08/15/2015 5:41PM

Mohawk: Monday 8/17 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

6,7,9/3,6,7,10/3,8,9/3 = $36

 

LATE PICK 4: 3/2,4,5,6,8/2,4,5,6,8/7 = $25

MEET STATS: 225 - 747 / $1302.90 BEST BETS: 32 - 67 / $107.50

SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 66 / $66.90

Best Bet: WHERE ARE WE (7th)

Spot Play: BUTTERMILK HANOVER (4th)

Race 1

(5) DONT RUSH had a perfect tightener for this $70K Gold dash last week after missing almost a month's action. You only need to glance at his June 30th line to see what he's capable of with the bigger money on the line; top call. (3) MUSCLE UP THE GOAL showed nothing in a NW3L last week, but check out his two previous lines in OSS Gold company; beware. (4) MADMAN HALL has been a consistent check earner all year. He should be on the ticket here.

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Race 2

(5) LUCK O THE IRISH has lowered his life's mark two weeks in a row and simply looks like the fastest horse in here. He is likely to be odds on, however. (1) BOLI has had gait issues recently but is fast enough to contend if he can stay flat. (2) GRONK finally broke his maiden last month and is on the improve. He could threaten here.

Race 3

(8) BAGS FOR ALL was claimed for a record-tying $75K from her last start by the leading trainer. The new barn will be looking for an immediate return; top call. (6) CATCH THE DREAM has faced a steady diet of Preferred foes lately and should find this group more to his liking. (5) WHEELIN N DEALIN had a good season's debut and isn't without a shot here.

Race 4

(6) BUTTERMILK HANOVER was wrangled to the back early last time and got so far back that she had no shot at the top prize. She can take these if put into the race earlier. (9) SOUTHWIND SHANIA made two moves and almost knocked off a big chalk last time out. She's the one to beat here. (7) ICTHELIGHT HANOVER failed first over as the big favorite at Georgian and now missed some time. She likely gets only a minor share here.

Race 5

(3) PENNIES FROM ABOVE motored home in :28 flat on a track rated two seconds slow last week to break her maiden, as expected. At this point she looks like she could be any kind and merits top call here. (7) SAFEKEEPING was an impressive debut winner last week, although aided by some easy fractions while leading throughout. She will need to find more late speed here to keep the choice at bay. (10) THISLADYISDYNAMITE is speedy, consistent and sure-gaited. She could offer some value from post 10 here. Don't dismiss lightly.

Race 6

(8) FORK has come back to life with the driver switch to Baillargeon and was an unlucky loser last week after uncorking a furious late rally; top call. (3) OLE JACK MAGIC, a former deep closer, has won two straight leading most of the way. He seems more dangerous with this new aggressive style; using. (9) DEWEYKEEPMNWHY takes a class drop and gets Jamieson back. He could pop at a big price here.

Race 7

(3) WHERE ARE WE had a solid debut at Clinton after starting from the worst post then passing horses in the much quicker back half. She looks solid here vs. a group that hasn't shown much to date. (4) GOOD WILL HANOVER debuts off a pair of decent qualifiers and this Big Jim filly should be heard from here. (6) GREEN LIGHT showed some improvement last time and can take a share here.

Race 8

(6) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS raced better last time although failing as favorite. If he can latch onto some cover here he can take this group. (2) ROCKYS FIRST is 0-for 2015 but has been competitive in classes similar to this one and should get a good trip near the front here. (4) BURNIN MONEY was an unlucky loser last time when shaded by one that got a great trip and slipped up the inside late. He's a factor here despite the rise in class.

Race 9

(2) SETANTA was asked for nothing last week and delivered the same. He is capable of a big rally on his best day and will be a good price here; upset special. (6) HEMI SEELSTER will get lots of play off his Goodtimes and Dream of Glory wins. He got great trips in both of those races, however, and isn't worth a win ticket if odds-on. (8) PLATOON SEELSTER flew home despite missing almost a month last time and is a sharp and dangerous foe.

Race 10

(7) SHOE SHINE faced some elders last time and wasn't disgraced. Back in with all sophomores here he should be prominent throughout; top call. (8) ABSOLUTLY OFFICIAL lacked room late last week whichlikely cost him placings. He's a threat, but has a habit of finding a way to come up short. (10) NEW MIRACLE roared up very late to get up last time at a big price. This will be tougher starting from farthest out, but he could hit the ticket at another big price. (9) RUSTYS OVERLOAD continues to race well and is likely for a check here but will probably be too far back to threaten for the top spot. (5) R J B broke while on the move last time. He had very good form heading into that race and could better this placing.

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