04/15/2016 2:56PM

Mohawk: Monday 4/18 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,3,4/8/4,6,7/3,5,7/2,5 = $10.80

EARLY PICK 4: 3,5,7/2,5/2,4/1,4,5,8 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,4,5,8/1,2,4/1/4,6,7 = $36

MEET STATS: 19 - 50 / $99.00  BEST BETS: 4 - 5 / $28.20

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 5 / $0.00

Best Bet: DONICUS (2nd)

Spot Play: REAL ROCKER (10th)

Race 1

(3) MERCHANDISER qualified much faster than any of these can race but continues to have gait problems at night. He is obviously the fastest horse but is also risky with the trainer down to drive; your call at a short price. (1) ON THE RIDGE spun his wheels a bit late last week but seems the most logical to benefit if the choice blows up. (4) BLENHEIM broke in his season debut but figures to be on the ticket if he behaves this time.

Race 2

(8) DONICUS destroyed his rivals last week in the opening leg of the series and just appears to be too fast for these foes as well. (1) SUMMAJESTIC was interfered with last week but still managed to get a check. He has some upside and can complete this exacta. (2) PUKKA also was a victim of interference and has a good chance to share here if he stays flat.

Race 3

(6) SHIPPEN OUT was a dead-game winner last week, holding off the pocket-sitter. He fits this class like a glove and should be tough again here. (4) YORK SEELSTER showed some improvement first time out for Auciello and gets the stable's main driver now; threat. (7) READ THE PROPOSAL couldn't catch the choice late but rates highly again in his second start for Moreau.

Race 4

(7) LUMIERE was 2nd to a strong winner in his first start over Mohawk and was claimed out of that mile. He rates highly here and should be prominent throughout. (5) MARKATHY was rode gapped-out cover to get second behind a runaway winner Thursday night. He figures if he goes here, but, note the 2 for 53 record the past two seasons. (3) FOUR CORNERS makes his first start off the claim for a barn that sends them ready; using.

Race 5

(2) WILD AND CRAZY GUY and (5) MUSCLE MATTERS both drop to a level where they should be the main players. Give the nod to the former who has faced better consistently but use both in multi-race wagers. (7) HUBBY NUMBER ONE dodges the best trotter in the land and could crash the exotics at a price here.

Race 6

(2) P H KENNY drops back to the non-winners of two class which should make him very tough here. (4) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE took his life's mark here last year and comes in with a decent qualifier on display; using. (5) BIG PETES STYLE needs slightly slower fractions than he got last time which seems unlikely here. Minor award predicted.

Race 7

(1) CASH FOR GOLD was visibly motoring down the centre of the track late in the mile last week and fell just short. He could do here off a trip but is one of several contenders that could get the job done. (4) MURMUR HANOVER drops and dodges a hot horse that won two straight. He should be prominent on or near the lead here. (8) CHARMED LIFE makes her six-year-old debut and will be passing most of these late but may have too much to do late if she drops to the back as expected.

Race 8

(2) P L JERICO faced some decent ones last year and looks ready to go based on his two qualifiers. (4) RUSTY HEFNER made a powerful move to the front in the third 1/4 last time but broke when under pressure. He can contend here. (1) UNICUM BI is the first foal to race from an unraced but well-related dam. His most recent qualifier suggests he has a bit of speed to offer.

Race 9

(1) NEWBIE is razor-sharp and will be tough to beat here, likely at a short price. (6) TIGHTEN UP couldn't threaten the choice when first up last week. He would stand a better chance here if he blasted off the gate and landed in the pocket, which is possible. (3) SINGLE WHITE SOCK has a chance to crack the exotics at a price here with the move inside.

Race 10

(6) REAL ROCKER had a race over the track, finished quickly, and now faces easier. He might be a decent price, too; top call. (4) DEETZY makes his first start out of Zeron's barn and could wake up with a better effort here. (7) LITTLE TURK benefitted from a slowing late pace to win last week and should share here although would need similar luck to repeat. (1) DISTINCTIVE RUSTY raced well from the rail twice at Woodbine and should be able to follow along for a share here. (2) MACHAPELO is another that is likely to follow along and re-emerge late for a share.

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