05/10/2015 4:40PM

Mohawk: Monday 5/11 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

3,8/2,3/2,4,7,8,9,10/4 = $24

 

LATE $1 PICK 4: 1,2,45/2,3/5/2,3,9 = $24

MEET STATS: 61 - 180 / $342.90 BEST BETS: 9 - 16 / $29.30 SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 14 / $36.00

Best Bet: SPLIT THE HOUSE (1st)

Spot Play: SUGARSAM (3rd)

Race 1

(7) SPLIT THE HOUSE is by a top sire out of a dam that has produced one that has raced that has won 6 times, earned $237K and was third here in the 2012 Shes A Great Lady stakes. This one looks like a short-priced winner in the opener. (8) CANADIAN WRITER put in a big third 1/4 and is getting closer; for a share. (1) WINDSUN STETSON showed little from the 10-hole but came home quickly and is a good bet to show much more here.

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Race 2

(7) GOLDEN SLUMBER was well-backed but faltered first-over in her debut; another chance for this well-bred trotting filly. (4) TSWALU was an unlucky loser as one powered up with a remarkable late burst to nail him. He's logical here. (10) GAME ON HANOVER continues to improve and is sure-gaited. He should get a slice even from out there.

Race 3

(5) SUGARSAM had a nice record last year and showed improved late speed in his last qualifier. 'O Sullivan sends them ready; top call at a square price. (8) KONA KID chased a good one in his season's debut and should be able to build on that start. (7) PHYSICALLYINCLINED showed some talent at the end of his 2YO campaign and qualified well. Trainer Moore can improve one rapidly as a sophomore; beware.

Race 4

(3) POISONOUS was closing rapidly late last week but the winner was long gone. He looks good to graduate here. (8) AXELERATE SEELSTER looks like the main danger after beating all but a much more experienced foe in his debut. (2) JET BLACK CADDILAC is a good one for the bottom of tris and supers but not likely a win threat.

Race 5

(2) REASONABLE FORCE went a big first up trip vs. comparable in his season's debut and should be even better tonight; top call. (3) YUCATAN has sneaky good form and could notch his first win of the year here with a bit of luck. (4) CANBEC KINGKAZIMIR continues to race well enough to close late for shares without threatening the winner most nights.

Race 6

(7) TWOMICKEYTRIP faces easier here and his form is good enough to take these; top billing. (4) CRAFTY MASTER cut out a huge 1/2 and predictably stopped vs. better. A more patient drive could see him right there on the money vs. these. (8) D GS JUSTLIKETHAT exits the same heat as the top two and was first up in big fractions; respect.

Race 7

(4) BODY BALANCE has been in tremendous form the past month and comes off a career-best mile last week; call to repeat. (2) DOUBLEDOWN GASS hit the exacta more than 50% of the time last season and looks ready to roll again; for as far as he goes on the front. (9) WILD AND CRAZY GUY exits the Don Mills series where he wasn't disgraced. He can share here.

Race 8

(2) ROBERT HILL showed good closing power in his season's debut and likely leaves more alertly and is prominent throughout here. (1) ARAMBLIN HANOVER has paced two very good miles but he seems to lack the killer instinct as shown in his overall record. (4) SPORTS BETTOR tried the Diplomat Series and was beaten by several good ones. He fits much better here.

Race 9

(2) TEAM CAPTAIN broke his maiden off a 3-week break now returns to a 7-day rotation. He can beat these but should be watched in warm-ups and post parade for soundness. (3) LIBRADO HANOVER was a big winner in his debut and is the likely chalk here off that effort. (6) JEB was a good Grassroots performer last season and comes in with a good qualifier; for a share.

Race 10

(5) CHARMED LIFE so badly lays over this field that she should be barred from wagering. Bet against her at your own risk. (2) HER NAME IS LOLA is in great form and always on the move in her miles; exacta factor. (1) BAX OF LIFE likely rides the rail most of the way and closes late for a share.

Race 11

(9) NATURESCAPE closed a big gap in the second 1/2 of his season debut and could take this if given a more aggressive steer. (2) SPORTSMANSHIP was a powerful first-over winner and is the obvious one to beat here. (1) REGAL SIGHT was visibly going well late last week and is another contender in the finale. (7) TWIN B SCANDAL rarely misses a check and could spice up the exotics at a price here. (8) READ THE PROPOSAL is another that will be passing horses late and could make the bottom rung of vertical wagers.

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