06/17/2016 2:48PM

Mohawk: Monday 6/20 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 1,2,4,7/3,4/3,4/4,5,6/1,2,6 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 4,5,6/1,2,6/2,5/1,2,6 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,6/1,2,3,8/3,4,6/4 = $36

MEET STATS: 132 - 424 / $724.60  BEST BETS: 23 - 40 / $81.70

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 40 / $40.90


Spot Play: LEAN HANOVER (6th)

Race 1

(2) STONEBRIDGE LASER gets Lasix for his third start and might be able to show enough improvement to take this opening leg of the Pick 5 - a race where deep coverage is likely required. (7) DUCHESS KATE has shown enough speed to be competitive - when she stays flat - and will likely be put into play early by Henry here if she is trotting at the start. (1) ANDOVERS CHOICE June 14th qualifier makes him a contender here if he stays flat. He is one of many in here with gait issues. (4) HIPPITY HOP always takes lots of money but can't seem to get the job done. A minor award seems likely here, too.

Race 2

(4) CALVIN K roared home to win his lone qualifier and goes for a trainer that sends them ready to race; top call. (3) HAPPY TRIO was a solid winner of his lone trial and goes for the same barn. He will likely set the pace here. (6) KINGSTON SEELSTER showed decent late speed closing for third in his qualifier and is worth a look. (5) FORREST PORSCHE finished quickly in both qualifiers and is another that can contend in this first two-year-old race of the year.

Race 3

(3) ETRUSCAN HANOVER gets class relief here for his second start off a break and should be more aggressively driven; top call. (4) DOMITIAN HALL powered by late last week in an impressive display but faces some class-droppers here, which makes this test a bit more difficult. He is a contender though with the improved late speed he has shown. (8) YOURE MAJESTIC has raced well several weeks in a row and should make the ticket here despite starting from the outermost post. (1) P L HERCULES went a long trip last week and paid the price late. He should be able to work out a better journey here.

Race 4

(6) TOPCORNERTERROR got stalled behind dead cover on the backside last time but still managed to close late for the win. He should get a solid pace to chase here and can repeat. (5) MYSTIC DEUCE set solid splits and kept going for the win last time. He should be right there again but may get pushed early by (4) AMBLE OVER HANOVER, which could set the table nicely for the choice. (2) INTENDED STYLE hits the board close to 60% of the time and is a good bet to make the ticket here off a following trip.

Race 5

(1) OLYMPIC SON was on a good roll before breaking at the start last week. He gets to drop in class and should be right there vs. these if he stays flat. (5) O NARUTAC PERFETTO has been a fringe player in the top class but is quite capable of being a top contender in this group. (6) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE raced well last time chasing a leader that was allowed to steal a 59 flat middle 1/2. He is another that can win this with the right trip. (2) CATCH THE DREAM can be expected to show improvement in his second start of the year.

Race 6

(5) LEAN HANOVER had no chance leaving from the 10 hole in his Goodtimes elimination. With class and post relief here, he can get back on track with a much better performance. (2) DEWEY DON'T CHEAT has failed three times straight as chalk but hasn't performed poorly. He will get there soon. (4) GIANT MUSCLES reached up late for the win last time and should be able to make the ticket vs. this group with his ability to track the leaders and close. (7) BOW TIES N BOURBON has returned to the races in good form and should be able to leave for a good spot near the front early here then stick around for a share.

Race 7

(6) ROCKIN RONNIE went a long trip last time which led to his demise. He should be sharper here returning to a 7-day cycle; slight nod. (1) SWELLENDAM was a good third in his debut, finishing ahead of the choice and he looks like the main danger. (2) CAROLINA HURRICANE broke early as the big chalk last time on a wet track. He should be better here with no rain in the forecast. (9) THREE RIVERS DELL ran his winless streak to 14 last week but that was one of his best miles and he could better this placing if he can overcome this post.

Race 8

(3) DUNVEGAN DON was a solid second in his season's debut to a rival that was winning his third straight. He should be right there from an improved post despite the step up to non-winners of three. (2) TORTOLA SUNRISE had his winning streak broken by a big chalk that was winning his second straight last week. He should be prominent throughout here. (8) MATZA MAN ended last season in very good form and qualified fast enough to contend right away here making his 2016 debut. (1) GEORGIES POCKETS didn't miss the board in his rookie campaign and is another that looks ready based on his June 4th qualifier; using.

Race 9

(3) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL tried in vain to chase down a loose leader last week in an improved performance. I'll give her a slight nod in a tough race. (4) ELDORADO OF GOLD S lost twice straight to the same rapidly-improving winner and he can threaten these despite the class rise. (6) MY HAPINESS E P has been facing some tough mares and should fit this class much better although she may be overbet in the win pool. (7) CASH FOR GOLD just got up late in the mile last time and seems likely to close for a smaller share here.

Race 10

(4) UFDRAGONS ROCKET raced well from the 10-hole last time and is a logical contender moving to the middle of the gate and retaining Filion. (2) READ THE PROPOSAL should show speed here leaving from the inside; using. (9) SURPRISE HANOVER has shown improvement in the new barn and isn't out of this despite starting from the outside. (8) STATURE SEELSTER set some insane fractions last week and understandably stopped. He could do much better here with a more patient drive. (3) MONTE CHRISTO is usually good for a share in this class and should get a piece of this off a following trip.

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