05/13/2016 3:32PM

Mohawk: Monday 5/16 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 5,6,7/2,4,7/1,3,5,6/3/1,5,7 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 3/1,5,7/1,3,4,7/1,5,10 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 5,6,7/2,8/1,3,5/9 =$18

MEET STATS: 75 - 216 / $468.30  BEST BETS: 12 - 21 / $51.20

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 21 / $32.80

Best Bet: WORTHY ART (11th)

Spot Play: ART ANGEL BABY (5th)

Race 1

Your guess is as good as mine in this amateur drivers affair but it seems many of these are won by horses that can leave and get position near the front so I will side with (7) DOMITIAN HALL who also has one of the best amateur drivers in Hannah Miller. (6) HUBBY NUMBER ONE is also capable of firing off the gate or making a quick brush and should be right there. (5) TWIGGYS TWICK has a capable pilot and a good post and should share. (1) FASHION GODDESS has a habit of hanging late so a minor award is likely here.

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Race 2

(7) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY improved her late speed last time and should be all set for a top effort now; top call. (2) MISSYS GA GA fits at this level and should get a good trip leaving from the inside here. (4) MUSICAL SPELL moves up off his best effort in several weeks and can make the ticket here. (1) WIZARD OF OSNEY drops and moves inside and will likely make the Super off a following trip.

Race 3

(1) J CS JAKE has speed, an inner post and a capable driver so I give him the nod here. (5) MOONBEAM HALL raced better last time and is worth inclusion at a price here. (6) JUSTCALLMERONALD will be dangerous if he stays flat but that may be a tall order for an amateur driver with this horse. (3) SCHRADER HANOVER is a threat early for sure but may not be there late.

Race 4

(3) PRINCE CLYDE could not hold off a rival's lethal middle brush last time but should be able to control these and convert at a short price. (2) MOONWRITER looks sharp and ready and would be extra dangerous if he could land in the choice's pocket at the start. (4) MAJOR HOMER drops and looks plenty sharp enough but must be put into the race earlier. (6) BIG CITY JEWEL should take a smaller share at this level.

Race 5

(1) ART ANGEL BABY paced a solid back 1/2 without threatening the winner in her sophomore debut and should go forward off that effort here. The inside post only adds to her appeal. (7) SHOCKING BEAUTY was flying late last time and appears to be closing in on a win now. (5) LADY MARINA makes her seasonal bow and looks sharp enough to contend here. (4) BERNADETTE drops out of a stakes series and isn't out of this competitive tilt.

Race 6

(1) BAX OF LIFE lands in a field with plenty of leavers which should set up her late charge. (3) ADVERSITY drops and should also be passing rivals late here. (4) YOURE MAJESTIC may have needed last week's start and could be expected to last longer here. (7) STORMONT KATE is classy and fast and could better this placing if she can land a good spot near the front early without expending too much energy.

Race 7

(5) DREAMFAIR MESA produced big speed early in the Diplomat final but couldn't hold off a host of challengers. That early foot should play better in this non-winners of two class; top call. (10) SOME GOLD took a shuffle then finished decently in the same mile and will contend here if he is able to get a good spot early. (1) NEW TALENT has a sneaky good qualifier from May 9th and isn't out of this.  (6) BROOKDALE SONNY comes off a win in this class but faces tougher and may be over bet.

Race 8

(7) WHISKEY TAX looks ready based on his most recent qualifier and the owner/trainer enlists the top driver instead of handling the reins himself as he often does in this gelding's early starts. That signals intent; on top. (6) CHARMED LIFE has come back in good form and should score a win early in the season this year; maybe tonight? (5) FLANAGAN MEMORY puts the trotting hopples back on for this start which could make all the difference for him. (4) O NARUTAC PERFETTO is in the great form and is hard to leave out of exotic wagers.

Race 9

This race appears to come down to two sharp contenders (8) BEAST MODE and (2) CAJON THOMAS. I'll give a slight edge to the former based on what I have observed from their races but use both in the Pick 4 and move on. (4) PRINT MEDIA could split the top two for the exacta if those foes hook up in a third 1/4 duel. (1) LEVY TAYLORE figures to get a good following trip and take a share here.

Race 10

(1) GRANA PADANNO was too far back while the pace was accelerating last time but still closed well. He can work out a better trip leaving from the inside and topple these. (3) WILD AND CRAZY GUY drops and can pop. Don't let his poor effort vs. Musical Rhythm fool you; he's a contender here. (5) PLATOON SEELSTER is another contender that can threaten if kept closer early. (2) INTIMIDATE tries a 7-year-old campaign here and this classy veteran will have to be seen after going winless last season.

Race 11

(9) WORTHY OF ART appears to hold a massive speed edge over these and is a likely winner at a short price. (3) CENTURY CHURCHILL raced really well from the 10-hole last week and looks best of the rest here. Note the 4 thirds and only one placing this year, however. (2) RELISH looks as good as any of the rest and can take a slice off a following trip. (1) ONLY HALF BAD raced in some decent company last year and can take a smaller share here in his sophomore debut. (5) STONEBRIDGE STING shows a decent final 1/4 in his Mohawk debut and could sneak onto the High-5 here at a price.

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