05/27/2016 4:51PM

Mohawk: Monday 5/30 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,4,5/1,7,9/3,5,6/1,9/1,3,6 = $32.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,9/1,3,6/4,9/5,7,8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 1,7,8/6,7,9/5,7/2,3,10 = $54

MEET STATS: 101 - 303 / $586.70  BEST BETS: 18 - 29 / $65.60

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 29 / $44.80

Best Bet: BEE IN CHARGE (9th)

Spot Play: SPORTS LIGHTNING (8th)

Race 1

(4) SODWANA BAY faces much easier here and should be able to handle this group off a reasonable trip. (3) QUEEN IDEAL faced the same sharp winner in her last two and that filly took her third straight easily here on Friday. She figures to be right there vs. these. (1) KAYS SHADOW self-destructed before the start last time but did race decently in her sophomore debut two back and can contend here if she behaves. (5) NAUGHTY LADY B took a shuffle last time but re-emerged late for third. She should get a good piece here.

Race 2

(7) KINDLY REMINDER closed some ground into a quickening second half last time now gets to put two races close together. Expect a more forward showing early here. (9) MAGICAL VALENTINE was a sharp second in her 2016 debut and is the one to beat here. (1) LEAN HANOVER had a useful sophomore debut and can go forward off that start. (5) STORMONT DUNDAS can pick up some pieces late here and take a minor award.

Race 3

(5) BAGS FOR ALL got mired in traffic until it was too late last week but did have some trot down the lane. She should get sent early here and can take these all the way if she makes front early. (3) CABERTOSS shipped in ready, same as he did last summer and could beat these with a decent trip. (6) OLE JACK MAGIC excels at this meet and is another to consider for multi-race tickets. (1) WHITE BECOMES HER will likely be overbet off her last start and is worth trying to beat here.

Race 4

(9) BIG PLACE looks much-improved in conditioner McNair's barn and gets the call to win for him first time out here. (1) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT edged the choice on May 20 and looks ready to roll in this debut race. (10) MAYFIELD DUKE couldn't keep up in a wickedly-fast mile and should fit better here. (6) OK ICEMAN figures to follow along for a minor share here.

Race 5

(6) RAYLAN GIVENS ships back in and looks sharp and ready to deliver a winning performance here. (1) ADKINS HANOVER showed he fits this class last week and looks like the choice's main foe. (3) BIG CITY JEWEL chased swift splits last time and only tired late; consider. (4) DIALAMARA moves to the middle of the gate and should be closer from that better post.

Race 6

(4) P L HERCULES went a huge trip from the outer post to take a new life's mark last week; call to repeat while he is hot. (9) YOURE MAJESTIC was picked off late last week and could do it here if she reproduces that effort. (8) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR is the class of the field but may need a start or two before reaching his best form. (7) DOMITIAN HALL has been racing well for Vanderkemp and should take a good share here.

Race 7

(8) WHISKEY TAX makes his third start back vs. a lesser group than he faced the past two weeks. You have to think that Henry is sending him here; top call. (7) EXEMPLAR also faces easier and looks like one of the main threats by default here. (5) GRANA PADANNO missed a week prior to his last start and should go better here returning in 7 days; using. (2) HILLSONATOR keeps plugging away and taking shares every week although a minor award seems likely here.

Race 8

(8) SPORTS LIGHTNING raced better last time when claimed now goes for the potent Brealey stable. Don't be surprised if he reverses tactics here and blasts off the gate. (1) SURPRISE HANOVER switches from a trainer that is 0 for 45 this year to one that is winning at a 25% clip in the past two years. He could jump up and win this. (7) MILLIONDOLLARCELL motored up late last week and will be passing most of these late, too although he does have a very poor win record. (3) HIDDEN POTENTIAL raced decently with a switch to a catch driver last week and should make the ticket here.

Race 9

(9) BEE IN CHARGE keeps improving and now switches to a catch-driver for this race. She has a good shot at extending her win streak to three here. (6) NOFEAR BLUE CHIP showed some ability last year and qualified okay for his return; using. (7) WINDSONGMUSCLELADY closed a good gap late last time and is in with an upset chance here if she is within range at the 3/4 pole. (10) WARAWEE ROO was a sharp maiden-breaker last time out but the step up and move to post 10 might make this assignment too tough.

Race 10

(5) DAY TRADE HANOVER finished second to a 1/9 shot in his sophomore debut now the trainer hands the reins over to veteran Christoforou; top call. (7) THREE RIVERS DELL couldn't keep pace late in a crazy-fast mile for this class. He can be much closer at the finish here. (6) SWASHBUCKLER MAN is the second foal to race from a dam that earned $275K. Her first one to race has won twice and this one looks sharp and ready based on his most recent qualifier. (3) ONLY HALF BAD was just behind the choice last time and could better this prediction.

Race 11

(3) MAX IS BACK finished evenly while on excess cover in his seasonal debut and he should go forward with that tightener in the books. (10) ARCHANGEL THREE is a top contender on paper but will need to work out a winning trip starting from out there. (2) SECRECY gets closer each week and is coming up to a winning effort; using. (4) CAMS LUCKY SAM stopped abruptly last time which is unusual for him. He could rebound with a much better effort here. (1) NEW STANDARD will be passing horses late and can take a minor share here.

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