08/21/2015 5:01PM

Mohawk: Monday 8/24 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


3,5,6,7,9/3,4,6,10/4,6/1 = $40


LATE PICK 4: 5,6/1,4,5,7/1,8/3,6,7 = $48

MEET STATS: 243 - 801 / $1397.40 BEST BETS: 33 - 72 / $110.60

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 69 / $73.10


Spot Play: WHERE ARE WE (5th)

Race 1

(1) BUTTERMILK HANOVER used a :27 flat third 1/4 brush to get into contention last week then parlayed that move into a maiden-breaking win. This filly has some upside; call to repeat. (9) BOURBON SEELSTER is 2 for 3 her only loss coming in a Battle of the Belles elimination. She fits here and can be placed anywhere it seems. (3) DANCIN IN THE NUDE should be a threat from up near the pace here.

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Race 2

(2) HEMI SEELSTER went out too fast early last time and tired late. In this conditioned event - which some use as “tighteners” for OSS races - he is likely to be allowed to set a leisurely pace; top call. (5) DON'T RUSH is capable, obviously, but seems to save his best for the OSS Gold dashes. I wouldn't take a short win price on him here. (6) MADMAN HALL grabs a check just about every week and should share here, too.

Race 3

(6) GOOD WILL HANOVER was an impressive maiden-breaker last Monday and will be tough here at a short price. (1) GLORIOUS DELIGHT came home fast on a track rated one second slow and is getting closer to that initial win; using. (7) BAD LIGHTNING raced okay at Clinton chasing a slow pace and can improve here at a better price than she was that day.

Race 4

(6) BURNIN MONEY couldn't fish out any cover last week and was forced first up which isn't his trip. He gets a lukewarm call in this wide-open start to the early pick 4. (5) SEAWIND PASCALE raced better last week chasing a strong winner. She's in with a decent shot here. (9) PAPER BACKED LINDY moves into Zeron's barn which could be significant. Toss him on your pick 4 ticket.

Race 5

(3) WHERE ARE WE tried to go down the road last week but was pacing much too fast early and tired as a result. She can rebound here with a more patient drive. (10) P L JASMINE has won two straight impressively and shouldn't be underestimated, even from post 10. (4) SPORTS EXPERT had some gait issues the past two but is definitely fast enough to contend if she behaves.

Race 6

(6) WHITE BECOMES HER tried the very best at The Meadowlands last time and wasn't that far off bringing home a check. She fits much better here and gets top billing. (4) MEGO MOSS took some action at the windows last time when coming off a layoff and was a decent third. If he is rounding back to his best form he can beat these. (5) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS was a solid winner a class lower and can't be discounted here.

Race 7

(1) MAYHEM SEELSTER made a strong move to the lead down the backside last week but came under immediate pressure. She did well to re-rally but couldn't catch a tripped-out winner. She looks tough here. (6) JIMMYS LITTLE GIRL recovered nicely from an early miscue at Clinton and likely won't be a maiden much longer. (5) NO SHADOWS is consistent but was no match for the choice two back; minor share predicted.

Race 8

(5) MISS PRINT faced better in the Whenuwishuponastar series and should be prominent here if she doesn't repeat the breaking episode from last time out. (6) BAD IN PARADISE was a solid winner last week and should be included on late pick 4 tickets. (8) ENDLESS LEGACY was a clear second vs. an impressive debut winner and is getting closer to a win.

Race 9

(7) CATCH THE DREAM was rallying widest and strongest vs. a very sharp winner last week and should be prominent here late. (1) SLIP INTO GLIDE drops from the top class and draws well; he's the one to knock off. (5) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR has raced well in these classes recently and is another threat in a very competitive race.

Race 10

(1) ICTHELIGHT HANOVER closed a big gap late despite missing a month. You'd have to think she'll be sharper coming back in a week and she should sit much closer here early; top call. (8) TEMPUS SEELSTER won an elimination of the Battle of the Belles then suffered interference in the final which cost her a shot at a check. She should be prominent throughout here. (2) SOUTHWIND SHANIA can threaten here if she doesn't leave her move too late.

Race 11

(3) SURPRISE HANOVER showed big improvement the first time McNair drove. This isn't the toughest spot; call to upset. (6) JUSTALITTLELUCK has raced well in his last two in quick miles out of town and is in with a good shot here, (7) LIFEIMITATESART takes a class drop and no doubt will be on “go” but is suspect for the win at a short price. (4) FRIDAYNIGHTFLIGHT has some early speed to offer and could trip out here. (1) OLDFRIENDSKENTUCKY likely leaves hard then takes cover here. He could stick around for a slice.

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