09/21/2013 5:06PM

Mohawk: Monday 9/23 Analysis


Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: ELLIS PARK (10th)

Spot Play: JDS CALEB MAN (4th)

Race 1

(3) RUTHERFORD LASS draws inside, is fresh off a win and comes out of the Henry barn. He has terrific gate-speed, which makes me like him even more. (8) RAMAS LAST SON came from behind last start en route to victory. He continues to improve and may offer a price. (9) AVENTURE has hit the board in three of his last four starts. He minds his manners and is versatile.

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Race 2

(10) TWIN B TENACIOUS comes out of the Coleman barn, which will lower his price. He raced very well in his career debut and should benefit off that. (3) SAN O WAR draws well and was timed in 1:54 4/5 last start. He came first-over and a cleaner trip makes him a top threat. (2) MACH MY POINT will begin from post two and has posted a pair of terrific final quarters. He's a longshot, but I think he's capable.

Race 3

(7) SEEUINTHESPRING didn't get the best trip last start considering her odds. She got away too far back, but gets the elder MacDonald back in the bike. (5) JUST MAKE BELIEVE moves into the Moreau barn and that's the main reason for my selection. He has a terrific reputation for first time starters and this horse has been very consistent as of late. (3) WILL TO DO hasn't missed the board in each of her last four starts. He's been very competitive in this class and a good option for third.

Race 4

(1) JDS CALEB MAN gets major post relief and drops in class. He has the speed along with a terrific win percentage this season. (6) BARE NECESSITY was jammed into the bottom claimer and found the wire first as expected. He moves up in class, but shouldn't get overlooked. (8) THE DEPUTY IS HOME did most of the work last start before tiring in deep stretch. He was timed in 1:51 4/5 and is a good option once again.

Race 5

(9) SPECIAL JACKPOT comes out of the Coleman barn and posted a solid qualifying effort. He's well-bred and likely won’t offer a price. (6) MEETYOUATMIDNIGHT comes out of the Gillis barn and qualified very well. He used a solid final frame and gets Jamieson in the bike. (3) ROYAL ASHTON draws inside and has hit the board in four of her last five starts. He raced from behind and shouldn't get away too far back.

Race 6

(3) SMOKIN BEAR drops in class and draws much better. He's been racing a lot better as of late and should benefit on the class drop. (2) LIFEIMITTATESART draws inside and has been pacing home very strong in recent weeks. He should benefit from a cleaner trip and not get away too far back. (5) ANNUITY finished third in this class last week and was timed in 1:50 3/5. A repeat effort makes him a contender.

Race 7

(1) SMARTY PANTS raced very well last start for first time trainer Moreau. She draws inside in here and likely won't offer much of a price. (10) KNOWS NOTHING will have to overcome post 10, but he drops in class and is a top threat. He comes from top connections, but can be inconsistent at times. (6) TAKE MY PICTURE is a good option for the triactor. He drops in class and went a tough mile last start.

Race 8

(5) GRIN FOR MONEY was the heavy favourite last week and didn't disappoint. He draws well once again, has a good win record and likely will be the betting choice. (8) MANCHESTER HANOVER overcame post 10 last start and closed very well to finish third. He used a :27 final frame and that sets him up well in here. (10) LUCKY TERROR has won two straight and certainly has the speed for this level. He'll likely provide a price and gets Jamieson.

Race 9

(9) KASHS CAVIAR moves into the Johnson barn and that's the main reason for my selection. (8) CHINA PEARLS hasn't won yet this season, but continues to race well. She raced strong last week to finish second in this class and once again is a good option for the exactor. (5) STRIKING LINDSEY has hit the board in three of his last four starts. He comes out of McNair's barn and is very versatile.

Race 10

(8) ELLIS PARK has won two of his last three and has been winning impressively. He'll likely be the favourite in here. (6) COUGAR HALL has won three of his last four and has a terrific record in 2013. He draws well and enjoys being put into the race. (5) EVENIN OF PLEASURE returns to the Moreau barn and is a good option in here. He's versatile and capable of dropping seconds.

Race 11

(3) R LIL KING has been racing very consistently in his last five starts. He has a terrific record this season and closed very well last start from an outside post. (7) CHASIN JIFFY moves into the Montini barn and that's the main reason for my selection. (5) FRESH HERB has won two straight and moves up in class. He's capable, but will need a trip.

Race 12

(7) JETTINS DRAGON has won three straight and likely will be the favourite in here. He moves up in class, but comes out of Johnson's barn. (10) DAVIDS DREAM won last week and moves up in class. He has terrific gate-speed and will have to use it from post 10. (3) TALBOTCREEK ARMANI draws inside and has been racing much better in recent weeks. He'll likely get put into the race and should offer a fair price.

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