04/12/2015 4:30PM

Mohawk: Monday 4/13 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

2,4/5,8,9/1,6,10/2,4 = $36

 

LATE $1 PICK 4: 2,4/2,3,6,7,9/8/4,6 = $20

MEET STATS: 3 - 10 / $10.60  BEST BETS: 1 - 1 / $3.40

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 1 / $0.00

Best Bet: DAYLON MAGICIAN (3rd)

Spot Play: GENESEE (8th)

Race 1

(4) GOOD FRIDAY THREE debuts here for Robinson and is the first foal of a well-bred dam that won early. She showed enough late speed in her qualifier to get our attention; top call. (7) SHOOT NC was in a quick mile vs. a tough winner taking an edge and should also improve. (9) MYHONEYTELLSALL can overcome the outside spot for a share.

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Race 2

(5) DOCTOR TERROR has been driven so passively in her first two 2015 starts that she hasn't had a chance to show what she can do. In tonight's Final of the Blossom Series we'll find out and we'll take a shot as she is likely third choice here. (4) CAST NO SHADOW has been lights out on this series as has (6) MAPLELEA who is on a 5-race win skein. Tactics will be interesting here.

Race 3

(5) DAYLON MAGICIAN has returned to the races as good as ever which is bad news for his opponents. Top call at a short price. (1) BURNIN MONEY's results are dependent on trip. He should get out into the top five here, latch onto some good cover and get a good share. (4) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY has been third to the choice the past two weeks, closing strongly both times; contender.

Race 4

(5) MY MAN CHARLEY suffered a brutal park out last time which cost him all chance. From the middle of the gate he can make himself a better trip at a square price. (8) CLOSING CREDITS was the one that took no prisoners in that dash and almost lasted at huge odds; using here. (9) FUTURE MILLION has been consistent at this level and should get a good trip if McNair can float out and land in the top 5 early.

Race 5

(2) SKY DESPERADO made two moves and was closing strongly at the end of the mile, just failing to get up. His chances look strong here. (4) MR DENNIS drops into a claimer for Menary and is a must-use on pick 4 tickets. (10) CHEYENNE RAIDER has been in strong form for weeks but the 10-hole may be the great equalize for him here.

Race 6

(10) HUNCH MAN won once last year - in 1:50 1/5 right here at Mohawk. He flew home in his qualifier and trainer Young has sent several to post ready off layoffs recently. (1) MCKINNEY obviously fits this class as evidenced by his big mile from post 10 last time; the main danger. (6) A REAL ROCKER won a class lower off a sweet trip. This will be tougher.

Race 7

(4) VELOCITY DRIVEN was thwarted by a slow early pace last week, coming his back half in :54 1/5 to just miss. There should be more early speed here to set up his late kick; top call. (2) D GS JUSTLIKETHAT gamely repelled the choice late but was also aided by a pedestrian second quarter which he may not get here. (5) IDEAL SHADOW is in top form but steps out of the NW3 class to face a bit tougher here.

Race 8

(7) GENESSEE goes first off the claim and showed good early speed last time which could be a sign of impending improvement for him. He was a consistent performer at this track last summer. (6) P L GYRO also debuts in a new barn and is in solid form; using. (3) LITTLE QUICK is another - one of five in here, in fact - debuting off the claim. You may want to use all five in your pick 4 if budget allows.

Race 9

(8) SPORTS BETTOR returned to the races last week easily beating NW2 foes as expected. These are tougher but the classy colt should be up to it. (5) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT almost always has good late speed to offer and is the most likely one to capitalize if the choice fails. (3) DECISIVE DESTINY was a big winner in a claimer now steps back into the conditioned ranks in top form.

Race 10

(6) TEA WITH MS MCGILL stormed home in :54 1/5 last week when stepped up into this class. He looks good here but the price will also drop substantially. (4) SINGLE WHITE SOCK was very good early last year and the same appears to be the case this season; using on pick 4 tickets. (5) SHIPPEN OUT closed strongly from the 10-hole last out and should get a slice here. (9) WELL WRITTEN is a consistent check earner and should get one here. (3) READ THE PROPOSAL put up some big fractions last time and stopped. Look for him to revert to a closing style and come late for a share.

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