09/28/2016 3:57PM

Mohawk: Friday 9/30 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 2,3/1,5/3/3,4,5,7,10/1,2,4,5,7,9 = $24

EARLY PICK 4: 3,4,5,7,10/1/3,5,7/1,7,8 = $45

LATE PICK 4: 6/3,4,5/1,2,4/1,3,6,7 = $36

MEET STATS: 375 - 1133 / $1957.30  BEST BETS: 62 - 104 / $193.00

SPOT PLAYS: 23 - 104 / $157.90

Best Bet: L A DELIGHT (3rd)

Spot Play: LIGHTS GO OUT (11th)

Race 1

(2) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU faces easier here from a better post and she should get put into play earlier; top call. (3) TRILIFE blasted off the gate in the Grassroots semi-finals but tired late from the early over-exertion. A projected easier trip from a better post makes her dangerous here. (7) DANCIN IN THE NUDE is racing well but figures likely to take a smaller share starting from out there. (4) HP SISSY has a very good win record this year but she may find a couple of these too tough.

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Race 2

(5) WINDSUN REVENGE performed admirably in the Maple Leaf Trot vs. much tougher now gets a good post to work with here back in the Preferred; top call. (1) CHARMED LIFE is in top form and should get a good trip working from the inside post; using. (2) INTIMIDATE will break through with a win sometime soon, but in this race the top two will likely be hard to handle. (4) WHISKEY TAX won in this class last week vs. easier. He should make the ticket, but a repeat is unlikely.

Race 3

(3) L A DELIGHT comes off a Jugette win and should have no trouble with these Ontario Sires Stakes foes; Pick 5 single. (6) DIVAS IMAGE has been managed smartly this year and looks next best here.  (5) FOREVER LIZA showed some grit last week winning off a tough trip. She can share here despite facing tougher. (8) PARTY IN ROME will be winding up late from far back. She can pass a few of these down the lane.

Race 4

(4) DIXIE LULLABY continues to race well and she should notch her third win soon; slight nod in a contentious dash. (10) SELLING THE DREAM was absolutely flying at the wire last week. If she is close enough turning for home here, look out! (7) NAUGHTY LADY B should find this class more to her liking; using. (3) VINTAGE BABE continues to race well but will need to find more late speed to beat these.

Race 5

(1) SHOW TIME HILL gets major post relief after finishing quickly without threatening last week. She can take her first win of 2016 here. (4) JORDIES HOPE will leave one of these weeks and pull off a shocker; maybe tonight? (5) ARTISTIC MADISON has seen better days but she is worth a look here making her second start for Menary and dropping in class. (7) ADAYMER SEELSTER has been racing better and also class drops here. She too is worth a look in a race that demands deep coverage.

Race 6

(7) UTOPIA continues to race well every week and he should get a favorable pace scenario here; top call. (3) NEILS GOLDEN GIRL took a new life's mark in this class last time out. He is sharp and dangerous racing from close range; using. (5) CLASSIC VENTURE is right there every week and is another that should be considered for early Pick 4 tickets. (8) TONY SPORANO has been facing the best sophomore trotters on the continent but this is no easy assignment and he could be prepping for the OSS Superfinal. Be leery of taking a short price on him.

Race 7

(7) LYONS RIVER PRIDE has impressed in her two victories here and while she will probably need to pace faster here, she may be up to it. (1) HOPE FOR PADDY typically wins when she dives in class but she figures to get a good trip here stepping back up and she could double up. (8) A PLUS fits here and is another that should be considered in the cash leg of the early Pick 4. (2) BET YA continues to take a share every week and tonight should be no different.

Race 8

(6) OUR HOT MAJORETTE took a new life's mark in a similar class two back before taking on the best in North America. I would expect a big performance here. (2) VOODOO CHARM steps up off a sharp win in a new life's best time. Consider her for the exotics here. (8) MAPLELEA can pass many of these late and grab a share. (3) SAYITALL BB ships in with some good lines but she will likely need one after missing a month's action.

Race 9

There is little to choose between (4) MAYHEM SEELSTER and (5) LAY LADY LAY here. I will give the nod to the former based on post advantage and her good tactical speed. (3) BOURBON SEELSTER exits Grand Circuit company but the four weeks of inactivity leads me to look elsewhere for the winner. (8) DOCS SAUSILITO is in tremendous form and she could share here despite facing much tougher.

Race 10

(1) WILD AND CRAZY GUY made two moves from an outer post when dropped to this class last time and he only tired late. Expect a better result here with him moving from the outermost post to the pylons to start. (2) CHARLIE IS A JOKER should be prominent here if he can stay trotting this time. (4) MYSTERY BET is always a threat to come powering on by late if he can recapture his typical sharp late speed. (3) DOMEDOMEDOME figures to get a good trip here and take a smaller share.

Race 11

(1) LIGHTS GO OUT class drops and she should be tough if she is raced as aggressively as she was last time; top call. (3) BIG TSUNAMI has never been better and she could offer a good price again here; using. (7) AINSLEYNOELLE drops to a class where she fits better and she should threaten if she is provided with a reasonable trip. (6) ST LADS PENNY LANE fits this class well and she should be closing late for a piece. (8) SOUTHWIND GEISHA should take a closing style approach this time and she too can pass rivals for a share.

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