10/12/2013 4:56PM

Mohawk: Monday 10/14 Analysis

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Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: INTIMIDATE (11th)

Spot Play: KREMLIN (1st)

Race 1

(5) KREMLIN provided high odds last start and closed very well to finish fourth. He draws better and should be much more effective. (6) CASH FOR GOLD comes out of the Vanderkemp barn and is a top threat for this class. He draws well and likely won't offer a price. (7) JUSTCALLMERONALD is fresh off a win by open lengths, is very versatile and is a good option for the triactor.

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Race 2

(5) WACO BRUISER is fresh off a win, comes out of Auciello's barn and is capable of the class jump. (8) MEETYOUATMIDNIGHT comes out of the Gillis barn and hasn't missed the board in two career starts. (3) P L HAYMAKER draws inside and celebrated her first career win last week. He has the speed and should get an inside trip.

Race 3

(5) WHATA DONATO raced very well last week despite the tough trip. She was sent off as the favourite and remains at the same class. I'll try her again. (7) J M SHOWCAT has a good record this season and is very versatile. He has the speed and appears to race at his best on the front. (4) MAGIC PEACH closed very well last week and draws inside. She gets Zeron back in the bike and should offer a fair price.

Race 4

(6) WEATHER HANOVER comes out of the Austin barn and raced very well last week. He got an inside trip, closed well and that sets him up well in here. (2) ITALIAN REBEL draws inside, comes out of Menary's barn and will look for a rebound effort. (10) O U DEVIL was timed in 1:54 2/5 last week. He'll have to overcome post 10 and will offer a higher price.

Race 5

(4) BURNIN MONEY should appreciate the class drop. He draws well and has a good record this season. (2) WINDSONG GEANT also drops in class and is lightly raced this season. He's displayed the speed needed for this class, but tends to be inconsistent. (8) ONTHEMONEYSIDE has been at her best in her last two starts. She comes from a top barn and is a good option for this class.

Race 6

(2) DUE WEST HANOVER draws inside and has a terrific late kick. If he's within range turning for home, I like his chances. (8) LENNON BLUE CHIP is a classy veteran, comes out of Moreau's barn and raced very well last week in this class. (5) VAL AMERICA has a midpack post to work with and should be a threat.

Race 7

(5) LUCKY JOURNAL did all the work last start en route to finishing fourth. He was the favourite and although he moves up in class, he displayed the speed last week to fin at this level. (6) TEX is a good option in here, but tends to be inconsistent. He finished second in this class two back. (10) J JETSTAR will have to overcome post 10 and gets Zeron in the bike.

Race 8

(10) JETTINS DRAGON has won three of his last four starts, comes out of the Johnson barn and remains at the same level. (3) SEA HARRIER has been much better in his last three starts and draws inside. He has a good closing kick and is in top form. (5) SANTANNA ONE comes out of the Gillis barn and has finished third in each of his last two starts in this class. He gets post relief and Jamieson back in the bike.

Race 9

(3) WHITE SPORTSCOAT draws inside and did most of the work last week before settling for second. He gets McNair back in the bike and likely will be the favourite once again. (6) TWIN B FREEDOM has a good record this season and is lightly raced. He has the speed, qualified well and is capable of dropping more time. (5) KINMUNDYS STRYKER has won two straight and comes out of Shepherd's barn. He has a good overall record and capable of making the transition onto this circuit.

Race 10

(4) SIR MACHALOT finally draws inside and is a top threat in this class. He's raced from off the pace and shouldn't get away too far back this week. (8) CANBEC KINGKAZIMIR comes out of the Demers barn, has gate speed and has hit the board in each of his last two starts. (9) TITAN DE VIE was timed in 1:52 3/5 last start and draws outside. He'll offer a high price, but raced very well last week.

Race 11

(3) INTIMIDATE will look for his fifth straight win before he heads to the Breeders Crown final next weekend. He's clearly the horse to beat. (5) KNOWS NOTHING has raced very well in his last number of starts and will likely be the second choice. (6) CATCH THE DREAM has a solid overall record this season and finished third in this class last week. He'll likely offer a price and is very capable of hitting the board.

Race 12

(8) SHADOW BARAN has a good record this season and continues to be a top threat in this class. (10) NOTHINGBUTMACH comes out of the Montini barn and drops in class. That's the main reason for my selection. (4) WILDCAT ART has a terrific record this season, comes from a high percentage trainer and likely won’t offer a price. He draws well and is a good option in here.

 

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