06/24/2016 3:38PM

Mohawk: Monday 6/27 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3,4,7/1,2,7/4,5,7/2,5,8/5 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,8/5/1.2,3/1,3,4,6,9 = $45

LATE PICK 4: 1,3,4,6,9/3/2,5/4,6,7,8 = $40

MEET STATS: 154 - 480 / $842.00  BEST BETS: 27 - 45 / $89.40

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 45 / $44.50

Best Bet: DOMITIAN HALL (5th)

Spot Play: PANEDICTINE (4th)

Race 1

(3) BEE IN CHARGE couldn't get close in the Goodtimes but was flying two back, fits this company much better and should be closer turning home here; top call. (7) WARAWEE ROO is perfect since returning from a short break and he is the one that will have to be caught. (4) SASS has also been on a roll and is likely looking to ride the pocket to victory here, which is quite possible. (2) MATZA MAN was a decent 2nd in his 2016 debut and he should factor again here but a smaller share is likely.

Race 2

(7) ZAGSTER faces much easier here and should get put into play early. He beats this group if given a decent trip. (2) DEWEY DON'T CHEAT was closing in late last week but the winner was too tough. His consistency should be respected, but he's still looking for his 2nd win. (1) MAKERS MASS ships in having won half of his starts this year. He has also shown he can take a lot of air and still finish quickly. Use him in your Pick 5 tickets. (3) GONNA FLY has a good closing kick which should get him a slice here.

Race 3

(7) MUSICAL RHYTHYM returns to home base after a rough trip in the Graduate at Tioga and he should get back on track here with a win. (4) OLYMPIC SON has developed the skill of closely tracking quick fractions and coming on down the lane. His improvement is noticeable and he could be a good price again here. (5) WHISKEY TAX has reached his best from and is another that can be dangerous here from close range. (2) FEARLESS MAN hung on much better last week and will likely set the pace again and hang on for a minor share in a similar trip.

Race 4

(5) PANEDICTINE's best trip is stalking rapid fractions then outlasting the leaders. There is a good chance that scenario could materialize here; call to repeat. (8) MYSTIC DEUCE was locked in behind a snail's pace last week. Expect a more aggressive try here. (2) INTENDED STYLE stole one on the front end last time and is unlikely to get a repeat of that easy trip. He is a contender, however and should be used on multi-race wagers. (10) TOPCORNERTERROR might sneak by them all if they battle hard enough early. He should be considered for exotics at a minimum.

Race 5

(5) DOMITIAN HALL goes to Auciello and Drury here and has been racing decently anyway lately; automatic play for me. (7) ALACRITY was driven much more aggressively last time as expected and was an easy winner. He can threaten here despite the step up in class. (8) YOURE MAJESTIC has been solid in every start in this class and should take one of the bigger shares here. (9) BIG RICH drops and may get sent hard here from the outset. If he clears to the front quickly, he could take this field a long way on the lead.

Race 6

(3) TONY SOPRANO went a pretty big trip from the 10-hole in the Goodtimes final but was had nothing to show for it at the wire. The improved post and easier company should make him tough here. (1) WILL TAKE CHARGE and (2) DIA MONDE both finished ahead of the choice last time but they had much better trips. All three merit inclusion in multi-race tickets. (5) MUSCLE HUSTLE lost all hope at the start last time but he will be a speed treat here if he stays flat.

Race 7

(1) KINGSTON SEELSTER raced very well chasing slow fractions in his debut last week. He can go forward off that experience although there are several in here that look like they could be live at first asking. (4) BIG BAD BILL is a full-brother to good local mare Bad As Leader, who won at 2nd asking after drawing the 10-hole in her debut. Use this guy in your early and late Pick 4s. (9) LOUIE THE SHARK enjoyed moderate fractions while leading until very late in his debut but the one that beat him looks like he has lots of potential. (6) SPORTS COLUMN ha finished quickly in both of his winning qualifiers and he is another that can't be dismissed here.

Race 8

(3) UFDRAGONS ROCKET was mired in brutal traffic around the final turn last week and it cost him any hope of winning. Filion is unlikely to make the same mistake twice; top call. (7) SURPRISE HANOVER was sent hard from the outset and used up early but still didn't fade badly. He should get an easier trip here and challenge for the win. (4) MOONWRITER raced his best mile of the year last week and he has licence to step up and win this now that he is in good form. (5) WALTZKING HANOVER gets Henry who will likely put him into the race earlier. He can take a piece of this.

Race 9

(5) CLASSIC VENTURE used a big third 1/4 move to win his second straight last time and although he faces tougher he may be able to extend his winning streak with the excellent speed he has been showing; slight nod. (2) CASH FOR GOLD switches to Auciello/Drury making him a must-use here. (1) RUBBER DUCK was thwarted by a slow pace last time now drops and moves inside making him a logical contender here. (8) O NARUTAC PERFETTO will be winding up from the back and can pass many of these and grab a slice.

Race 10

(8) FLOWERS N SONGS broke while on the move vs. some top local sophomore fillies. She should be prominent here if put into action early enough. (4) RISE UP RISE UP made big late gains last time and from an inside post here should be driven more aggressively. (6) ELDORADO OF GOLD raced tough in his past two starts and is a logical contender to throw on Pick 4 tickets. (7) AMITYVILLE LINDY is one of the best closers in here and will be coming late for sure. (3) PRINCESS CROWN stopped last time vs. better but looks pretty good if you put a line through that chart line.

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