06/14/2012 1:12PM

Mohawk: Jay Bergman, Bob Pandolfo are "Thinking Out Loud" about Mohawk 3-year-old stakes

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Race 3 - Elegantimage - 3-year-old filly trot

Bergman: Too often reputation plays a bigger role in handicapping than actual form. Such is the case when analyzing a three-year-old based solely on two-year-old form. Looking at last year’s premier two-year-old fillies its my opinion that although Win Missy B has not won and Check Me Out has won twice, that Win Missy B is in better form for the Elegantimage final. Her individual first three quarters last week were stunning and more often than not in modern times it’s that kind of speed work that sets a trotter up for a big effort. Check Me Out has yet to flash the kind of wicked speed she did as a juvenile. Is she holding back or is her career in a holding pattern? Personal Style could very well beat the top pair from an inside position. Miss Paris is a legitimate check getter.

Selections: (2) Win Missy B, (3) Check Me Out, (10) Personal Style, (9) Miss Paris

Pandolfo: MAVEN was good last year but she has matured and is a faster filly as a three year old. Gingras is great on trotters and I think she has an excellent chance to upset. The nice thing about this Mohawk track is that you don’t have to leave to win, closers can win here which makes it one of the better harness ovals. CHECK ME OUT is the obvious favorite with 16 wins in 19 career starts but so far she seems to be about the same filly she was last year, which may be good enough, but I could not bet her at short odds. WIN MISSY B set a quick pace over a track that favored closers and held the show; she is the one to catch but she seems better suited to smaller ovals. MISS PARIS finished well from a tough spot in last but she gets post 9 and would most likely need a complete pace meltdown to upset; she should be ready for best in third off the layoff.

Selections: (4) Maven, (3) Check Me Out, (2) Win Missy B, (9) Miss Paris

 

Race 5 - Goodtimes - 3-year-old open trot

Bergman: There’s no question that Kadabra has been a superstar stallion in Ontario and we have every reason to believe his horses can compete with any in North America. Il Mago has the look of perhaps the best three-year-old colt thus far. With trotting-Trevor Ritchie in the bike last week he was airborne finishing wide and strongly. Guccio was more of a grinder in his elimination than the super speedster he appeared to be a week earlier at the Meadowlands. Takter is very sharp with shoeing his horses and Guccio is likely to be more motivated this week. Market Share boasts the same connections as last year’s soph Crown champ Chapter Seven but just may not have that kind of talent. Knows Nothing will be tested this week.

Selections: (2) Il Mago, (8) Guccio, (3) Market Share, (4) Knows Nothing

Pandolfo: LINDYS JERSEY BOY is 25-1 on the morning line and only has one career win but he has shown improvement in both of his three year old starts and raced well without cover in last. I have a lot of respect for this trainer and the improving colt picks up Sears tonight. There are some solid trotters in here but no superstars so the race could be won by a longshot. MARKET SHARE was given a perfect drive by Tetrick to win from post 9 and I liked the way he finished after making an early move and being outside for a good part of the mile. Note too that he made up good ground on the final turn, which is a good sign (he doesn’t need a straightaway to accelerate). KNOWS NOTHING is undefeated in 5 lifetime starts, all this year, and last week he stepped up his game and sliced almost three seconds off his prior best time. He should be tough here. IL MAGO is another improving colt and he finished fastest of all from post 11 last week. He doesn’t have the smoothest gait but he has a superb trotting driver, Trevor Ritchie, and a chance to upset if he continues to improve.

Selections: (1) Lindys Jersey Boy, (4) Market Share, (3) Knows Nothing, (2) Il Mago

 

Race 7 - North America Cup - 3-year-old open pace

Bergman: Perhaps there is some sentimentality to this selection but it’s still hard to imagine that trainer Bob McIntosh’s Hall of Fame career lacks a North America Cup victory. He’s got two chances in this one and most would venture they are long ones. Still Thinking Out Loud bounced back brilliantly from a poor performance in the Somebeachsomewhere with a big third place overland journey against the two favorites in here. Randy Waples could seize the racetrack early and get lucky should the pace become contentious. Sweet Lou has been brilliant his entire career. You just have to wonder whether he can repeat that kind of mile. Bettors Edge has enough early speed to be in the equation. A Rocknroll Dance needs to step up his game in a big way if he’s to compete with these.

Selections: (5) Thinking Out Loud, (4) Sweet Lou, (1) Bettors Edge, (7) A Rocknroll Dance

Pandolfo: THINKING OUT LOUD had post 9 in last and took a lot of air, had to rally wide on the final turn when his cover weakened and he was charging hard late in a very fast race. The improving colt may be worth a price. WARRAWEE NEEDY went one of the best miles I’ve ever seen for a colt making his first start as a three year old last week. He showed speed then chased Sweet Lou home and was a solid second in a blazingly fast race while not really urged much. I expect that he’ll head to the front and try to wire these. The key to this race is what happens when Sweet Lou comes up to him. Does Warrawee yield or does he play hard ball and try to stretch the favorite out? If this race was run at Woodbine I’d put him on top but it won’t be easy to go wire to wire here. SWEET LOU was giant in last as he brushed past Warrawee Needy and held sway rather easily in a fast race. There’s always the possibility that a horse peaked too soon when they go that fast in an elimination but trainer Ron Burke has said that this horse recovers quickly. At some point you’d have to think that he’ll be in a speed duel with Warrawee Needy here so this could be a very fast race indeed. If Palone is patient and works out a cover trip he could win for fun. TIME TO ROLL has developed rapidly for Takter and finished fast from far back in the weaker elimination last week. This colt has already shown that he will dig down hard on the wire. The only knock here is that he is stepping up to face a much tougher group.

Selections: (5) Thinking Out Loud, (8) Warrawee Needy, (4) Sweet Lou, (3) Time To Roll

 

Race 9 - Fan Hanover - 3-year-old filly pace

Bergman: Now is no time to give up on Economy Terror. Despite the poor draw and the likelihood that she’ll be double-teamed by the uncoupled Brittany entry, this daughter of Western Terror has enough talent to overcome. Last week’s warm-up trip may prove beneficial to those price shopping and that includes this corner. American Jewel wasn’t tested last week but should find some challenges early and often here. Big McDeal has done nothing wrong thus far as a three-year-old for her new connections and is certainly in a good spot. Romantic Moment meets a tougher group this time around.

Selections: (9) Economy Terror, (5) American Jewel, (3) Big McDeal, (4) Romantic Moment.

Pandolfo: BIG MCDEAL beat American Jewel at Lexington last October and they’ve both come back sharp year. AMERICAN JEWEL lost her first start of the year but came back with a nice wire to wire score to hold off Big McDeal. With 9 wins in 11 career starts, she is a legitimate favorite here. ECONOMY TERROR was first over against the favorite in last and held nicely. Sears will have to gun from the gate this time and this filly has talent. PIROUETTE HANVOER made a nice middle-move in last and she has Ron Pierce, who excels in these events.

Selections: (3) Big Mcdeal, (5) American Jewel, (9) Economy Terror, (7) Pirouette Hanover