05/17/2015 4:36PM

Mohawk: Monday 5/18 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

5,7,10/3,4,6,10/7/2,8 = $24

 

LATE PICK 4: 4,7,8,9,10/2,3/1,4/7 = $20

MEET STATS: 73 - 224 / $418.60 BEST BETS: 10 - 20 / $32.60

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 18 / $40.80

Best Bet: SPLIT THE HOUSE (11th)

Spot Play: BUZZ (1st)

Race 1

(9) BUZZ was raced sparingly at B tracks last year but moves to the big circuit to start his 3YO season for the potent combo of Blais/Filion. Top call in a wide-open curtain raiser. (7) RENEGADE MAGIC finished quickly in her lone qualifier and looks like one of the main contenders here. (5) ON THE ROAD DE VIE likely fills one of the minor spots as has been his custom so far.

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Race 2

(2) WINDSONG LEO has done everything asked of him so far and while he faces tougher here, he may be capable of giving more and his price could be better; top call. (1) SPORTSKEEPER looks ready to give a top effort off the shelf. Trainer Coleman was 2/2 with these types on Thursday night. (5) ARAMBLIN HANOVER continues to race well but once again is more likely for a slice.

Race 3

(1) CHARMED LIFE was given a passive steer last week and couldn't get to a long-gone winner. Look for her to be on the move earlier in this opening leg of the Miss Versatility. (7) DORSAY may not look great on paper but she is capable of notching a big upset here; beware. (6) ALLIE LABROOK has been putting in some impressive miles in open company at Hoosier. She's in with a shot here.

Race 4

(7) LANCASTER PARK showed glimpses of talent last year and looks well-prepped for a trainer noted for sending everything ready off layoffs. (10) ROLLWITHTHEPUNCHES has been closing rapidly in her qualifiers and is another that looks ready. (5) WINDSONG LIGHTNING raced well in the Diplomat series and Menary continues to be hot; use on pick 4 tickets.

Race 5

(6) FASHION MAVEN showed big speed for most of the mile last time at Vernon now ships in to face maidens. Top call in another wide-open dash. (3) WINDSUN STETSON closed quickly vs. a well-meant debut winner and can build off that and contend for the win here. (10) MARACASSO qualified better than he raced in most of his miles last year which may be a sign that he's much faster now; chance at a big price.

Race 6

(7) GOOD FRIDAY THREE raced huge in the Diplomat Final when hung the mile. He should be able to handle this group. (5) MAC RAIDER went right down the road last week and finished fast. He is a threat to do exactly that again. (3) REGAL SIGHT got stung first-over and can be closer with a better trip.

Race 7

(8) CHEYENNE REIDER keeps rolling right along and has a knack for working out a good trip from an outer post. Call to repeat. (2) F TWENTY TWO was an unlucky loser last time after doing all the work and getting nailed late by one who did none; he's a threat here. (1) REB THE RAIDER has held his form well for a long time and should get a piece of this.

Race 8

(8) CATCH THE DREAM moves up off a win and was a Preferred horse most of last year. Catch him tonight before the price drops next week. (4) NORTHERN VICTORY has cycled back to his best form and is a threat here at a price. (10) DAYLON MAGICIAN missed 3 weeks and gets post 10 which is a tall order at a likely underlaid price.

Race 9

(3) PHYSICALLYINCLINED was impressive in his 2015 debut and will be looking for more of the same as he eyes some big stakes; top call. (2) SOUTHWIND INDY is more than capable of upending the choice and could get the right trip to do it from this post. (1) ROBERT HILL comes off a nice win but the waters are deeper here.

Race 10

(2) ETRUSCAN HANOVER trotted a winning mile last time and was just nailed late by one who set a new life's mark. He should be tough in here. (4) WILD AND CRAZY GUY drops in class but note the choice handled him easily two back. (6) P L HERCULES faced some very good ones last year and wasn't disgraced. He can contend here in his seasonal debut.

Race 11

(8) SPLIT THE HOUSE lived up to expectations in his debut and now faces better but should be up to the task. He could be any kind. (3) TWIN B TK also steps up off a powerful maiden win and should get a good share here. (2) MIKES POWERHOUSE was good early last year and Coleman has been sending everything ready as is her custom. (4) SPEED RACER has already won 8 times but gets into this NW2 due to the small amount of earnings; another contender. (5) LIBRADO HANOVER was beat by an improving colt in the rain last week and could better this placing.

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