10/07/2016 3:19PM

Mohawk: Monday 10/10 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 2,8/1,2,7/1,3,5,7/5.9/2,4,6 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 5,9/2,4,6/4,5,8/1,5,6,8 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 1,5,6,8/2,3,4/4,7/4,7,8

MEET STATS: 406 - 1196 / $2103.00  BEST BETS: 67 - 110 / $208.10

SPOT PLAYS: 24 - 109 / $162.80

Best Bet: CRACKER ZACK (1st)

Spot Play: MONSTER IN LAW (7th)

Race 1

(8) CRACKER ZACK destroyed the field in an amateur driver's race last week and he was claimed by Johnson. He can repeat here. (2) TAURUS DU PARC gets Filion for the first time and he and trainer Larocque are a potent combo; using. (5) TOY IS OURS broke when making a threatening move on the far turn last time. He has had major gait issues in the past. Proceed with caution here. (3) MOST WANTED LINDY can close for a smaller share here.

Race 2

(7) HILARIOUS HERO may have disliked the wet conditions last time. He can rebound here. (2) LADY GREY is another that can rebound if she stays flat. She figures here despite facing older. (1) A DOOZY is another two-year-old in with a chance here if she behaves. (3) ANDOVERS CHOICE has taken slices in close to 50% of his starts; consider for exotics.

Race 3

(3) AMERICAN ROCK went a big uncovered trip to win his first of the year at Flamboro last time. He fits well here in a conditioned claimer. (5) JIMMY BE GOOD also raced great on the rim to win last week. He should be a big threat here, too. (1) JENKINS CREEK can improve sharply here moving to the inside and picking up Henry. (7) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE is one of the best closers here, but he may fall victim to trip and pace.

Race 4

(5) SAFEKEEPING was beaten by a good one last time who came back to repeat on Thursday night. She can get back on track with a win here. (9) TRUMPETS will have a class advantage over most here and she should be a big threat. (7) DEVILS ADVOCATE has been racing better of late. She can take a share here. (4) HILLS ANGEL should be a pace threat here but is unlikely to last for more than a small share.

Race 5

(2) MANHATTAN PLAY should be much closer early here facing easier and she can break her maiden with a reasonable trip. (4) SOUTHWIND JINGA has shown sharp improvement in her last two starts; using. (6) SHEER TALENT can race much better if she can avoid being first up this time. (3) SNAPPY DRESSER can pass rivals late in this mile and take a slice.

Race 6

(8) GIRL DRAMA has a weak win record this year, but this may be the easiest spot she has found so far; slight nod. (4) COMMISSIONER DALEY could get sent on a speed mission here dropping into a claimer and picking up Henry to drive. (5) HORATIO finishes third regularly and could do so again here. (6) VALENCIA SOL was on a good roll vs. much cheaper out of town. He would need to be faster here to contend for the win.

Race 7

(5) MONSTER IN LAW showed some late interest last time and could get put into play much earlier this time. (1) CHOSEN HOMBRE has been racing decently out of town; he could trip out here. (8) LEAFS AND WINGS is one of the best in here, but will he be asked to sweep them all which is a tall chore in any race? (6) WIN ONE SOON could be the pacesetter here and he isn't out of this if he can get a breather or two.

Race 8

(2) SPORTS LIGHTNING can take this if he is raced more aggressively as he was two starts back. (3) WEATHERLY was an easy winner vs. cheaper last week. If he can get a similarly good trip up front, he will be dangerous here. (4) DALTON DID IT raced well in a strange race where the leader put up an insane 1/2 then stopped to a walk; using. (5) UF BETTORS HANOVER is one of the better closers in here, if he is raced in that style.

Race 9

(7) BEAST MODE has really bottomed out since starting in the North America Cup final in June, but his last two starts were okay and he may spring back to life here at the bottom conditioned level. (4) SUNNY BEACH DAY did okay last week chasing a leader that was going far too fast. He should be a threat here. (5) MILLIONDOLLARCELL closed decently off excess cover last week; consider for Tri and Super bets. (3) CAMS ORACLE takes small slices regularly and he can do that here.

Race 10

(8) INTENDED STYLE and (7) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT are the only class droppers in here and they both should be raced near the front. Slight nod to the former based on win record. (4) SCOTTY MACH N closed sharply off excess cover last week. Zeron will be winding him up turning home again. (5) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER has come to life in his past two starts and he should be in the thick of things here, too. (6) PANEDICTINE always seems to be in contention but he rarely wins; minor award could be his ceiling here after missing a couple of weeks.

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