09/02/2015 2:03PM

Mohawk: Friday 9/4 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


4,7/7,8,9/2,3,7/3,6 = $36


LATE PICK 4: 3,5,6,7/1,4,6,8/3,6,9/1 = $48

MEET STATS: 278 - 903 / $1566.20 BEST BETS: 38 - 81 / $126.30

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 78 / $86.80


Spot Play: LEAN HANOVER (5th)

Race 1

(7) GOOD WILL HANOVER has been lights out to start her career. She faces better here but is likely up to it. (1) HEAVENLY HILL was a sharp OSS Gold winner at Georgian and Menary's barn has been hot this week. She's the one to beat. (6) HEAVENLY BET set a solid pace and kept going for a nice win last time. She can be a threat here.

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Race 2

(6) ANDRO MADI couldn't keep up in a wickedly fast mile at Georgian but was still a respectable 4th. She could boss this group from start to finish. (4) LUTETIA SEMALU has been racing well out of town and could trip out in the choice's pocket here. (3) BLAZINHART HANOVER has been tagging along for shares at the B tracks and comes here in sharp form. She should share here.

Race 3

(1) SOUTHWIND FRANK's only loss came when he broke stride. He has been dominant otherwise and is tough to go against here. (3) MARION MARAUDER was ridiculously overbet off a 5-week break last time in a race he obviously needed. He should go much better here. (9) BROOKLYN HILL has finished 2nd to the choice in the past two but it's worth trying to beat him out of the exacta starting from out there.

Race 4

(4) TABOO SEELSTER hasn't been embarrassed in conditioned races the past three starts now drops back into claimers where she was doing well in July; top call. (7) DAZZLING ROCKETTE has unsuccessfully tried the front in both starts for Moreau. Expect a different trip and better result here. (1) A LOT OF SENSE is always a late-closing threat in this class; using.

Race 5

(8) LEAN HANOVER was closing well late last time but the pedestrian early fractions killed his chances. He should get a quicker early pace to chase here; top call. (7) DEEP IMPACT has been excellent in all three starts and is the one to beat here. (9) DEWEYLOVERNLEAVER has won three straight $70 K Gold dashes and is a must-use on early pick 4 tickets. (3) DOMINION BEACH has repeatedly faced the top rookie trotting colt on the continent and shouldn't be sold short either in this competitive Champlain Stakes division.

Race 6

(7) GRACIES PARADE was ready to pounce off excess cover late last time but the slowish third 1/4 hurt her chances. A quicker early pace here would likely see her vaulting past late. (2) ARTIAWITCHTOYOU was a sharp winner but that was off a perfect trip which would be hard to predict happening here. (3) RIDE AWAY SHARK faced much better last time and wasn't far back. She could beat these off a decent trip.

Race 7

(3) DANIELLE HALL has had all kinds of issues this year but last week she looked like her old self again when 2nd to the best sophomore trotting filly around. We'll give her a slight nod over the white-hot (6) ELEGANT SERENITY, who has really turned into the filly she was bred to be. (4) SPEAK TO ME was a late third behind the choice last time and should share here, too.

Race 8

(7) ROLLTIDEROLL has hit her best stride again and seems to have little opposition for the front signed on here; coast-to-coast. (6) I GOT TO BOOGIE was an unlucky loser last time in the final stride and should be right there vs. these. (5) SHADYS M THREE almost got there last week against a very sharp winner and isn't without a shot in here.

Race 9

(6) ETRUSCAN HANOVER raced extremely well two back when 2nd in the Vincennes and is capable of producing some wicked speed when flat. He should be a good price here; call to upset. (1) MASTER OF LAW closed with a furious rush to win in this class when last here in July. He will be coming late, obviously. (4) MARKET SHARE is undoubtedly the class of the field but isn't having the most productive season and is likely to be a big chalk here; playing against in the win pool.

Race 10

(3) LIGHTS GO OUT may be able to beat a couple of these off the gate starting from the inside which would help with her late assault. She's sharp but needs to get rolling earlier to get the job done here. (9) MILEYS BIG WORLD is unbeaten for Moreau since the claim but might face more pressure here and isn't going to win forever. (6) ACT NOW tried it first up and was repelled by the one above last time. She could turn the tables if she can fish out some cover.

Race 11

(1) WITCH DALI was flying late last time, signaling a return to her best form; top call. (5) AMERICAN IN PARIS chased the very tough Lady Shadow around the track last week and held her own. She's dangerous here. (6) MAJOR DANCER isn't having the most productive year but has faced some tough mares and could factor here.

Race 12

(7) BRESCIA SEELSTER almost held on in a swift mile at Georgian last time and was facing better prior to that; top call in the finale. (8) RIVER RISING should be closing for a good piece of this. (2) HOLLYROCKER switches to the Coleman barn and comes in off a good qualifier. (3) OCEANVIEW BINDI has had gait issues recently but also comes in off a good qualifier. (4) JUSTABIT MEAN almost always grabs a check and should here, too.

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