07/18/2015 4:08PM

Mohawk: Monday 7/20 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


4,6,8/1,2,3,8/6/3,5,6,10 = $48


LATE PICK 4: 2,3,5/2,4,5/6,8/4 = $18

MEET STATS: 170 - 570 / $986.80 BEST BETS: 21 - 51 / $74.20

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 51 / $53.20

Best Bet: SHOE SHINE (11th)


Race 1

(4) KAYS SHADOW waited too long to make her move last time and as a result was forced to go first up into the fastest 1/4 of the race which cost her. Expect a more aggressive drive tonight. (3) KEYSTONE PAULA left hard for the front, yielded, then sat a beautiful trip never leaving the inside to get the decision over the choice. She is a big threat off that strong debut mile. (1) L A DELIGHT was an easy winner 2nd time out now faces better; minor share predicted.

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Race 2

(1) THATSOVERYNICE broke the track record for 2YO pacing fillies in her sensational debut. She's hard to go against here but will be a very small price on the board. (6) THREE DREAMS was hung first over a long way but when she straightened out in the lane she really closed well; exacta factor. (2) STONEBRIDGE PEARL was conservatively driven last week but did have good late pace to offer. She likely has more under the hood than she showed that night.

Race 3

(1) MINDTRIP has two full-brothers that took marks of 1:51 and 1:49 2/5 respectively. Trainer Alagna has been sending them up here ready and this one gets top call here. (5) LINDY SECRET is a 1/2 brother to two winners from two that have raced from the dam and both of those won early (second starts). This one brings an impressive July 2 qualifier to the table and looks like the main threat to the choice. (2) MAX IS BACK came his back 1/2 in 54 3/5 in his debut and is another in with a chance here.

Race 4

(8) MR DENNIS takes a class plunge here to face a pretty weak conditioned group. Drury will likely try to take him right down the road. (4) ARI ALLSTAR had a dramatic form reversal last week with McNair at the controls. A repeat of that mile puts him right there with these. (6) PRINCE CLYDE faces easier and could strike here from close range.

Race 5

(3) BODY BALANCE was a sharp winner last week and took a new life's mark in the process. These are a bit tougher but he rates highly. (1) WHISKEY TAX was a blowout winner vs. lesser - also in lifetime-best time - and is a strong contender here, too. (2) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS took a mid-race shuffle last week then closed again late. He could threaten here with the right trip.

Race 6

(6) MAGIC MADNESS was a sharp first-over winner last week while taking a new life's mark. She faces many of the same rivals and will be tough to beat. (1) DOMEDOMEDOME vaulted up off the choice's cover but couldn't catch her late. The choice may be just a bit too sharp for her at the moment. (4) GAME ON HANOVER moved earlier than normal last week and was a driving-away winner; some of these look tougher.

Race 7

(3) ABSOLUTLY OFFICIAL was involved in interference at the 1/2 last time and raced only evenly. He gets Henry back here and should rebound with a much better effort; top call. (10) RUSTYS OVERLOAD drops out of a stakes series where he raced okay. If he can get position in the top 5 or 6 early he should be heard from late. (5) DEETZY brought a clear lead into the stretch last time but then tired. He will likely race from the back here which seems is a more effective style for him.

Race 8

(3) WHITE BECOMES HER drops back into a class where she won easily on June 29 and she will take some beating here. (2) KINETIC KING seems to have finally put his breaking issues behind him and has been racing well; contender. (5) O U SEXY GUY was a strong first-over winner last week but may have trouble with the choice here if he tries the same tactics.

Race 9

(5) TWIN B THONG motored to the front in the second 1/4 last week, took a breather to the 3/4, then easily paced away. She looks like a strong contender here. (2) THISORTHAT HANOVER set a strong pace in a track record mile but couldn't keep pace late. The pace is likely to be easier here so keep her on late pick 4 tickets. (4) GOLDEN IDOL was a following 2nd in the same mile as the one above and should be heard from here.

Race 10

(6) FLANAGAN MEMORY was out a long way last week yet still led until very late. A slightly better trip gets the job done here. (8) DAYLON MAGICIAN returns from Cleveland fresh off a big win in Northfield's Trotting Classic. He has been solid all season and is the one to beat. (2) WINDSUN REVENGE has raced well several weeks in a row and should take a share here.

Race 11

(4) SHOE SHINE has lowered his life's mark two weeks in a row with easy wins and will be tough to beat here as a big favorite. (7) WINDSONG LORD was a distant 2nd to the choice last week and looks like the best of the rest here. (5) MAJOR IN LIFE was 3rd in the same mile and it's quite conceivable the triactor could repeat itself in order here. (2) SURGE SEELSTER has been racing well out of town and is most likely to crash the party and sneak into the tri of those remaining. (1) BALLYBUNION closed a big gap last time but now has missed a month's action; for a minor share only.

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