05/24/2015 8:34PM

Mohawk: Monday 5/25 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

4,6,7/5,8/4,5,9,10/6 = $24

 

LATE $1 PICK 4: 1,3,5,6/5,9/4,5,8/3 = $24

MEET STATS: 85 - 257 / $499.60  BEST BETS: 12 - 23 / $42.50

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 21 / $40.80

Best Bet: MAC RADIER (11th)

Spot Play: TWIN B SPORTSMAN (4th)

Race 1

(6) ANYWHERE WITH YOU is from a dam that has produced two winners that have gone quicker than 1:54 including Adversity, who has been tearing it up at this meet. She looks ready and can take this group at first asking. (9) TZIA passed more than 1/2 the field late in her debut and is an obvious threat but may be overbet. (5) MY MY HEY HEY is also from a decently-producing dam and can make an impact in her debut if she stays flat.

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Race 2

(2) ANTAR PHIL raced faster in his winning qualifier than any of these did in their most recent pari-mutuel start; automatic play. (7) SPOIL SPORT was making a move, broke, and then recovered nicely to share. He looks like the main foe but has now missed three weeks. (6) MARACASSO is capable of much better than he showed from the 10-hole last week in his season's debut and now gets a better post.

Race 3

(4) STRONG HOPE trotted to a powerful win in his season's debut. The step up here isn't that great; call to repeat. (3) RAMAS LAST SON drops a level off a decent effort and can hit the ticket vs. these. (8) DONCANGO finished a belated third to the choice but is capable of being much closer with a better trip.

Race 4

(6) TWIN B SPORTSMAN left hard then took a shuffle due to several lead changes and came again late in his best effort yet. His good late speed should serve him well vs. these; top call. (4) WILDCAT LIGHTNING finished ahead of the choice in one of his better performances and should also be a factor. (7) MACH THE KASBAH made a move to the front in the third 1/4 then tired a bit late; another contender.

Race 5

(8) MUSCLE BABY DOLL was an ultra-impressive winner in her season's debut, trotting past her opponents in the lane as if they were standing still. She gets a slight preference here over (5) ADVERSITY, who has trotted to two consecutive lifetime marks and is one tough customer right now. (7) BAGS FOR ALL made two moves and almost lasted, but beating both of the two above will be a tall order here.

Race 6

(4) D GS JUSTLIKETHAT makes his second start in claimers and faces a slightly easier group. Perhaps the sloppy track led to his demise last out; top call in a wide-open dash. (9) I SCOOT SAM makes his second start off the claim and gets a favorable pace scenario but has missed some time; mixed signals. (5) CRAFTY MASTER is capable of better than he showed last week.

Race 7

(6) WEST SIDE STORY gets trotting hopples here which should solve the gait problems he has been having late in the mile. (4) WHISKEY TAX went a good trip in his season debut, losing to one who trotted to life's mark; contender. (7) BUDDY HALLY has been racing well from near or off the pace, he's a threat here.

Race 8

(3) AMORA BEACH has gone two big first-over trips since returning to the races as a sophomore and should be formidable here. (1) THE WAYFARING MAN displayed high speed in the Diplomat Series and is a main contender here starting from the inside. (6) AMERICAN ROCK also exits the Diplomat Series where he picked up a check every start.

Race 9

(9) SPLIT THE HOUSE has been an impressive winner in both outings and gets a slight preference over (5) WINDSONG LIGHTNING, who comes in off a dominant new life's mark win and will be tough. (10) FASHION MAVEN left, took a shuffle then closed rapidly to get into a win dead-heat. He will likely be fighting for a minor share here, though.

Race 10

(8) DORSAY almost pulled off a shocker last week in the Miss Versatility. She can take this group if the intent is there. (4) NORTHERN VICTORY had some good late trot last time but lacked room. He will blow up the tote one of these times. (5) BODY BALANCE left hard and finished well to just miss in the Preferred. That is the mark of a sharp horse; beware.

Race 11

(3) MAC RAIDER stepped into the NW2 L class and was beaten by two very good colts. These look much easier; top call. (7) LANCASTER PARK raced well enough in a rapid mile in his season opener to suggest he is a contender here. (5) JEB exits the same dash and finished just ahead of the one above. (4) SPEED RACER took some action at the windows but made a nasty break mid-race. He can get a piece of this if he behaves. (10) PIER HO TEMPTATION has been racing well at Flamboro and is capable of hitting the ticket at a big price here.

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