07/26/2015 6:16PM

Mohawk: Monday 7/27 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


5,6,8/1,3,7,8/4,8,9/4 = $36


LATE PICK 4: 5,8/1,4,6/2,3,5/3 = $18

MEET STATS: 189 - 615 / $1070.70 BEST BETS: 25 - 55 / $86.30

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 55 / $57.30

Best Bet: MR DENNIS (11th)

Spot Play: ADVERSITY (8th)

Race 1

(7) ARRAKIS faced much better last time and couldn't keep up late. He stands an excellent chance of repeating his June 18 win if he stays flat tonight. (6) MY MY HEY HEY was a comfortable winner two back despite a long trip then broke most recently. He can threaten here if he minds his manners. (8) STANLEYSONTHEWAY raced okay for a minor share last week and could do the same here.

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Race 2

(8) NO SHADOWS left hard for the top, took a seat in the pocket then lacked room early in the lane last time at Georgian but still came back on for third. She looks best here and is likely heading straight for the front when the gate leaves. (4) MAYHEM SEELSTER impressively roared by seven rivals in the short Georgian stretch to win her debut and can't be counted out here. (6) VERA BON didn't do much from a bad post out of town last week but gets a positive driver change here and can improve.

Race 3

(3) KOKANEE SEELSTER was an impressive maiden breaker two back then was stuck in the 10-hole trying OSS Gold company and couldn't get close. He has a good shot to rebound here. (5) CONTROL THE MOMENT is 2 for 2 and has shown good speed both early and late in both starts. He looks like the one to beat. (1) MINDTRIP was unhurried early but closed nicely late in his debut and he wouldn't be a shock here.

Race 4

(6) TAHITI SEELSTER flew late to win her debut two back then had a rough trip at Georgian. She can bounce back here. (5) THREE DREAMS has yet to be close enough to win turning for home in any of her starts. That will likely change tonight; beware. (8) LIFE BOOK closed a huge gap quickly late to break her maiden at Georgian. Use her on your pick 4 tickets.

Race 5

(7) ABSOLUTLY OFFICIAL raced evenly in a quick mile last week. Getting back to a 7-day cycle may help him rediscover better late speed; slight nod. (1) SURGE SEELSTER wasn't far behind a big favorite that was winning his third straight and he should get a good trip here leaving from the inside. (8) MYSTICAL JET has missed three weeks but should be coming late for a minor share in this weak field.

Race 6

(4) MUSCLE UP THE GOAL has been super in two starts with trotting hopples and can take this group if aggressively handled. (8) DOMEDOMEDOME has been a solid 2nd twice in a row to the same very sharp winner and that one isn't in here; big shot. (9) THERESADEMONINME has won two straight and three of his last five and is as sharp as he has been all year. Keep him on your pick 4 tickets.

Race 7

(4) BRING ON THE BEACH miscued when making his move for the front last time. If he can come close to duplicating his June 29 mile he should beat these and his price should be better tonight. (3) COLONYS BEST makes his 2015 debut and judging by his qualifiers he looks faster this year. This is a pretty good spot to try to break his maiden; using. (1) AXELERATE SEELSTER had a long overland trip last week in his second start for a new trainer. Third time could be the charm starting from a better post and facing mostly easier.

Race 8

(8) ADVERSITY exits a quick dash where he couldn't close into a fast last 1/4. He should be able to do some damage in this group if he's close enough turning for home. (5) BAX OF LIFE was beat in the very last stride be a rival that she had already passed that surged again between horses. She figures highly anytime she is in this class but she's also a bit win-shy. (2) MONEY MAVEN is a good one for the bottom of tris and supers here as he should be passing horses in the stretch.

Race 9

(4) PEG didn't get her rally going until it was a bit too late in her debut but still managed to nail 2nd after falling behind a slow pace. On paper she looks much the best here but will likely be odds-on, too. (1) COLUMNIST broke last time but two back roared home to just miss. She looks like the main rival if she stays on gait. (6) SOUTHWIND SHANIA drops from the OSS Gold class and could wake up here.

Race 10

(3) E L TITAN raced super in his season's debut, powering up late to just miss. We'll give him the slight nod here over (5) INTIMIDATE, who returns from a slight break still looking for his first win of the year. He is going to have to show something fairly quick if he has designs on some of the bigger stakes this summer and fall. (2) DAYLON MAGICIAN pulled first up and had little to offer late but perhaps the 17-day break in action had something to do with it. Keep him on your pick 4 tickets.

Race 11

(3) MR DENNIS had his sights set on the front last week, but so did a speedy rival that bottomed out the field. The early lead looks like it's his for the taking here and he will be tough to chase down if allowed any breathers; top call. (2) DERBY DYLAN when last leaving from an inside post was a winner and his form is likely better than it looks. He could threaten the choice if he lands in the pocket early. (4) WARAWEE NEWTON wired a conditioned class in very good time at Hanover last time out and can't be dismissed here. (1) JUSTALITTLELUCK can leave in the top half of the field here and follow along for a share. (8) GRANDKIDS ATTACK ships north in pretty good form and could crash the exotics at a big price.

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