09/07/2016 4:15PM

Mohawk: Friday 9/9 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,4/4,5,7/1,2,5/2,4,9/1,3,5,8 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,9/1,3,5,8/2,7/1,5 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 2,6/3,4,5,6/3,5/1,3,4 = $48

MEET STATS: 329 - 981 / $1721.40  BEST BETS: 54 - 91 / $172.30

SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 91 / $119.10

Best Bet: CAPRICE HILL (8th)

Spot Play: P C DREAM TICKET (5th)

Race 1

(4) VEGAS DREAM was a good 2nd to a sharp repeat winner last week now moves inside and fits well in here. He could take his first victory of 2016 to kick off this card. (3) MAYFIELD DUKE has been racing well in Grassroots company and should contend here, but keep in mind the semi-finals and finals of those divisions are coming up soon. (7) THINK AGAIN and (10) MACHIN A TRICK were both well behind the choice last time but they could be closer here as the race plays out differently.

Race 2

(4) RUBIO was a strong winner in Grand Circuit competition here last week and looks best here, too. (5) WHAT THE HILL couldn't hold the choice off down the lane last time but he could be sharper here coming back in a week this time. (7) SIGNAL HILL looked good bottoming out the field for his first stakes win and the $250K buy is improving quickly. He's not out of this. (3) INTERNATIONAL MONI picks up Scott Zeron here; he should have him closer early and he is an exotics factor.

Race 3

(5) VICTOR GIO IT has had two tough trips in a row. He can get back on track here with a more aggressive steer. (1) KING OF THE HILL was too far back last time but still closed late for 2nd. He should be a big threat here. (2) SEVEN AND SEVEN is likely one of the more talented colts in here and he moves in several posts; using. (3) SOUTHWIND COBRA picks up Tetrick here and has shown enough speed to contend with this group.

Race 4

(4) BRING ME DIAMONDS comes off a solid first-up effort and may try to go down the road here. (9) STYLISH BEACHWARE moves up off a strong win, but she may be an underlay from this post. (2) QUEENOFTHEJUNGLE raced great last time despite missing three weeks. She's in with a decent shot here and will likely lay closer early. (1) DIXIE LULLABY never misses a check and should make the Tri or Super ticket here.

Race 5

(8) P C DREAM TICKET has raced decently the past two starts now he gets a huge driver change. He can beat this nondescript group with an aggressive steer. (3) POINTE OF INQUIRY comes off a sharp win and could surprise here if raced near the front again. (1) LESLIE ROAD ships in with decent form vs. claimers and is another to consider in a wide-open dash. (5) TOTALLY RIPPED drops and gets a good post to work with; using.

Race 6

(7) APPLE PIE ANGEL has been lights out her past three starts and she will take beating again here despite facing several class droppers. (2) GOOD WILL HANOVER backed up vs. the best sophomore pacing fillies on the continent last week. These should be much easier and she should produce a better result. (5) OUR HOT MAJORETTE and (4) MAPLELEA both drop from the Preferred and should be heard from but will also probably be overbet relative to their chances.

Race 7

(1) ARTISTIC MADISON drops and moves inside. Expect an aggressive steer and her first win of 2016 here. (5) REQUEST FOR PAROLE had a race over the track and she also gets class relief here. She should be much closer this time. (7) MISS COCO LUCK is another class-dropper to consider. She has developed a fairly effective closing style recently. (4) NINETTE B is a good one to use in the minor slots here.

Race 8

(6) CAPRICE HILL has been sensational recently and deserves top billing here based on recent performances. (2) CELEBRITY EVENTSY is classy, consistent and she is the main rival to the choice in here. (7) EMOTICON HANOVER has been on a roll but she may find the top too just too good here. (3) SOUTHWIND PEARL can go better here if she can find a live helmet to follow this time.

Race 9

(3) DREAM CHILD took a shuffle last week then re-emerged late for second. That was her best race in a while and could signal further improvement here. (5) SIDE BET HANOVER rates highly after finishing 2nd to Caprice Hill here last week. (6) FLOWERS N SONGS couldn't fish out any cover last week and she paid the price late. She is capable of upsetting off a better trip. (4) ROYAL CHARM has a strong late kick and she is another that could surprise if things fall apart late.

Race 10

(5) KATIE SAID got going way too late last start and still only fell a 1/2 length short. The smaller field should help her chances here, provided the early pace is honest; slight nod. (3) LADY SHADOW has put together some sensational miles this summer and she loves Mohawk. She's the one to beat, likely at odds-on. (1) ANDROVETTE moves into Moreau's barn here which is interesting considering her former trainer of record is part-owner. (6) SANDBETWEENURTOES paced her own back 1/2 in 53 3/5 last start. She is worth a look here, probably at a square price.

Race 11

(3) BET YA paced a strong first-over effort last week and appears to be at the top of her game now. The step up here is not that great; top call. (1) REGALLY READY should show much more moving inside and dodging the white-hot Apple Pie Angel here. (4) BAD AS LEADER race last week showed marked improvement and she is worthy of Pick 4 consideration here. (2) ST LADS PENNY LANE has been racing well and she should take a share here. (6) FOREVER LIZA is a sharp sophomore that is likely prepping for a sires stakes here. She can close late for a piece, however.

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