTRA was sharp last week chasing his elders. He should make the ticket in what could be a Tri that pays less than $10. (6) GERRIES SPORT has raced against older three straight times which has darkened his form a bit. Consider an exacta bet with him second if it is paying decently.

Race 11

(2) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT continues to roll through his conditions impressively and he should take another here. (7) BLAYDE HANOVER was tough in defeat to the choice last time. He can complete the exacta again here. (6) FLAHERTY could threaten if he can get a slightly easier trip than last time when he was on the rim for a long time. (5) POISONOUS will likely employ a closing style here and pass a few late.

Race 12

(4) CONTINUAL HANOVER has been razor-sharp for weeks and it seems he wins from anywhere. I'll give him the nod again. (5) DARCEE N closed off excess over into a slowing pace to win last week. He could have further improvement coming here in his third start over the track. (3) AUDREYS DREAM figures in this class and he may get motivated earlier from the improved post. (7) SHADOW PLACE gets his regular driver back here. Expect improvement. (9) VEGAS ROCKS steps up off a big win but these are much tougher. He can close for a smaller slice.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Watch the $1,000,000 International Trot, Wiggle It Jiggleit and Bee A Magician LIVE on Saturday afternoon.]