09/03/2016 2:55PM

Mohawk: Monday 9/5 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,5,6,7/1,4,8/1,3,7/1,4,9/1,7 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,9/1,7/2,4,6/3,4 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 3,4/2,4,8/5,6,9/1,2,9 = $54

MEET STATS: 320 - 949 / $1663.60  BEST BETS: 53 - 88 / $168.80

SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 88 / $119.10

Best Bet: CZAR SEELSTER (7th)

Spot Play: EXEMPLAR (5th)

Race 1

(1) RESITA passed a couple of horses in an accelerating second half in his debut. He can go forward off that trip and he should be closer early here. (6) WARAWEE SHIPSHAPE couldn't handle the Gold class, but he was an easy winner the last time he was in a Grassroots race. He's an obvious contender. (7) KITARRO has also done well in Grassroots company and is worth a look here. (5) RADICAL ROAD showed something for the first time last start and he is another to consider for Pick 5 bets.

Race 2

(8) TOM HILL keeps pacing home in 26 and change but is never close enough to a quickening pace to capitalize. Perhaps he makes his move earlier this time; slight nod. (1) BAZINGA BRAD merits consideration switching to the Johnson barn here. (4) KINGSLEY B has hit his best stride recently and shouldn't be overlooked in this spot. (6) ALL THE COOKIES went a bit too fast early last time and tired late as a result. He can be closer here off a different trip.

Race 3

(1) HEAD TURNING JAG passed most of the field last time to break his maiden. He would be tough here if he can duplicate the late speed that he produced in that effort. (7) SANTINI has two blowout wins in the Grassroots class and looks like the one to beat here. (3) YO YO MASS rode the choice's cover and almost caught him last time. He's worth a look off his improving form here. (6) MY BIG KADILLAC is capable of hitting the board if he stays trotting.

Race 4

(1) SNAPPY DRESSER moves inside off two good efforts and she should be right there vs. these. (4) PERFECT CENTS - a $50K Harrisburg buy - goes for the hottest trainer on the grounds for her debut; using. (9) TEARFUL OF HAPPY showed improvement in two Georgian starts. She's worth a look at a price. (10) HEY MOMMA ROCK ME showed promise in her debut but now draws worse; minor share is likely here.

Race 5

(1) EXEMPLAR meets a field with plenty of early speed signed on. I could see him blowing by the leaders at the tote board here. (7) WINDSUN REVENGE was an easy winner off a break and this step up isn't that great for him; using. (2) RENEGADE MAGIC went a big trip to win last time. She is in great form and should be on the board again. (4) SASS is capable, but may also be warming up for a $105K OSS Gold race. A smaller share is likely here.

Race 6

(4) MORE THAN MAJESTIC trotted a big mile on the rim to win last time and now he picks up hot driver Macdonald; slight nod despite missing some time. (2) ZORGWIJK ROCKET doesn't miss the board in these Grassroots races; using. (6) TOUGHER THAN EVER goes for Henriksen here for the first time off a decent qualifier. Toss him on Pick 4 tickets. (1) WILLIE WONKA will likely get an inside following trip here and take a share.

Race 7

(4) CZAR SEELSTER shipped in and raced in this class on June 20th and he was a powerful winner that night. I'm thinking history repeats here. (3) CS EYE has been facing much better in his last few starts. He should be close here. (8) SPORTSMANSHIP stopped at even money in this class last week. Expect different tactics here. I see him closing for a piece of it. (7) SPORTS LIGHTNING is another that can pass horses late for a share.

Race 8

(2) CLASSIC VENTURE raced well from the outermost post last time now he moves inside; top call. (8) MARQUIS VOLO hinted at a return to form last week when he raced better than he did in his comeback race; using. (4) DUNVEGAN DON was less than two lengths back in a Canadian Record mile last time. He's worth a look here. (3) A ROD HALL really had no excuse last time other than the race simply went too fast. He fits here and should share.

Race 9

(6) CATCH THE DREAM has been powering home with a big finishing kick every start. He can mow these down late. (9) HARPER BLUE CHIP is getting closer and will pop one of these weeks. (5) O NARUTAC PERFETTO faces easier here and he should close for a share. (2) INTIMIDATE is sure to be bet off the board here on the class drop, but he has missed five weeks. Considering he has one win in over two years and is sure to be less than even money, that isn't the profile of a smart wager. I'll try to beat him.

Race 10

(2) VINTAGE BABE made two moves to win last time in this class and can probably generate more speed here if needed. I'll give her the nod here but there are several possibilities. (9) RIGHT STUFF raced well in a stake at Tioga and she will rightfully take plenty of action here; using. (1) DANISH N COFFEE has finished close in this class before and the inside post could lead to a great trip. (4) BUTTERMILK HANOVER won in this class off a great trip two back. She can close for a smaller share here. (7) CHARMING HILL should get a good spot near the front early and stick around for a piece.

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