08/09/2015 1:38PM

Mohawk: Monday 8/10 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


8,9/2,4,5/1,7,10/1,6 = $36


LATE PICK 4: 2,7,8/3,6,7/5.7/3,6,10

MEET STATS: 214 - 702 / $1237.70 BEST BETS: 30 - 63 / $101.20

SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 63 / $66.90


Spot Play: TYMAL SIGNATURE (9th)

Race 1

(6) SAFEKEEPING is by a top sire out of an unraced dam who was out of a millionaire winning dam herself. This isn't the toughest spot to debut; pedigree play. (3) ROSE RUN REANNA was nailed right on the shadow of the wire in the opening leg of this series last week. She's the one to beat if she stays flat. (1) HILLS ANGEL showed improvement last time but was too far back to make an impact. She has a better chance in this compact field.

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Race 2

(2) COLORATURA went first-over chasing some solid splits and tired only late last week. A slightly easier trip gets the job done here. (3) HURRICANE HAZEL chased down the chose from far back aided by a decelerating pace. She looks like she is coming into her own after a slow start however; the main danger. (7) SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT was a good 2nd in the Dream of Glory final and that was her fourth good start in a row. She could better this placing.

Race 3

(6) PENNIES FROM ABOVE was visibly motoring up late in her debut last week and simply ran out of racetrack. She is a likely winner here but is also probable to be odds-on which is hard to take for an inexperienced rookie trotter. (4) THISLADYSDYNAMITE parlayed a perfect trip into a narrow win over the choice. Her tractable speed makes her dangerous. (2) HIGH SOCIETY is from a dam that has produced 5 winners that have averaged $228K in earnings; beware.

Race 4

(9) URBANITE HANOVER showed a bit of early speed last time now drops to face his easiest competition all year. He should be blasting early and would be tough to beat if he clears before the first turn. (8) FRIDAYNIGHTFLIGHT also faces easier and should be leaving for a spot near the front here. (7) WARAWEE NEWTON was a decent third in this class last week but will have trouble with the top two if they get reasonable trips.

Race 5

(2) RAMZAN raced tough uncovered vs. much better last week and gets a good post to work with here; top call. (4) OLE JACK MAGIC showed a new dimension last week and wired a field from an outer post. He is a big threat with this new racing style. (5) HLDNTGHTTOYURDRMS also faces much easier and can't be ruled out as a win candidate.

Race 6

(7) JUDY THE BEAUTY didn't get her trip in the Dream of Glory final but gets lots of pace to chase here and should be coming hard late here from midpack. (1) MUSCLE KIT had good late trot last week and is another closer to consider in a field seemingly loaded with early speed on the outside of the gate. (10) MARKET STRIKE's main issue here is the early speed lined up to her left but if she can clear by the 1/4 she may just keep right on going.

Race 7

(6) FEELING CAM LUCKY set some serious splits and almost held on last time. A repeat should take this. (1) MAXDADDY BLUE CHIP is fast but erratic. He's the main danger if he stays on stride.  (8) RUSTYS OVERLOAD will be closing late but will likely find the top two too tough.

Race 8

(2) ETERNAL QUEST hasn't missed the board this year and fits here; top call. (7) COVERT OPERATIVE returns to a 7-day cycle and can go better here. (8) SETANTA closed a big gap last time and is sharp.

Race 9

(3) TYMAL SIGNATURE appears to be returning to her good form of the spring and should be a square price here; top call. (7) HAPE closed a big gap but was too far back; she is dangerous here. (6) MAGIC BABE made a big move then hung late. She returns to a 7-day cycle and is a threat.

Race 10

(5) SINGIT LIKE ARETHA ships in sharp and is the one to beat. (7) DOCS SAUSILITO is obviously fast but has gait issues. She can win this if she paces the entire mile. (2) PEG continues to lag early which hurts her chances for a big share.

Race 11

(10) MEADOW SEELSTER is the fastest horse in here and doesn't need to make the lead early to win; top call. (6) SHEGUINDAH set solid splits and almost lasted last out; the main threat. (3) RENEGADE MAGIC adds trotting hopples which likely makes her a bigger threat. (4) DIESIS DREAM has raced well out of town and can take a share here.

Race 12

(7) ANYWHERE WITH YOU ships in off a sharp win and looks best here. (8) STRIKING CHEETAH has upset potential; use in your exotic plays. (1) KADDY figures to get a good trip from the inside and a big piece of this. 

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