07/08/2016 3:54PM

Mohawk: Monday 7/11 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 2,6,7/2,5/3,5,6,7/2,4,10/2,3,8 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,10/2,3,8/4,5/6 = $18

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,6/6,7,8/3,7/4,5,6 = $54

MEET STATS: 198 - 584 / $1039.20  BEST BETS: 34 - 54 / $108.80

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 53 / $56.40

Best Bet: WILL TAKE CHARGE (7th)

Spot Play: ST LADS LOTTO (1st)

Race 1

(2) ST LADS LOTTO takes a big class drop here and no doubt will be put into play early in the mile. He should be tough to beat off a reasonable trip. (6) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE showed immediate improvement racing out of Moreau's barn and another step forward here wouldn't shock. (7) JENKINS CREEK ripped off a big mile at Georgian last week and will be dangerous on or near the pace here. He doesn't need the lead to win. (1) TWILITE ZONE rarely misses a check and can follow along for a share here.

Race 2

(2) LITTLE RED CHEV has been nothing short of sensational racing for Moreau. She won geared down last time and can take another despite the class rise. (5) O NARUTAC PERFETTO closes sharply every week and will get a winning trip in this class soon. (7) CHARLIE IS A JOKER may be overbet off the class drop here and the top two are no slouches. (1) BIG RICH was hard-used early last time in a season's record mile. He has upset possibilities here moving inside.

Race 3

(3) MUSCLE HUSTLE couldn't get close to a sharp winner in a quick mile last time but he looks best here and should be prominent throughout. (6) TONY SOPRANO has disappointed so far this season and one of these times he is going to be sent for the front from the outset. That could play out here; using. (7) SASS went a phenomenal mile on the rim all the way last time to win. He has some upside and isn't out of this. (5) DUNVEGAN DON improved his late speed noticeably last time and is another upset chance here.

Race 4

(4) WINDSONG NAPOLEON was a sharp second-out winner and the one that finished second came back to win a Grassroots race here on Thursday night; top call. (2) SOME ATTITUDE won his debut while cutting quicker fractions than the choice and he looks like the main threat. (10) BETTORS DREAM - a full-brother to $420K earner Enduring Delight - has some things to like despite the post and offers Pick 4 value. (8) DARLINS DRAGON will be closing late again and should take another share.

Race 5

(3) STRIKING IVY was winning Opens in Florida which should make her a top threat in this field. (2) MERCHANDISER couldn't chase down a rival that was out the route last time but he is consistently in the mix and tonight should be no different. (8) RENEGADE MAGIC has raced well when leaving hard the past three starts and should be considered for multi-race bets in her current sharp form. (1) DEEP IMPACT had a good comeback race and he is capable of better although he may be prepping for an upcoming stakes engagement vs. his own age group here.

Race 6

(5) DRACHAN HANOVER meets his easiest company of the year and it's hard to imagine him not being a major player here. (4) THE WAYFARING MAN moves inside and also drops to the bottom. He is the main danger. (2) SURPRISE HANOVER can't seem to notch a win but he is a great bet to finish in the top four. (9) BLISSFUL YEARS could pepper the pace early here and stick around for a slice.

Race 7

(6) WILL TAKE CHARGE looks much the best here and will be tough to upend if provided a decent trip. (8) BEE IN CHARGE has really come into his own the past few weeks and should contend here despite the outer post. (2) DIA MONDE could get closer to the choice here with a better trip. (3) ZAGSTER will be passing many of these late and should fill one of the lower exotics rungs.

Race 8

(3) DOMITIAN HALL was doomed by broken equipment last week and broke as the big chalk. Stepping up to the top class his price will rise and he is worth a stab here considering his performance two starts back. (2) FLANAGAN MEMORY is in tremendous form and is the obvious horse to beat but keep in mind he has had some gait issues at this track in the past. (6) WHISKEY TAX has hit his best stride and merits Pick 4 inclusion. (1) CHARMED LIFE can trip out and make the ticket here starting from the inside.

Race 9

(8) INTENDED STYLE raced big off the claim to just miss and he will likely try to take these from gate-to-wire; top call. (6) TOPCORNERTERROR will get a perfect trip on cover one of these weeks and vault past late; using. (7) STORM THE BEACH was live at the wire last week and is another that should be on late Pick 4 tickets. (5) NICHOLAS RYAN dug in to win off the claim now comes up tagged again. A minor award seems likely this time.

Race 10

(7) CASH FOR GOLD couldn't chase down a loose leader in a mile that set the season's mark for aged trotters but he did trot a huge mile first time for Auciello/Drury. I'll give him the nod to turn the tables here. (3) RUBBER DUCK made a quick brush to the front, opened up, then held off the choice. He is impossible to exclude from Pick 4 tickets off that sharp victory. (6) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE will likely revert to a closing style here and past most of these late for a share. (5) FEARLESS MAN drops and will lead the way early but will likely be on the edges at the wire.

Race 11

(4) HIDDEN POTENTIAL has been competitive here before and picks up a catch driver for this; slight nod in a race that demands wide Pick 4 coverage. (5) ARRIVED LATE was a good second to a strong winner last out and ships in with improved form; using. (6) SKYWAY BOMBER has a solid in-the-money record this year and should be right there starting from the middle of the gate. (8) TOMITTA BAYAMA has sprung big upsets here before with the same driver; beware. (7) GOOD FRIDAY THREE may be finally rounding back into decent form and he could better this prediction with a decent trip.

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