09/14/2013 4:37PM

Mohawk: Monday 9/16 Analysis


Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: E L TITAN (1st)

Spot Play: HES A SENSATION (12th)

Race 1

(2) E L TITAN has started off his career in fine form. He finished second to Father Patrick last start, timed in 1:55. He's the horse to beat in here. (9) A SUNDAE ON SUNDAY comes out of the Peaceful Way and into this class. She comes out of the Jones barn and has the speed. (3) MISS AULTSVILLE has the most money earned in this field and draws well. She's versatile and has raced very well this season.

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Race 2

(7) MELMERBY BEACH put in a punishing effort to win his career debut last start. He moves up in class, is versatile and has lots more to offer. (6) SURPRISE HANOVER has put in four straight sub-1:53 efforts and that should be quick enough in here. He faces an easier group along with a short field. (4) SOMEWHERE FANCY has won two of three career starts and continues to improve. He closes well and should benefit from post four.

Race 3

(5) MAGICAL POCKETS won at this level last week and has won four straight. He has a good record this season and enjoys leaving the gate. (3) PRETTY BOY did most of the work on the front last start en route to victory. He draws inside and will likely get his gate-speed utilized. (7) WINBAK BLONDIE closed well last start to finish fourth. If she's better placed off the gate, she's capable and should offer higher odds.

Race 4

(4) J JETSTAR hasn't won in 15 starts this season, but raced very well last week. He closed well with a :27 final quarter and gets Jamieson again in the bike. (2) HOPIESDRAGNINTHEDO draws inside and has been knocking on the door in his last number of starts. He races at his best when he's involved early and should get that with MacDonald in the bike. (8) ZARK moves into the Vrablic barn, which is an angle I'm going to play. This horse has the speed, but maybe needed a change of scenery.

Race 5

(8) WHATA DONATO likely will be the favourite in here. She has a terrific record this season, comes from top connections and is fresh off two straight wins. (9) MASSIVE MAN closed very well last start and continues to improve this season. He comes out of Alagna's barn and gets Zeron in the bike. (6) STONEBRIDGE CATCH has hit the board in each of his last five starts. She moves onto this circuit and is a good option for the triactor.

Race 6

(2) RED BUGLER draws inside and is due for his first win of 2013. He's been closing very strong and finally draws inside. (7) LIFEIMITTATESART drops in class and this level is better suited for him. His final quarters have been terrific and hopefully he's not too far back. (4) ROCK THE WIND is very inconsistent, but raced very well last start. He draws better and should be better placed.

Race 7

(2) DAPPER DENZIL has been a successful claim so far for trainer Fellows. The horse has won two straight, draws inside and remains at the same level. (5) AMBLE OVER HANOVER has terrific gate-speed and draws better. He won two starts back and comes out of the McMaster barn. (8) JUDGE JON came first-over last week and that wasn't hit best stride. He enjoys being put in the race and is a contender with a clean trip.

Race 8

(8) BLUE CHIP SUNSHINE has finished first and second in his last two starts and has been rounding into form. He has the gate-speed and is a top threat at this level. (9) ROCKNROLL HARMONY has hit the board in four of his last five starts and comes out of McMaster's barn. He has a terrific final quarter and hopefully isn't too far back. (2) POINTSMAN draws post two and was timed in 1:51 3/5 two starts ago. He'll need an inside trip and should provide a fair price.

Race 9

(10) INTIMIDATE set a Vernon Downs track record in his latest and raced tremendous in that effort. Right now, he's probably the sports' top older trotter. (1) SMARTY PANTS moves into the Moreau barn, which is the main reason for my selection. (6) WINDSONG GEANT raced very well in his return. He's a quality horse and should be even better in his second start.

Race 10

(5) TWIN B TENACIOUS comes out of the Coleman barn and finally put a clean qualifying line together. Drury will be at the helm and if he can mind his manners, he has the speed. (8) AROCKALYPSE NOW will make his third career start and gets Jamieson back in the bike. He's displayed the speed, but will need a trip. (9) BEACH BLAST was been timed in 1:54 3/5 in his last two starts and moves into the Lawrence barn. He has gate-speed and I hope that gets used.

Race 11

(3) ZEUS LIGHTNING draws inside and won at this level two starts ago. He drops back down and has a lot of back class. (5) SCARY GOOD has hit the board in his last four of five starts. He's winless this season from 14 starts, but is a good option for the exactor. (6) FALCOR BLUESTONE has been very consistent in recent weeks. He finished second in this class last week and benefits from a good post.

Race 12

(4) HES A SENSATION dropped significant time in his latest, which resulted in a lifetime best. Don't expect to see a price. (7) JETTINS DRAGON comes out of the Johnson barn and has won two straight in this class. He'll likely be the favourite, but we'll try and get him beat. (9) ONE STOP DEAL has been very consistent in his last five starts. He has gate-speed and will have to overcome post nine. I don't think he can win from post nine, but is a 'must have' on the triactor ticket.


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