07/15/2016 2:36PM

Mohawk: Monday 7/18 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 6,7/1,5,7/8/1,2,4,5/3,4,6 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,4,5/3,4,6/1,4,8/8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 8/1,5,8/1,2,4/1,3,9,10 = $36

MEET STATS: 208 - 626 / $1087.10  BEST BETS: 35 - 58 / $111.90

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 57 / $56.40

Best Bet: BETTORS DREAM (7th)

Spot Play: SOUTHWIND ION (4th)

Race 1

(7) INTENDED STYLE blasted to the front, set solid fractions then held on to win last week. This field is no tougher and he should get a similarly aggressive steer here. (6) TOPCORNERTERROR sat the perfect trip throughout but could not edge past the choice late. That exacta is a good bet to repeat here. (4) LIGHT FOOT RD drops back into a claimer where he can take a share. (5) STORM THE BEACH could be closer to the top two here at the finish if he gets a more alert start.

Race 2

(5) FUTURE HEADLINES - a $20K Harrisburg buy - is a full-sister to Maniana, who took a mark of 1:53 3/5 at two. This filly's lone qualifier was sensational and she might be up to winning this OSS Gold event on debut. (7) ACTION MAJESTY brings an unbeaten streak into this race and is the obvious danger. (1) AINT THREE OK paced an impressive uncovered trip in her stakes debut to fall just short. She merits Pick 5 inclusion off that trip. (4) BID WRITER steps up off a sharp debut win but she may find a couple of these too tough.

Race 3

(8) FLANAGAN MEMORY came within one tick of the Mohawk track record for aged trotters last week in a dominating performance. He should double up here. (7) WHISKEY TAX was second best to the choice last week and likely completes a chalky exacta here. (2) EXEMPLAR can convert a following trip into a smaller share here. (6) INTIMIDATE has missed over a month and will probably be reduced to a smaller share here facing some sharp rivals.

Race 4

(4) SOUTHWIND ION is a full-sister to two winners from two that the dam has thrown so far, including Southwind Indy (9 wins, $157K, 1:51 3/5 S.). This $40K Lexington purchase looks ready to roll first out. (2) SIR NATIVE was noticeably live in her debut then won one of these stakes second time out. She should be prominent throughout here. (5) SOIREE SEELSTER closed a gap late in her debut and could offer some Pick 4 value here. (1) THORNE SEELSTER could get asked for more speed early here which could facilitate a better result.

Race 5

(6) FEARLESS MAN was only nailed late last week now he returns to a 7-day cycle which should make him very tough here. (4) O NARUTAC PERFETTO comes off a solid win a class lower and his consistency should be respected here. (3) RUBBER DUCK suffered interference last time and he could prove to be a tough customer here if he can sit the pocket behind the choice. (5) CHARMED LIFE will be passing horses late as she typically does and she could better this prediction if she gets a good helmet to follow.

Race 6

(8) DEEP IMPACT stayed in last time at a critical point of the race which may have cost him a win. If he is given a more aggressive steer here, he should beat these. (1) ELDORADO OF GOLD S may try to find a helmet to follow here following two failed speed tries. He should make the ticket, at the very least. (4) NIGHTONTHEROAD has won 30% of his starts this year although he rarely puts two together in a row. (7) A ROD HALL motored up for 2nd last time despite looking bumpy-gaited. He can share again here if he stays flat.

Race 7

(8) BETTORS DREAM can double up off his sharp debut win last week. (7) BOBCAT BOUND broke at Pocono but check out his narrow debut loss two back; using. (6) DEADLY ACTION closed well in his debut and he could offer some exotics value here. (3) SOCCER HANOVER will probably get put into play earlier in the mile here and he could crack the exotics at a price.

Race 8

(1) MUSCLE AVE drops back into non-winners of three and adds Lasix here. A more aggressive drive should get him home in front. (8) NOFEAR BLUE CHIP should also enjoy the easier company here but needs to beat at least a couple of these off the gate. (5) MERCHANDISER couldn't catch a foe that went a huge uncovered trip last time, but his good form puts him right there vs. these. (2) SOUTHWIND STRYKER has the look of a professional maiden but he should take a share here.

Race 9

(2) BLAMEITONTHENIGHT was an ultra-impressive debut winner here last week and she should be a top contender here in her first stakes try. (4) YARIS BAYAMA changed tactics and wired a Grassroots field in her second start. She is the main threat to the choice. (1) VINTAGE BOOK outraced her odds in her debut and she should get a similarly good trip here to contend. (5) WHITE DANCER can pass many of these late and take a smaller slice.

Race 10

(1) PRINCE CLYDE gets the slightest of nods here in the finale which is the toughest race on the card to handicap. Maybe he can trip out from the inside post. (9) EASY LOVER HANOVER should be tighter after tiring late last week making his first start back off a break. (10) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE makes his third start for Adams and he could jump up and win this at a price. (3) UF BETTORS HANOVER is capable in this class and should get a decent trip here. (2) SURPRISE HANIVER almost never misses the top 5. Toss him on your High-5 tickets.

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