09/30/2016 4:40PM

Mohawk: Monday 10/3 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 4,7/3,6,7/2,3,4,6,7/1,3,9/8 = $18

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,9/8/2,3,6/1,2,8 = $27

LATE PICK 4: 1,4,8/5,6,7/4/3,5,6,8 = $36

MEET STATS: 379 - 1143 / $1963.20  BEST BETS: 63 - 105 / $195.10

SPOT PLAYS: 23 - 105 / $157.90

Best Bet: HEZA THRILL N (5th)

Spot Play: LIGHT FOOT RD (8th)

Race 1

(4) CRACKER ZACK improved on the drop to claimers and was taken by the leading trainer. He meets a weak group here and can break through for his first 2016 win but he also may be heavily bet. (7) BLUSH AND CRUSH should be prominent throughout utilizing his good early speed. (9) ICE O LATE has one of the best drivers in here and he could blow up the tote if he stays flat. (8) BOOTS N HEARTS is worth a look dropping into a claimer here.

Race 2

(7) SCENE A MAGICIAN comes off an easy win in a new life's best and gets a slight nod over (6) MASS PRODUCTION here based on recency. The latter should excel in this company, but the month in between starts is concerning. (3) THEMANOFMYDREAMS is a dangerous speed threat of he can stay flat. (5) NOBLE PRIZE is one of the best closers in here. He could better this prediction and is a good one to use in all of the bottom exotics slots.

Race 3

(7) MAJESTIC STREAK can take these a long way on the lead if he behaves. I'll give him a slight nod in a race full of possibilities. (4) REACH THE PEAK races well for Filion and he returns here; using. (3) ROSE RUN SPEEDSTER is sure-gaited which can be a big advantage here. (2) LIFE WELL LIVED has an excellent record but I'm not sure what to make of his final 1/4 in the September 27th qualifier.

Race 4

(1) JIMMY BE GOOD was completely buried throughout the mile last week. With a clean trip this time, he can rebound at a much better price than he was then. (9) INTENDED STYLE was a big winner off the claim last time and he's the one to beat here. (3) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE is tough in this class and comes off a sharp win; toss on multi-race tickets. (4) GRIN FOR MONEY drops and could rebound with a much better effort after being fried early last time.

Race 5

(8) HEZA THRILL N motored home to just miss in his North American debut. Anything close to a repeat of that effort would make him very tough vs. these. (6) RAYLAN GIVENS raced well in his debut for trainer Menary. Further improvement could be coming here. (1) UF BETTORS HANOVER gets class and post relief and is useable here. (4) P L IDAHO has gone some big miles over this track. He could be trouble if he gets left alone on the lead for a while.

Race 6

(6) ACTION MAJESTY should like getting back to Mohawk, where she is undefeated. A better trip is likely here; top call. (2) FUTURE HEADLINES is sharp and she can be raced effectively from anywhere. (3) YARIS BAYAMA should be a speed threat here leaving from a better post over a track where she took her life's mark. (1) MANHATTAN PLAY may have tipped her hand last time with a much better effort; consider for exotics.

Race 7

(2) SERGEANT SEELSTER was second to a colt that has been sensational in the non-winners classes. If he starts his move earlier here, he can beat these. (1) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE looks like the main threat stepping up off a nice maiden win. (8) MISSEDBYADAY moves in a couple of posts and retains J Mac, who has been great with closers this meet. (9) DAYLINER is worth a look at a price facing easier.

Race 8

(8) LIGHT FOOT RD goes for Auciello who does well with new acquisitions. This one will likely blast off early and try to go coast-to-coast. (4) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER went a big trip pressuring some fast splits when winning at Flamboro. He is sharp and dangerous. (1) AMBLE OVER HANOVER was no match for a powerful winner that was starting for a new barn last week; using. (3) CURATOR is likely to close for a smaller share here.

Race 9

I have always thought (6) AINT THREE OK is one of the best in this division. She can beat these with a decent trip. (5) WINDY SPORT is in great form and is hard to leave off the Pick 4. (7) BLAMEITONTHENIGHT won a Grand Circuit race two back when Gingras drove. She isn't out of this but seems more likely for a smaller share from this post. (1) P L KAHLUAA should get a good following trip here and take a share.

Race 10

(4) MANY FACETS benefitted from a driver change last week and he was ready to produce a big mile. Call to repeat. (8) WHO SAID NOT TO was no match for the winner but he should benefit from having that opener and he can go forward here. (3) PRAIRIECREEKPRINCE made a threatening move in his debut then tired a bit. He should be good for one of the minor shares here. (5) THIS IS MY SONG keeps drifting out down the lane which costs him placings. If he can pace straight, he should be able to hit the ticket here.

Race 11

(6) WEATHERLY closed okay last week in this class and he could get a more aggressive steer this time; slight nod in a contentious finale. (9) LEAFS AND WINGS will be well back early here, but he can mow these down if there is a bit of action early in the mile. (5) SPINFINITI has faced tougher and could wake up with a better performance here. (3) BUGGER MAX can contend from an inner post here. (1) CAMS ORACLE can improve in his second start over the track and take a share.

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