11/05/2016 1:21PM

Mohawk: Monday 11/7 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

Pick 5: 2,3,6/1,2,3/2,4,8/4,7,9/1,2 = $43.20

Early Pick 4: 4,7,9/1,2/4,8,9,10/1 = $24

Late Pick 4: 3,7/3,4,8,9/3,5/3,8 = $32

MEET STATS: 462-1377 / $2415.90  BEST BETS: 73 – 126 / $228.20

SPOT PLAYS: 31 – 126 / $203.20

Best Bet: NEVER ANY DOUBT (7th)

Spot Play: PAR INTENDED (9th)

Race 1

(2) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER went another long uncovered trip last week yet stayed game and fell inches short. A slightly easier trip should be coming from the inside here; top call. (6) LIFEIMITTATESART was flying late last time and he should be closer early here; using. (3) GIVE EM HECK is a front-end threat again off the claim after holding on to beat the choice. (8) JENKINS CREEK came with a bold rush late circling dead cover to win last week and he's another in with a shot in a contentious opener.

Race 2

(3) MAJESTIC PRESENCE improved sharply to win for Henriksen last week, circling up off excess cover in an impressive performance; call to repeat. (2) I WANT KANDY made a remarkable recovery after breaking to win the other division of this series last week; using. (1) ONE TOO MANY was out the route last week which was a hopeless trip. The inside post gives her a better chance here. (8) WHAMBAMTHANKYOUMAM lost a deep stretch lead to the choice and now she moves outside; smaller share predicted.

Race 3

(8) MAGICAL VALENTINE wasn't far back from the 10-hole last time. The smaller field helps here and she may leave a bit harder this time; slight nod. (4) SUNRISE AVENUE should get a much better trip moving to the middle of the gate here. She should be a top threat. (2) DEVILS ADVOCATE has been coming around for Vanderkemp. A win here would be no surprise. (6) WORK THAT MAGIC will likely revert to a stalking style, which should bring a better result.

Race 4

(4) LADY JEN almost won when leaving from the middle of the gate on October 7th. Expect a similarly aggressive drive here. (7) TARAHUMARA raced much better last time at Flamboro in the slop and she raced well here earlier in the meet; consider at a price. (9) REGAL ROXY has been solid since being claimed two back; using. (5) GROUND SHAKER has a great record this year and she should be a speed threat, at a minimum.

Race 5

(2) QUEENOFTHEJUNGLE made two moves last week and was only passed late for the win. I'll give her the nod here leaving from a good post. (1) TRILIFE had good speed early and late to win last week. You have to toss her on Pick 4 and Pick 5 tickets. (7) DRIFT PANIC may show more early foot this time in her 2nd start over the track; using. (9) TOP ROYAL is as game as they come, but post 9 could prove troublesome for her here.

Race 6

(4) ESCUELA was closing well late last week. She looks better than most in this wide-open head scratcher. (9) MJUSICAL SPELL was game despite being hung out last time. If he can clear quickly here, he may go all the way on the front. (8) P L HERCULES should improve with the class drop. (10) HUBBY NUMBER ONE fits this class well and he can share if he stays flat.

Race 7

(1) NEVER ANY DOUBT was just short in a game effort last week. She should be tough here leaving from the rail. (4) LADY MARINA can improve off last week's even comeback effort. (8) DOCS SAUSALITO is one of the better fillies in this series and she may bring another good price here because of the outer post. (10) LUCKY PLAYER may improve with Lasix added and crash the exotics here.

Race 8

(3) TYMAL WIZARD improved sharply last time when losing to a foe who was taking his fourth straight win; top call here. (7) GIRL DRAMA is in top form, but, notice that she is more likely to take a slice than a win most nights. (1) INCREADABLE FRANK can leave better here and stick around for a share. (4) MOST WANTED LINDY looks logical to hit the ticket as he has been doing most weeks.

Race 9

(8) PAR INTENDED responded well to McNair in the final 1/4 last week and produced an impressive late rush. That driver sticks here; call to repeat. (8) SPORTSMANSHIP went way too fast early last time and stopped badly. Back in with claimers, he should be able to get a breather at some point here. (4) LONEWOLF CURRIER stayed in last week in his first start over the track and got third. He could improve and get a more aggressive steer. (3) COBALT MAN brings good form with him from Flamboro. He is worth a long look here.

Race 10

(3) CATCH THE DREAM made a bold move to the front last time but he fell prey to a speed-killing surface. He can make amends here. (5) ETRUSCAN HANOVER roared up from well back to beat the choice then raced well in the Preferred. He is the main danger. (4) CASH FOR GOLD may find the two above too tough here; minor share predicted. (7) WILD AND CRAZY GUY can be a threat from on or near the pace, but he too is more likely to take a smaller share.

Race 11

(8) AWESOMENESS is on a roll and gets a positive driver change here. Expect aggression and another win. (3) CENTURY CHURCHILL took forever to break his maiden, but he is in good form and can take a big share here. (1) EAST END should race better here from the inside. Toss on vertical bets. (4) GATEWOOD should improve off his recent even effort. (6) ROCK POWER is a good one to use in the 3-4-5 slots here.

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