10/03/2014 5:16PM

Mohawk: Monday 10/6 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: UNABATING (2nd)

Spot Play: WHISKEY TAX (11th)


Race 1

In a very wide open and tough race to gauge (9) PROTÉGÉ SEELSTER shows consistency but needs some racing luck from a tough post.   (6) BACK TO PEACE raced big last out just missing but is 0 for the year; command a price.  (1) BOLD STRIKE comes into the race off an easy victory but is likely to be overbet because of it.  The 5-year-old faces much tougher competition.

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Race 2

(2) UNABATING takes a huge drop in class and just needs a good steer from a suspect driver.  (1) NATURAL FORCES has some question marks coming into the race but does own some back class.  (6) SIX BAX well bred gelding has been better in his last few and finds an inconsistent bunch besides the top choice.

Race 3

(9) AMERICAN LEGEND has been facing much tougher all year and gets a chance to gain some confidence against weaker.  (2) LANCASTER PARK lightly raced colt was overmatched last out but has tons of room to improve.   (1) HIS BOY ELROY two-year-old flashed some talent in his first two starts and could be the sleeper in the race.

Race 4

(5) ODDS ON CYGNUS has just been racing evenly but has beaten better on the year.  (9) BEST RISQUE ultra-consistent mare should offer a better price and will be leaving for position.   (8) OCEANVIEW BINDI takes an aggressive drop in class; threat.

Race 5

(7) MAJOR AARIES well bred colt has unlimited potential and just needs to move forward in his second lifetime start.  (6) BLISSFUL RIVER could be ready for a nice effort on the big track.  (8) HARBOR PLACE gelding has been pacing faster than most in the field but is 0 for the year.

Race 6

(3) SPORTS BETTOR needed his last start in the final and should be much sharper against easier.  (5) ROBERT HILL put in a nice effort from a tough post last out and has been showing improvement with each start.  (2) SHIPPEN OUT has some ability but needs more to get past the top choice; use underneath.

Race 7

In a wide open and evenly matched race (3) EAST MEADOW owns a good burst of speed and should be in a good spot turning for home.  (6) SHIPPS XPECTANCY has paced some fast miles recently but looks to offer low value and has burned cash in two straight; command a price.   (4) WHIPPET GOOD has been competitive at this level but has a question mark in the race bike.

Race 8

(1) WHEELING N DEALIN dropped and popped last start and is the horse to beat from the rail at this level.  (6) MEGO MOSS owns good gate speed which could put the gelding on the ticket with an early breather.  (8) HER NAME IS LOLA mare makes her second start back off a layoff and should have more to offer.

Race 9

(2) PHYSICALLYINCLINED will be very tough to beat with a similar effort to his last few.  (6) ANTAR PHIL nice looking 2-year-old comes into the race off a nice qualifier but needs more to get past the top choice.   (1) WINDSONG LORD has shown a big late kick but does come off a scratch.

Race 10

(10) MEGATRON raced huge last out and should offer value from a tough post.  (1) DECISIVE DESTINY is due for some racing luck from the best post and is better coming from off the pace.  (3) YS LOTUS was sharp prior to the race in the fog; threat.

Race 11

(7) WHISKEY TAX could be sitting in a good spot with an early pace to close into.  (2) DANCEHALL MISTRESS just missed last out at this level and is very consistent from week to week.  (3) SWAN IN A MILLION impeccably bred stallion is trotting at a high level and just needs a smooth trip to have his nose on the wire.

Race 12

(8) VIPER SELECT takes a significant drop in class against weaker.  (4) MONTE CRISTO is 0 for the year but a candidate to hit the ticket with a smooth trip.  (3) MILLIONDOLLARCELL closed good ground last out against similar.

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