08/19/2016 4:50PM

Mohawk: Monday 8/22 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 3/2,5,6/5,6,7,8/4,5,9/4,5,8 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 4,5,9/4,5,8/1,4,5,6,7/7 = $45

LATE PICK 4: 7/1,5,6/5/1,2,3,4,8 = $15

MEET STATS: 290 - 842 / $1520.30  BEST BETS: 49 - 78 / $158.50

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 78 / $86.60

Best Bet: P L KAHLUAA (9th)

Spot Play: TREASURES PEARL (5th)

Race 1

(3) THE MUSCLE TOUCH - 0 for 18 at this point - will not find an easier spot to break his maiden than this. It's now or never, it seems. (7) STORMONT VICEROY was sensational in his August 12th qualifier but he has had issues staying flat when racing for money. If he can trot the whole way here he should be a threat. (9) WEVE HAD ENOUGH showed early foot from the 10-hole last time and if he is driven in a similar fashion here he could stick around for a share. (5) HIGHLAND TOP HILL still has some upside being so lightly raced but she is another that has to show she can stay trotting.

Race 2

(2) LOVES ANGEL rebounded with a better performance last time and finished well without threatening the top three. Moving inside gives her a decent shot here. (5) P L KARIS should be tough in here if she can stay flat and produce the same speed she displayed in her latest qualifier. (6) ROYAL POINT races better near the front. Expect a more aggressive approach here. (9) ODDYSSEUS comes off her best mile to date and is another that's in with a chance here.

Race 3

(5) SWEET KIMMY had a decent debut race that she can build on and this field is easier; top call. (8) MOTOWN JACKPOT faces much easier here and he is one that you need to have on Pick 5 tickets. (6) UPVOTE HANOVER goes for a high % barn and is worth a look on debut. (7) YO YO MASS exits Grassroots races and is another to consider in what looks like a Pick 5 spread race.

Race 4

(5) TALBOT CHANEL roared home late to win last time she was in a similar class. She should be put into this race earlier. (9) JUST TOO SPOILED is getting closer each week but you have to wonder where she will be positioned turning for home being saddled with an outer post. (4) ANDERSON SEELSTER faces weaker here and has to be considered for multi-race tickets. (1) COME WHAT MAY is likely to try a following inside trip here and she can share off that type of a journey.

Race 5

(8) TREASURES PEARL lacked room until it was too late last time. These things tend to even out and she should be prominent again near the front here; slight nod. (5) WHITE DANCER continues to improve and she is a big threat to double up here. (4) SHEWEARSTHEPANTS bottomed the field out with a third 1/4 brush-and-crush move last time. She is the main speed threat again. (1) DUDESALADY did everything but win last week in her first try on the circuit. She is another that can take this dash.

Race 6

(4) LINDYS TRU GRIT had some trot at the end of his comeback race but he was free too late to catch the leaders. He could offer a good price again here and is worth a play. (1) RUBBER DUCK is always dangerous at this level from the inside; using. (7) HARPER BLUE CHIP is rounding into form quickly after a long absence but he could be overbet here, too. (6) CHARMED LIFE is also a big threat on the class drop in a very contentious race.

Race 7

(7) SHANGHAI SUGAR raced well in the Battle of the Belles and she should prove best here if given a reasonable trip. (6) HEY MOMMA ROCK ME was sharp in victory on a track rated a second slow while qualifying on August 12 and she should be a threat here. (9) TODAYS SPORTS hasn't missed the board and can contend here despite drawing the outermost post. (4) CAMS LUCKY STAR had an okay debut last week at Grand River and can build on that initial try to sneak into the picture late here.

Race 8

(1) SILVERHILL SHADOW was a bit sluggish on the lead last time and fell short late as a result. Maybe third start back will be the charm, but beware taking too low a price here. (5) HIDDEN POTENTIAL gets a huge driver change here and is worth a look. (6) CURATOR was game despite enduring a long trip last week and merits Pick 4 inclusion off that good effort. (2) THORN IN YOUR SIDE may have disliked the wet track last week and could show marked improvement here.

Race 9

(5) P L KAHLUAA was lights out in her debut for leading trainer Moreau and there is no reason not to think she'll be at least that good here, too. (2) SPORTS LEADER is getting closer to that initial win and looks next best here. (9) SPORTS BEAUTY can close late for a share here similar to last time when she also faced the choice. (3) AMULET SEELSTER should be a speed threat again but needs to find more late in the mile.

Race 10

(2) SPORTS LIGHTNING won last time he raced in a similar class on this track and he flew home in 27 flat to do it; slight nod in a puzzling finale. (3) MAC RAIDER will be a big threat if he can duplicate his August 13 effort over Kawartha Downs. He has won several races on the WEG circuit in the past. (4) WEATHERLY faces much easier and is an obvious contender, but he could but could be overbet here. (1) JAKE PARRISH also faces easier here and should take a share starting from the inside. (8) SWORD OF THE SPIRIT should be heard from early then hang around for a small slice.

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