10/28/2016 2:50PM

Mohawk: Monday 10/31 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 5,6/1,8/2,4,8/4,5/1,7,10 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 4,5/1,7,10/7,8,9/5,6,8 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 3,8,9,10/2,3,9/1,5,6/2,3 = $72

MEET STATS: 450 - 1333 / $2351.60  BEST BETS: 71 - 122 / $221.70

SPOT PLAYS: 30 - 122 / $195.20

Best Bet: DRIFT PANIC (1st)

Spot Play: SHADOW MARGEAUX (11th)

Race 1

(6) DRIFT PANIC has won five straight after starting her career with 13 straight losses. She goes for a potent barn here in her first Mohawk start; top call. (5) DANCIN IN THE NUDE has been racing against tougher for several starts and she gets a good post to work with here; using. (8) TRILIFE has also faced better, but the vet scratch and outer post here are factors that could work against her. (4) NEVER ANY DOUBT missed three weeks prior to her last start now she goes six days later this time; consider for exotics.

Race 2

(8) WARAWEE PROTON is at the top of his game and he doesn't need to lead throughout to win here; slight nod. (1) TAURUS DU PARC will push the rail and no doubt try to take these all the way. If the choice gets hung out early, it improves his chances greatly. (4) INCREADABLE FRANK has been racing decently at this level ad he is a threat from off-the-pace here. (9) GIRL DRAMA is another that will be passing rivals late, but she may get too far back early from this post; minor share predicted.

Race 3

(2) CONNIE MACH made a big move on a wet track last time but she tired late. She could race much closer to her effort two back where she took a new life's mark if the track is fast here. (8) DOCS SAUSILITO was part of a wicked early pace in a race where the leaders all stopped late last time. She could rebound at a good price here with a different trip. (4) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX has been racing great and she beat older in the Flamboro Mares Preferred last time. She should be included in the Pick 5 in her current sharp form. (6) DEWAR N SODA should be the early leader here and she can stick around for a slice.

Race 4

(4) TEMPUS SEELSTER went some big trips down south in September and she fits well here in the first leg of this stakes series. (5) LADY MARINA has been idle since June but she had a sharp qualifier on October 20th and she has shown she can win racing off the shelf; using. (2) DOCS DIVA was nailed late by a class-dropper last time and she is sharp, but her record would suggest she is more likely to take a minor share. (1) TOP ROYAL should be heard from leaving from the inside; consider for vertical wagers.

Race 5

(7) WORK THAT MAGIC has been racing great from close range. She should be tough in here. (1) I WANT KANDY has built her confidence up racing at Flamboro for several starts. She should be an early speed threat in here, at a minimum. (10) MAGICAL VALENTINE missed four weeks between starts before her last race and understandably tired late. She can be a threat here at a square price. (4) JAGERSRO improved her late speed last time and she can share here off a similar trip.

Race 6

(7) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER went a long way uncovered last week, but he showed grit and determination digging in late for the win; call to repeat. (9) WHO DOESNT is another that went a long trip and he almost survived it, too; using. (8) GIVE EM HECK wasn't beaten far by the choice now he goes for Moreau first time off the claim. He is another to toss on your horizontal tickets. (5) LIFEIMITATESART - a veteran who raced for several years here at the start of his career - has a solid record this season and can be a threat if he is ready to go off the shelf here.

Race 7

(6) LIGHT FT RD ran into a rival on the turn and went off stride for a few strides on the far turn last week, which likely cost him a win. He steps up slightly here which should help his price. I'll give him the nod. (8) JENKINS CREEK squandered a big lead late to one rival now he comes up tagged for the top trainer; using. (5) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE could benefit by moving to the middle of the gate here. He can beat these if he is positioned better at the 3/4 pole. (4) NOBETTORPLACEBE is likely to take a smaller share again.

Race 8

(3) WHAMBAMTHANKYOUMAM went a long mile last time after missing a month's action. An expected better trip puts her right there this time. (10) SUNRISE AVENUE is another that returns much quicker this time and she can be a big threat here despite the post. (9) ONE TOO MANY is worth a look here off the shelf with a sharp qualifier in tow. (8) ABSOLUT SEELSTER is in sharp form and could better this prediction with a decent trip.

Race 9

(2) AWESOMENESS roared up to just miss at big odds last week. He'll be a shorter price tonight, but he has a big shot vs. these. (8) EAST END has been racing okay vs. some decent company. He fits well here and should be a big factor. (3) LYONS SANDS - winner of 4 of his last 5 - is sure to be sent hard off the gate here and he is the one to chase down. (1) NEW STANDARD should pass most of these late to make the ticket.

Race 10

(5) YORK SEELSTEER made a threatening move on the final turn last week, but the pace wasn't slowing enough. Expect a more aggressive steer this time. (6) PAR INTENDED was closing well when a well-beaten third in a quick mile last week. He should be much closer at the finish here. (1) LONEWOLF CURRIER is an able veteran that comes up tagged for his move to Mohawk; using. (7) LETS WAIT AND SEE should be closing for a piece again.

Race 11

(3) SHADOW MARGEAUX took lots of play last week then won a three-pronged battle for early command with the prize being gaining the lead on a night where the front was stopping every race. I'll stick with him and hope for a price here. (2) HOUSE OF TERROR drops off a decent start and he should be closer here. (7) B N BAD can use his good early foot to get position and then stick around for a share. (6) KINMUNDYS STRYKER was flying late at Flamboro. He can crash the exotics at a price here. (5) MILLIONDOLLARCELL can pass many of these late if he isn't stacked up on excess cover.

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