08/27/2016 4:27PM

Mohawk: Monday 8/29 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 2,6,8/3,7,8/5,6,9/1,4,8/6,7 = $32.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,8/6,7,9/4,8/5,7 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 5,7/1,3,4,7/3,4,8/7,9 = $48

MEET STATS: 306 - 894 / $1591.40 BEST BETS: 52 - 83 / $166.60 

SPOT PLAYS: 19 - 83 / $108.60

Best Bet: SPORTSMANSHIP (10th)

Spot Play: TIGERS WAY (2nd)

Race 1

(6) NORTHERN OATH closed well in a promising debut. She should be able to build off that mile and looks like one of the top contenders in this field. (2) MAGIC MADDY faces straight maidens for the first time and she adds trotting hopples. She will likely take lots of action, but should be used on Pick 5 tickets at a minimum. (8) LADY GREY picks up McNair here which could mean an aggressive steer is forthcoming. (4) HUDSONS YA YA can pass some of these late and take a smaller share.

Race 2

(8) TIGERS WAY has raced well in each Grassroots race to date. He'll  break through with his first win soon; maybe tonight at a price? (7) TRIDENT SEELSTER should get good position early here and he is another that should take his maiden win soon. (3) MC MACH took a Grassroots win at Georgian two back and he should be a pace factor here if he can stay pacing. (2) TREMENDOUS PLAY hasn't missed the board yet, but missing time will likely relegate him to a minor award here.

Race 3

(6) THE ERM escapes impressive rival Dream Together here and this filly should be prominent throughout here. (5) P C PIPE DREAM gets a big driver switch here; beware. (9) STORMONT ROYALTY gets class relief here. Don't be surprised if Zeron blasts off early here. (7) LATE SHIFT - five for five in the money so far - is another to consider in this contentious Pick 5 leg. Driver Macdonald had a big night here on Thursday.

Race 4

(1) JUST TOO SPOILED made up a lot of ground early in the stretch with an impressive burst last week. Moving inside she should get put into the flow early here. (8) GATEWAY TO VICTORY should be right there if she stays flat here. (4) STONEBRIDGE SUNDAE fits well here and should be heard from. (3) TODAYS SPORTS should be contentious with the move inside and she is another to consider for multi-race tickets.

Race 5

(7) STORMONT VICEROY set some wildly fast fractions for this class last week and he was understandably winded by the time he hit the stretch. Filion sticks with him and will probably work out a better trip this time. (6) NORTHERN MAJOR was almost a winner last time he raced vs. similar several starts back; using at a price. (9) PARKHILL MAVERICK is capable of entering contention but his gait issues make him risky. (4) WEVE HAD ENOUGH seems likely to take a minor share here.

Race 6

(4) LIL PIECEOFHEAVEN raced well from an outer post vs. a dominant winner last time. She looks like one of the main threats here. (8) ACTIVE LADY stands a decent chance here if she is sent hard off the gate, but that part of the equation isn't a given. (3) TWENTY THREE RED should get good position early but is likely to stick around only for a smaller share. (1) MORE THAN MANY can follow along here and close for a spot on the Super ticket.

Race 7

(5) DREAMFAIR B J paced his back 1/2 in 54 4/5 for Henry in his August 23rd qualifier and that teamster sticks here; top call. (7) BET ON BRETT did all the work last week and led for every step except the last one. He is a must-use on Pick 4 tickets. (3) ONE SOURCE races best for Filion, but he needs a better trip than he got last time at Grand River. (1) ASTON HILL DAVE looks like one of the best in here on paper, but I will take a stand against with him having missed four weeks.

Race 8

(4) SILVERINYOURPOCKET hasn't lost in Grassroots races to date and he should be mighty tough in here, too. (1) LINDY THE KID made a huge move down the backstretch in his debut and almost sustained it to the wire. He has some upside; using. (7) DOWN ON MY LUCK used inside posts on smaller tracks to full advantage in his last two. He isn't out of this, but the waters get deeper here. (3) TYMAL PEACEMAKER fits better here and is another to consider for Pick 4 bets.

Race 9

(3) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU has a good post from which she will likely try to control things here; slight nod. (8) FOREVER LIZA is probably the best filly in here, but it's possible she could be closing from far back and her rally may fall short. (4) FREE SHOW should work out a good trip near the front and is in with a decent shot to convert that trip into a win. (6) BERNADETTE never misses a check but she can't seem to manage to hit the wire first.

Race 10

(7) SPORTSMANSHIP dives to the bottom off the conditioned ranks here. I would expect he will be put into this race earlier than he has been most nights. (9) SILVERHILL SHADOW also faces his easiest test yet and should be in the thick of things here. (5) GALLAGHER SEELSTER almost pulled off a big upset last week. He's worth a look off the aggressive approach he took in that mile. (6) RAYLEN GIVENS may be starting to turn his form around. He could sneak into the picture here. (1) B N BAD should turn a following trip into a minor share here.

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