06/05/2016 8:28PM

Mohawk: Monday 6/6 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 1,7/2,3,4,7,8/1,6/8/2,3,4,5 = $16

EARLY PICK 4: 8/2,3,4,5/4,6,8/3,4,6,8 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 3,4,6,8/1,9/1,2,3/3 = $24

MEET STATS: 105 - 335 / $594.50  BEST BETS: 18 - 32 / $65.60

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 31 / $32.80


Race 1

(1) THRILL CHASER finished well in a quick mile vs. a mare that has been a win machine lately. She rates highly vs. this group. (7) ADAYMER SEELSTER improved her overall speed in her first start off the claim and now drops back into a claimer here and should be heard from. (2) NINETTE B has hit the Super in every start since being claimed by her current connections and she figures to get a good following trip here. (3) T R LEXUS CAM won in good time off the claim in London and could better this placing here.

[DRF BETS: Sign up for DRF Bets & wager on your favorite harness tracks - Up to a $200 Signup Bonus + Free Harness Eye PPS]

Race 2

(3) SUNRISE AVENUE flashed good late speed in her May 23rd qualifier. She can beat these if Zeron can hold her together for the entire mile. (4) JAGERSRO continues to come close and rates highly here. Is tonight the night for her? (8) THE MUSCLE TOUCH raced evenly and got a clean line last time. She should be close if she stays flat. (7) YAWANASEESUMMUSCLE raced well in her first start on the circuit and can take a good share here.

Race 3

(1) ONE WARRAWEE couldn’t deal with the same razor-sharp winner in his last two starts but was best of the rest both times and looks best here starting from the inside. (6) AMBLE OVER HANOVER finished just behind the choice last time and should get a good trip on or near the lead. (2) INTENDED STYLE moves inside and stands a much better chance of contending in this short field. (7) CRAFTY MASTER will likely be winding up from the back late and can close for a share.

Race 4

(8) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT was an easy and impressive debut winner and this promising gelding shouldn’t have any trouble doubling up here. (3) DERECHO raced evenly in his seasonal debut but did pace a fast last quarter. He should improve here. (6) CAMS LUCKY SAM should be closing for a slice here. (4) XPERT BAYAMA couldn’t keep pace chasing some fast fractions last time, but should benefit from that start and could sneak into the exotics here.

Race 5

(2) SPORTS LIGHTNING went a big mile in his first start for Brealey only to be nailed late. A slightly better trip gets him home first here. (5) RAYLEN GIVENS hung a bit late last time, but should benefit from that start and be a contender here. (4) SURPRISE HANOVER improved in his first start for conditioner Dean and can get closer here if he has room to race turning home. (3) MACHS BOY has good early speed which fits Henry perfectly and he should stick around for a share here.

Race 6

(4) YOURE MAJESTIC was a solid winner last week making a powerful uncovered move on the way to victory. She could bring a decent price vs. some class droppers here and provide some Pick 4 value. (8) MYSTERY BET was first-up last week, which isn’t his ideal trip. Look for him to be closing quickly late here. (6) MUSCLE MATTERS won when he last raced in this class and is an obvious contender, but may be over bet. (7) HILLSONATOR rarely misses the board and is likely to take a smaller share here.

Race 7

(9) TOPCORNERTERROR raced much better in his 2nd start for Auciello and should get a good spot near the front early here with so few leavers in this field; slight nod. (6) TIGHTEN UP was closing well late in a quick mile and now gets to drop another class here; obvious contender. (3) THEPANINSULAHOTEL raced decently in his comeback race and should get a good trip near the front; don’t discount his chances. (4) SUNNY BEACH DAY does well at this level and could start his move much earlier this time; using.

Race 8

(1) RISE UP RISE UP was a solid third in his 2016 debut and can build off that effort here. Look for him to leave more alertly this time. (9) DYNAMIC EDGE had good speed both early and late last time and keeps coming close. He will get there soon. (7) PENNIES FROM ABOVE will likely need a start or two before showing her best, but she can close for a minor share here. (4) MUSCLE AVE re-qualified okay and will be a threat if he stays flat here.

Race 9

(3) P L HERCULES lacked room until late last week but was live at the wire and can beat these if he can avoid being shuffled this time. (2) ADVERSITY made an impressive winning move down the lane last time and is a big threat to double up despite moving up one class. (1) CABERTOSS is another sharp contender that made a powerful stretch move last week; using. (4) AMITYVILLE LINDY will be closer early here and passing many of these late for a share.

Race 10

(3) CAROLINA HURRICANE faces much easier here and should be able to handle these, but he will also offer a short price. (1) MAYFIELD DUKE moves inside and should take a big share, but his winless streak is also likely to climb to 16. (9) BIG PLACE raced okay in his debut but being first up in a quick third quarter didn’t help. He can crash the exotics at a price here. (7) AZUL POOL is a logical one to use in tris, supers and high-5s. (6) LOCK AND RELOAD can be expected to improve off a decent debut and make the ticket here.