07/01/2016 4:07PM

Mohawk: Monday 7/4 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 3,5,7,9/5,6/ALL/2,3/2,3 = $44.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3/2,3/3,4,6,7/5 = $16

LATE PICK 4: 5/4/1,4/4,5,6,8 = $8

MEET STATS: 176 - 530 / $949.70  BEST BETS: 31 - 50 / $104.60

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 49 / $49.20

Best Bet: DOMITIAN HALL (7th)

Spot Play: NICHOLAS RYAN (8th)

Race 1

(5) MERCHANDISER used an aggressive approach to beat similar in a new life's mark last week and he can double up here if he is put into the race early again. (3) LEAN HANOVER used a similar approach as the choice to beat easier but this gelding likely has some upside and he should be dangerous here. (7) GIANT MUSCLES takes advantage when the late pace slows and would benefit if some early battling took place this time. (9) SASS blew up at the start of his last after looking bumpy-gaited in some of his previous miles. He can be a contender if he stays flat, but that is hard to predict.

Race 2

(5) CALVIN K was patiently driven in his debut but had plenty of pace to offer when called upon. He can likely shave a few seconds off here, if needed. (6) THE DARK SHADOW did most of the work in his debut win and is the obvious one to beat having paced the fastest mile as well. (3) BRAVE WORLD has finished quickly in all of his qualifiers and should make the ticket - at least - in this debut race. (1) SHADOW ROUGE also finished well in his qualifiers and can hang around for a slice here.

Race 3

(1) SPORTS COLUMN was flying late in a quick debut mile and with the better draw here can be expected to move earlier; slight nod. (3) CLASSIC PRO - a $45K Harrisburg sale purchase - is a 1/2 to $454K earner Devil Child who has 10 wins and a mark of 1:49 3/5 to date; using. (4) MANCEIEVER - a $47K Harrisburg buy - has an experience edge over many of these and is another to consider for multi-race bets. (2) TYMAL PEACEMAKER is the second foal to race from his dam - the first was a 16-time winner that took a mark of 1:54 3/5 on a half-mile track. He's another you can use in this wide-open dash.

Race 4

(2) WESTERN SHORELINE paced one of his better miles last time despite finishing only seventh. He should get a more aggressive drive here and can do in this suspect field. (3) LIBRADO HANOVER also showed improvement last time and finished ahead of the choice. He is another - and one of many - to consider for multi-race tickets here. (7) EINHORN can be erratic, but, if he is right he fits here. His qualifier was okay and he adds Lasix; consider. (6) WINE SHARK brings good form in from out of town making his first start off a claim. His good early speed gives him a chance here.

Race 5

(3) MAJOR MUSCLE couldn't stick with Caprice Hill last time, but these are easier and she stands a much better chance of notching her second win of the season here. (2) DAYLINER continues to race well, should get positioned better early here and is the main threat to the choice. (4) DOTTIE was sharp in defeat last Tuesday when only overtaken very late in the mile. She isn't out of this. (1) RECREATE was a game first-over winner vs. weaker and he could be good for a slice here despite the class rise.

Race 6

(7) SIERRA MADRE went two big trips from 10-holes now moves into a better post off the claim; slight nod. (4) INTENDED STYLE was loaded and flying late last week and also goes first off the claim here. He should be right there vs. these. (6) CS EYE was rated better last time and managed to last. He is the main speed threat. (3) TOPCORNERTERROR has a better shot of passing these late with the move to a better post. He is another to consider here.

Race 7

It's pretty hard to pick against (5) DOMITIAN HALL off his Canadian season's record mile last week, so I won't. A short price is inevitable, however. (1) YOURE MAJESTIC couldn't hang with the choice late last week and looks like the most obvious to complete the exacta again here. (7) RAMAS LAST SON hasn't missed the board since April and should continue that streak here. (9) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE will be closing from far back for a share.

Race 8

(4) NICHOLAS RYAN goes for the potent Menary/Jamieson combo off the claim after racing tough first-over last week; top call. (5) LOVEDANCINWITHYOU brings some solid form in from Grand River and fits well here; for a share. (2) SURPRISE HANOVER will trip out in the pocket and win one of these weeks; maybe this time? (7) BLISSFUL YEARS is capable of showing more at a price here with the drop to the bottom class.

Race 9

(4) RISE UP RISE UP kept coming last week to take a new life's mark. He can double up here as the likely second choice in the wagering. (1) BLENHEIM is obviously the one to beat but he will be overbet off his miles in the Goodtimes and he is no lock. (2) DEEP IMPACT was one of the better local rookie trotters last year. Look for him to close late for a piece here as he tunes up for upcoming sires stakes action. (7) ELDORADO OF GOLD rarely misses a check and could better this prediction if he can clear quickly at the start.

Race 10

(6) CLASSIC VENTURE made two moves in the fastest mile trotted by an aged trotting horse in Canada this season last week. He should be prominent throughout here. (4) EXEMPLAR drops and gets Filion back; using. (8) ETRUSCAN HANOVER was just short in this class last time and is another to throw onto late Pick 4 tickets. (5) O NARUTAC PERFETTO is trying to break a string of fourth-place finishes here and just might succeed vs. these. (10) CALL ME RICHARD shoots for four straight shipping in from the B tracks but the outer post and tougher company likely limits him to a smaller share here.

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