10/14/2016 3:45PM

Mohawk: Monday 10/17 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 2,4,6/5,6/2,5,6/4,5,8,10/5 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 4,5,8,10/5/1,7,9/2,5 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 2,5/3,5,8/4,5/3,4,6 = $36

MEET STATS: 423 - 1248 / $2198.60  BEST BETS: 69 - 114 / $215.70

SPOT PLAYS: 26 - 114 / $171.60

Best Bet: JIMMY BE GOOD (5th)

Spot Play: VICTORIA SEMALU (9th)

Race 1

(6) DAENERYS HANOVER was out a long way first-up last week and still almost survived the trip. She can get a better journey here leaving with her nose on the gate. (4) SHEER TALENT chased the choice down despite going wider than she needed to turning for home using. (2) OUT OF SIGHT faces easier here, but she may be over bet relative to her chances of winning. (1) OK JEWEL scratched Thursday to go in this spot. She can grab a smaller share.

Race 2

(6) SPORTY GUSSIE had some late pace after getting shuffled last week. That was her best race to date. I expect Henry to roll her early here. (5) SOUTHWIND JINGA is another that was shuffled out of contention that should be live here. (2) MANHATTAN PLAY should be a pace factor at a minimum here. (1) TODAYS SPORTS should get a good trip near the front here and stick around for a piece.

Race 3

In a race where the entrants are a combined 0-137, (2) GRACE DUHARAS looks best, but would you take a short price in anything in here? (6) HILARIOUS HERO looks next best with his good tactical speed, but he's already had plenty of chances. (5) VASCO BI re-qualified okay and he's worth a look for the exotics here having failed the least number of times. (3) IM WANTED could share if he can repeat his qualifier.

Race 4

(5) ALWAYS ROCK N ROLL drops back to face his own age group here after testing much more experienced foes last time. He should be right there vs. these. (8) LYONS WILLIAM had a decent debut in a quick mile. He can go forward here off that effort. (4) DEEPFAVE HANOVER is worth a look shipping west and going for Hall of Fame trainer McIntosh in his Mohawk debut. (10) DREAM OF LUCK likely has more to offer than what was shown in his debut but the 10-hole here will be tough to overcome.

Race 5

(5) JIMMY BE GOOD has reeled off two straight powerful first-over wins and he'll be hard to hold off here, too. (7) WALTZKING HANOVER got an easy trip up front and converted in his first start off the claim. This will likely be a tougher assignment, but he's a contender. (9) LISVINNIE started up too late last time, but he kept coming. He can take a slice here. (6) YORK SEELSTER will likely pepper the pace early, but he needs to be able to rate if he is going to last.

Race 6

(1) DANCER HALL looked like a good one last time, rolling by his foes as he pleased. He faces older this time, but it may not matter. (9) REAL LUCKY DAY takes a big class drop here, but he has also missed a month, and he too faces elders. He will likely be an underlay on the board. (7) WINDSONGMUSCLELADY raced well last time, picking up positions while the late pace accelerated; consider. (3) MISSEDYADAY could sneak into the exotics at a big price leaving from a better post.

Race 7

(5) RAYLAN GIVENS has raced better out of Menary's barn, now he comes up tagged here. A win-and-get-claimed scenario seems likely. (2) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE races tougher leaving from inner posts. He looks like a Pick 4 must-use here. (9) HIGHLAND TARTAN should be a pace threat, but notice he finishes third about 1/3 of the time. (7) DIGGIN IN raced a bit better last time now he drops again. He is another to consider and he should offer a square price.

Race 8

(3) TAURUS DU PARC set a quick 1/2 last week then held his foes at bay late. These don't appear to be any tougher; call to repeat. (5) MOONBEAM HALL was a strong winner the last time he raced in this class four starts back; using. (8) INCREADABLE FRANK - second to the choice last week - figures to make the ticket again here. (4) GIRL DRAMA is a good one to use in Tri and Super bets, but she rarely wins.

Race 9

(5) VICTORIA SEMALU and (4) KISS ME OR NOT stand a very good chance of racing 1-2 most of the way here with their good gate speed and leaving from beneficial posts. I'll give the former the nod based on recency. (2) EVAS GIRL could sit a good following trip herself and pounce late; using. (7) DOCS DIVA can rally late for a slice here.

Race 10

(6) WINDSONG LEO was a very good local three-year-old last year who looks like he is coming back around now. I'll give him top call here in a spot that he should like. (4) DALTON DID IT was out too long last week but still almost survived it. A better trip puts him right there vs. these. (3) SPINFINITI had a good race over this track; using. (2) UF BETTORS HANOVER is better racing as a closer which is likely here. (7) COLORADO BUCK has a good record. He can share here.

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marcooo1 4 months ago
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