07/30/2016 1:26PM

Mohawk: Monday 8/1 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,4,5/1,5,6,7/1,4,6,7,10/6/2,4,9 = $36

EARLY PICK 4: 6/2,4,9/1,6,9/1,2,3,8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,3,8/4,6,8/1,2/2,3,10 = $72

MEET STATS: 251 - 710 / $1347.50  BEST BETS: 42 - 67 / $136.90

SPOT PLAYS: 16 - 65 / $82.90

Best Bet: HAPPY HANNAH (4th)

Spot Play: MAJOR MASTER PIECE (8th)

Race 1

(5) SOUTHWIND ION requalified well after an eventful debut. She should be more forwardly placed early here and can beat these if she has been straightened out. (4) OUT OF SIGHT was a decent third in OSS Gold company last time and she is the one to beat. (3) SPORTS LEADER faces easier here too. She should be coming on late in the mile. (1) LOTUS SEELSTER could improve here if she is kept covered up most of the way.

Race 2

(5) ETRUSCAN HANOVER raced much better last week but he was caught late by a classy and fit rival. He will pop soon, quite possibly tonight. (6) FEARLESS MAN dug deep to repel a host of challengers down the lane last time. He will have to be caught. (1) HARPER BLUE CHIP raced well in only his second start in the last two seasons. He might need another before showing his very best but he should share here. (7) WHISKEY TAX dodges the very tough Flanagan Memory here and he could easily better this placing.

Race 3

(4) THE ERM almost wired the field in her debut and she can graduate here with that experience in tow. (7) DREAM TOGETHER should get asked for more speed here in her second start and she should be a threat. (1) MYAMMIE DRAMA should improve here for a barn that has been doing well with youngsters. (6) A DOOZY is another that has raced well in both starts and merits multi-race consideration.

Race 4

(6) HAPPY HANNAH was too far back in her debut but still powered home with a :54 4/5 back half to be second. She should graduate here. (1) WINDY SPORT drops out of stakes company and looks like the main danger. (7) MANHATTAN PLAY is related to several winners, but strangely, this is the first foal that her dam has dropped in 7 years. Minor share is predicted here. (4) ASK FOR ME should grab a share vs. this group.

Race 5

(2) IM SO FANCY showed little vs. much tougher last time. Dropping back down in class gives him a good shot here, quite possibly at a square price. (9) EMOTICON HANOVER is fast enough to win this, but, you also have to wonder what is on her stakes plate in the immediate future. (4) YOURE MAJESTIC is another class-dropper that merits Pick 4 and Pick 5 consideration. (3) BURNIN MONEY has been racing well but his class ceiling may be one level below this.

Race 6

(1) BETTORS DREAM is a deserving favorite in the Dream Maker final and he will be tough to knock off leaving from the innermost post. (6) BOBCAT BOUND gets a significant driver change here off an improved performance last time; using. (9) DEADLY ACTION was a sharp winner last week and will no doubt be sent hard early by Waples here. He isn't without a chance but he will need to find more late speed. (8) DEO GALILEO can take a piece of this if he stays flat this time.

Race 7

(2) PREMIER GLITTER comes off a powerful win - her second in as many tries this campaign - and she can step up here and take another in her good current form. (3) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN was 2nd to two very good colts in his last two and he fits very well here. (1) UNICUM BI also fits this condition well and he should be heard from if he stays flat. (8) MONOPOLY steps up off a sharp win and isn't out of the question here if he could work out a similar trip.

Race 8

(4) MAJOR MASTER PIECE - an $82K Harrisburg sale purchase - is a full sister to the very good OK Commander (19 wins, $652K, 1:47 4/5 M.). There is very likely much more speed available with this filly than what was shown in qualifiers; top call. (8) FADE - a $37K Harrisburg buy - is related to several winners and the barn has been sending all of the youngsters ready; using. (6) TRICKY BET paced a 27 1/5 third 1/4 in her debut. She will be a threat here if put into this race earlier. (1) LADY SHERRI can follow along and stay for a piece of this.

Race 9

(1) RUBBER DUCK was repelled by a tough leader last time when making a first-over bid. He can work out a winning trip here starting from the inside. (2) OLYMPIC SON drops and he will be tough if he can stay flat this time. (4) O NARUTAC PERFETTO will be passing horses late as is his custom. (3) CHARLIE IS A JOKER has been finishing on the edges and likely will here, too.

Race 10

(3) WINNING DRIVE is the only two-time winner in this field facing rivals that are 1-97 lifetime. He's no lock, but he could win this by default. (10) TOY COP has shown a bit of promise out of town and will likely be a big price here; using. (2) THE KERNAL will likely be sent for better position early here which makes him a threat. (4) SOUTHWIND SAVAGE - an $85K yearling buy - is already being offered for sale for $25 K 'or best offer'. Based on what I have seen on the track from him, I'll try to beat him again here. (5) CAROLINA HURRICANE is another that will take action that has appeared to have soundness issues. Small share predicted.

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