07/22/2016 4:43PM

Mohawk: Monday 7/25 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 4,5/3,4,7/4/4,7,8,9/1,2,3,4,5,8 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 4,7,8,9/1,2,3,4,5,8/5/3,5,6 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 3,5,6/1,4,8/5,7/4,10 = $36

MEET STATS: 234 - 679 / $1239.70  BEST BETS: 39 - 63 / $122.90

SPOT PLAYS: 14 - 62 / $76.60



Race 1

(4) BEE IN CHARGE faces an easier task here and his potent closing kick should put him over the top vs. these. (5) CLASSIC VENTURE is another that should benefit from softer fractions here. He should be right there on the wire. (2) DEEP IMPACT grinded out a win last week and certainly isn't out of this, but he will likely need to find more late speed to beat the top two choices. (8) RENEGADE MAGIC can share here if she stays flat which appears to be a dicey proposition at this point.

Race 2

(3) TYCOON SEELSTER broke at the start and still managed to win his debut in a Grassroots race. He might offer a decent price here as his time is quite a bit slower than some others but he has some upside; slight nod. (4) ROSE RUN SPEEDSTER has been very professional winning two in a row and he is the one to beat here. (7) SPEEDYCREST has a lot of speed and is another that will threaten if he stays flat. (5) LIFE WELL LIVED can also be dangerous from close range in this contentious OSS Gold dash.

Race 3

(4) MASS PRODUCTION lays over his rivals at this point and need only stay flat to take this. (7) UKNOW WHAT TO DO took action for his opener and made a move but couldn't sustain his bid late in the mile. He can go forward off that initial effort. (1) LABERO couldn't keep pace with the choice in his debut but he could stick around and make the ticket this time. (6) PARKHILL NONSTOP is another that had a decent debut that can take a smaller share.

Race 4

(9) HAPPY HANNAH - a $90K Harrisburg purchase - looks ready to roll and finds a good spot to debut here. (8) ARTISTIC STYLE is a 1/2-sister to several good racehorses and she is likely to improve sharply here on the big track. (4) SHEWEARSTHEPANTS couldn't last on the front end at Clinton but she should get a piece of this if not more. (7) ROSE RUN SAMANTHA faces easier for her second start and is likely to show a lot more.

Race 5

(8) BRINGHOME THEBLUE returns with Lasix added, has beaten better previously and may be a great price here. I'll take a shot with him on top. (3) SIERRA MADRE has been involved in some pretty quick miles in claimers recently. This may be an easier class for him; using. (1) MITT JAGGER has raced better recently and will likely break through for a win soon. (4) THEY CALL ME GORDY was a solid second to a big chalk last time but he will likely be overbet off the time of that mile and he is yet to win this year.

Race 6

(5) DEO GALILEO won his debut then finished second three times straight to the same rival in New Jersey Sires stakes races. He should prove tough to beat here and needs a good result having missed the first leg of this series. (8) SOCCER HANOVER dodges the tough Bettors Dream here and looks like the main threat to the choice. (2) BOBCAT BOUND suffered an equipment break last time which cost him all hope but he did close well anyway. Toss him on your Pick 4's; he is due for better luck and he has some ability.

Race 7

(5) IM SO FANCY has reached the top of her form and could take this at a square price despite the class rise. (6) CHARMED LIFE was deftly pinned in by the leader down the lane last time which prevented her from possibly going by for the win. She, too, is in good form now. (3) EXEMPLAR drops back to a class where he should contend for the top spot. (2) ETRUSCAN HANOVER will be dangerous here if he behaves, but it's always a great unknown trying to guess which Etruscan will show up to race: the good one, or the not-so-good one.

Race 8

(8) NORTHERN MAJOR took a while to get in gear down the stretch last week, but he was really flying late. He should get put into this race early and is a top contender. (4) SANTINI closed mildly in his debut, now he picks up the leading driver. There is likely plenty more to see with this colt. (1) LUCYS MAN closed well to finish 2nd to a good one in his debut before vet scratching on July 19th; using. (6) CLARION HALL should share again here and can better this prediction.

Race 9

(5) CATCH THE DREAM came close to chasing down a loose leader last time in his best effort of the year so far. He will get there soon now that he is sharp; slight nod here. (7) MUSCLE HUSTLE took a new life's mark on July 11th racing against his own age group and he is certainly fast enough to win this but he has plenty of three-year-old stakes action left on his schedule which makes him a tough call here. (1) BAGS FOR ALL should get a good trip here leaving from the inside and stick around for a share. (4) ELDORADO OF GOLD is another that shares regularly and he should make the Super here, at least.

Race 10

(4) GALAGHER SEELSTER has turned up his late speed lately racing at Kawartha and he is good enough to compete here when he is sharp. Notice the 1:51 1/5 life's mark taken at Woodbine last year; top call. (10) BUGGER BRUISER has been facing better in New York recently. He can be a big speed threat here. (9) A MARCOU STORY had a decent comeback race at Georgian and is could add some exotics value here at a big price. (2) CALGARY SEELSTER ships in with some decent form and should get a decent trip near the front here. (3) CURATOR will be passing horses late, most likely for a smaller share.

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