09/07/2013 5:00PM

Mohawk: Monday 9/9 Analysis


Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: SLIP INTO GLIDE (6th)

Spot Play: GRIN FOR MONEY (12th)

Race 1

(5) LUCK IS ALL INEED is fresh off a victory, comes out of the McNair barn and is the richest horse in this field. (7) DONTCHEATONMENOW won impressively two starts ago on this circuit at high odds. He comes from a good trotting barn and is versatile. (2) NICKANGE TWO draws inside and has a good record this season. If she minds her manners, she's a top threat.

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Race 2

(9) DRAVEN SEELSTER is due for her first career win. She's in a class where she's very capable and comes from top connections. (6) WHAT I BELIEVE qualified well and comes out of the Blair barn, which has been terrific in 2013. He might offer a fair price. (8) DANCIN HILL comes from Alagna's barn and raced well last start with a :26 3/5 final quarter. He'll have to mind his manners.

Race 3

(2) SAMIRA HANOVER draws inside and posted a good qualifying effort in her latest. She's a quality filly and very capable in here, but will have to mind her manners. (1) ROCK OF CASHEL draws inside and has a good record this season despite winless. He enjoys racing from behind and very capable in this class. (6) HOBSONS CHOICE drops down in class after finishing third at a higher level last week. He's also winless this season, but a good option for the triactor.

Race 4

(5) STONEBRIDGE MYSTIC has had nine starts this season and is due for her first win. She's capable, versatile and gets McNair in the bike. (6) HIPPIE CHIC doesn't like to win, but has hit the board in two of her last three starts. She comes from a high percentage trainer and likely will be put into play early. (3) MISS POPPYCOCK was recently timed in 1:52 3/5 with a :26 2/5 final frame. She draws inside and shows the speed for this level.

Race 5

(9) WESTERN EMPRESS has won two straight and gets the McIntosh/Waples combination. She has gate speed and likely won't offer a price. (4) CAMS MACHARENA came first-over last start and that's not her strong suit. She draws well again, is very versatile and comes from the O'Sullivan barn. (3) KIMS ROYAL DAY has terrific gate-speed, but didn't get the best trip last start. With a cleaner effort, she's a threat in this class.

Race 6

(5) SLIP INTO GLIDE gets class relief and will draw a lot of attention while at this level. He raced in the Preferred just three starts ago. (8) CHINA PEARLS has trotted home in sub-:28 in each of her last three starts. If she's within striking range turning for home, I like her chances. (2) MAJESTIC TAGLET draws inside and has finished first and second in her last two starts. She draws inside and is a good option for the triactor.

Race 7

(5) BETIT TO GETIT has a terrific win percentage this season and comes from top connections. She draws well and enjoys being put in the race. Expect her to be the favourite. (3) MACH IT A PAR draws inside and remains unbeaten in four career starts. (2) MATTYS BIG DAY has missed the board just twice from 13 starts this season. She's very consistent and comes out of the Johnson barn.

Race 8

(6) D GS CAMMIE has paced a pair of sub-1:52 miles and is the freshest horse in the field. He's coming into this race in great form, draws well and has a good closing kick. (10) SEA HARRIER found the winners circle last start, but will have to overcome post 10. he doesn't have the best gate-speed, which is a concern, but has a terrific closing quarter. (7) ANDWIN HANOVER has won two of his last three starts and is a good option in here. He didn't put forth the best effort last week and will look for a rebound performance.

Race 9

(2) KNOWS NOTHING did all the work on the front last start en route to victory. He took no prisoners and even though he moves up in class, he can handle this group. (7) WATKINS drops out of the Preferred and is a 'must have' on the exactor ticket. He's got a solid record this season and comes out of the Moreau barn. (8) DANCEHALL MISTRESS comes out of the Maxwell barn and has hit the board in three of her last four starts. She's versatile and has a very good record here in 2013.

Race 10

(1) COUGAR HALL best major post relief and remains relatively at the same level as last week. He comes out of the Gillis barn, has tremendous gate-speed along with a good winning record this season. (8) BLUE CHIP SUNSHINE got a beautiful trip last week from Davis, Jr. and the same tactics may be applied once again. He has been much better in recent weeks. (9) AHDOUGHNOLUM enjoys leaving the gate and has proven to be competitive in this class. He should offer a fair price and is worth a look.

Race 11

(9) MISS MACHQUEEN comes out of the O'Sullivan barn and hasn't missed the top three in each of her last three starts. She has a good record this season and is very capable in here. (2) PANSTAKINGLY has finished second in four of her last five starts. She has proven to be very competitive in this class. (6) BAD FEELING comes out of the Gillis barn and usually provides a price. She's reunited with Jamieson, which is never a bad thing.

Race 12

This is a wide-open field, but (4) GRIN FOR MONEY draws well and has paced a pair of sub-1:51 miles as of late. He's closes very well and that sets him up well in here. (2) JUST CROWNED gets post two and is fresh off a victory. The horse is coming into this race with confidence and has a good record in 2013. (1) THATS THE LIFE gets the rail and comes out of Puddy's barn. He'll need a trip, but is capable of hitting the triactor ticket.






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