06/10/2016 3:37PM

Mohawk: Monday 6/13 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,7,8/1,4,7/1,3,7/4,5/1,6  = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 4,5/1,6/1,3,4/2,3,7 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 1,2/1,5,7/2,5,7/8 = $18

MEET STATS: 120 - 368 / $677.10  BEST BETS: 20 - 35 / $71.60

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 35 / $40.90

Best Bet: PROVEN DESIRE (11th)

Spot Play: TARAHUMARA (7th)

Race 1

(3) WORLD CLASS IZZY has shown great improvement in her last two starts and looks best here, but I wouldn't take a short price on anyone in this field. (7) GIN AND LINDY raced well in all three starts this year looks like the main danger to the choice racing from close range. (8) MIDNIGHT TOKER comes off an equipment break and his race two back would put him right there with these. (4) SECRET MUSCLE has been racing well out of town vs. lesser but needs to find more speed to beat all of these.

Race 2

(1) ADAYMER SEELSTER woke up with a sharp winning effort over a wet track in her second start in the new barn. She should get a good trip on or near the front here and can double up. (7) DONNA PARTY drops to a level where she should have a big impact and she should not be left off Pick 5 tickets. (4) CYDALIANNE DUC closed okay in her first start off the claim and she has won on this circuit before with McNair driving. Any early battling would favor her late. (5) T R LEXUS CAM has hit the exacta in 30 of her last 48 starts and should not be discounted although a minor award may be more likely this time.

Race 3

(7) CAPRICE HILL drifted out down the lane last time while the winner was stickhandling through to win. She can rebound here if she can avoid being first up again. (1) FLOWERS N SONGS motored by under tight lines to win in a new life's mark in beating the choice but she did far less work prior to the stretch. Trip could decide this one. (3) CELEBRITY EVENTSY set a strong pace and weakened late. The top two may simply be better at this stage of the season. (4) SELFIE HANOVER might be dangerous for a piece if she can stay flat - which is always the big question with her.

Race 4

(5) ROCKIN RONNIE need only transfer his good recent Meadowlands form here to graduate. (4) A BETTORS RISK had a monster qualifier here on June 3rd and could make things interesting here in his sophomore debut. (3) SWELLENDAM had a decent lone qualifier heading into his debut here and he can close for a piece of this. (6) THREE RIVERS DELL is getting closer but will likely have trouble with the top two here and take only a smaller share.

Race 5

(1) SPORTS LIGHTNING has been solid for the Brealey/Hudon combo and the step up here isn't great; call to repeat. (6) BLISSFULL YEARS almost won at a big price when last in this class. Don't let his recent form fool you; he should be right there vs. these. (8) PRINCE CLYDE is another that is dangerous on the drop and he is likely to pepper the pace early here.(3) AMERICAN ROCK just about held on vs. lesser but is likely to fill a minor spot vs. these.

Race 6

(3) P L HERCULES was only nailed late last week in another good effort and he should be prominent throughout here. (1) ADVERSITY is another that has hit his best stride recently and he will be the one to fend off late here. (4) PLATOON SEELSTER gets to face easier here for the first time in a while and is a logical contender on form and class. (6) CABERTOSS should be passing most of these late if he behaves and trots the entire mile.

Race 7

(3) TARAHUMARA doesn't face the toughest field shipping in here and is capable of leaving much quicker than she has been lately and working out a good trip near the front; call to upset. (2) JINGLEWRITER made two moves last time against a repeat winner and should be one of the main contenders here. (7) MACH OF THE TOWN rarely misses the board and fits well here but notice the 11 slices vs. just three wins so far this year. (5) IN THE SHADOWS is likely to come on late and fill one of the lower exotics rungs here.

Race 8

(2) CATCH A MISSION has shown great potential in her short career so far and should be tough to beat here in her first stakes try. (1) EMOTICON HANOVER has been perfectly prepared for this race and is the main threat to the choice. (4) RADIANT BEAM has improved under Zeron's care and she should make the ticket here. (7) TYMAL TEMPEST typically finishes on the edges and that scenario is likely to play out here, too.

Race 9

(1) IT'S A BIG SECRET left like a rocket and raced tough last week, only to be nailed late. The improved post may be all it takes for him to take a win here. (7) TOPCORNERTERROR should be leaving this time with the class drop and he is one to toss on late Pick 4 tickets. (5) AMBLE OVER HANOVER is always tough in this class and Jamieson gets along well with him; using. (8) STORM THE BEACH goes for Moreau off the claim here which makes him a contender.

Race 10

(5) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE raced way over his head in the Graduate but can get back on track here vs. much easier. (2) RUBBER DUCK also drops from the Graduate and won easily in this class on May 16. (7) MYSTERY BET could get a great set up for his late charge here; using. (3) HILLSONATOR continues to grab a share every week but seemingly is not a win threat in this class.

Race 11

(8) PROVEN DESIRE drops to the bottom conditioned level here and need only reproduce his most recent effort to beat this group. (7) HOPIESDRAGNINTHEDO also drops and should move up vs. these. (4) NEEDLECREST can close in late for a share here. (9) SURPRISE HANOVER has improved with the barn change and should be able to make the ticket here. (3) CIONA BROMACH won for the first time in a long time last week out of town. He can close for a small slice here.

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