09/23/2015 2:04PM

Mohawk: Friday 9/25 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


5,10/2,5,7/2,4,5/1,2,6 = $54


LATE PICK 4: 8,10/2,4,6,7/3,8,10/3,7 = $48

MEET STATS: 339 - 1076 / $1893.00  BEST BETS: 48 - 96 / $155.30

SPOT PLAYS: 14 - 92 / $154.30

Best Bet: HOLLYROCKER (12th)

Spot Play: LYONS LEVI LEWIS (11th)

Race 1

(5) MASS RAIL was racing well up to the Grassroots semi-final when a break in stride took her out of contention. She gets lots of early speed to stalk here and should be motoring up late if he stays flat. (9) HAPE is another closer with gait issues that figures to do well here if she behaves. (7) POINTE OF INQUIRY is capable of laying down some big fractions and sticking around - see her Aug. 18 mile; beware.

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Race 2

(6) VEGAS ROCKS simply went too fast early last week and got picked off late. More careful rating gets the job done here. (5) SPORTSMANSHIP has been solid the past month and is the closer most likely to benefit if the fractions set are too fast for the choice again. (4) AMERICAN ROCK has shown great improvement recently and should be respected in this spot.

Race 3

(4) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR has two wins and a close 2nd in three starts in this class and holds a tactical edge in this short field; call to repeat. (6) OLE JACK MAGIC has impressed with his late determination in his past two starts and shouldn't be sold short here. (2) SLIP INTO GLIDE was cutting into the choice's lead late and is another with a shot here.

Race 4

(5) I GOT TO BOOGIE beat better in this class two back and looks solid here vs. mostly win-shy types. (10) NINE LIVES HANOVER took a lot of money last time in a NW 3 class and wasn't beaten far by a filly that would likely dust this group. She's interesting here and may offer a square price starting from out there. (9) ONYOURMARKNATAVA came out of the same race as the one noted above to race well at a big price last week. She never gets bet but pops at huge prices now and then.

Race 5

(5) REGAL SIGHT couldn't keep up to a quick pace in his Grassroots semi-final but did still have some late zip evident. This is a much better spot for him. (2) PANTHEON HANOVER was a good 3rd to a couple of sharp older foes last time now gets to face his own age group; using. (7) SPORTING THE LOOK has the speed to contend here and it wouldn't be a surprise if Jamieson sent this one early.

Race 6

Both (4) ALEXIE MATTOSIE and (5) LIVE AND LEARN went tough first-over trips last week and look sharpest in here. We'll give a slight edge to the former who was pressing faster splits. (2) THORN IN MY SIDE will likely be winging early and is a threat to take these all the way. (10) THEPANINSULAHOTEL was a sharp winner last week and is another to consider for your early pick 4 tickets.

Race 7

(1) WITCH DALI was picked off very late by a razor-sharp foe two back then tried Lady Shadow first-up last time. She stands a good chance to take this group down. (6) MARQUISE DE SARAH looks like she has reached the top of her form cycle and Menary knows how to keep this mare sharp for several starts. She's the main danger. (2) ARTISTIC MADISON got very ambitious and tried the Milton Stakes last week to no avail. She is a tough mare that knows where the wire is. Toss her on your early pick 4 ticket.

Race 8

(8) BAROCKEY raced well off the claim and was only beaten by a sharp mare that went a big trip. She could take this group coast-to-coast. (10) FOOLISH MIND returns from a layoff in a new barn and closed well enough in her qualifier to get our attention. (2) WILDCAT HANNA continues to grab lesser shares which is likely here, too.

Race 9

(4) LIGHTS GO OUT faces several class droppers here which could help her price. She's sharp enough to beat these if she can leave in the top six. (6) CANDYS A VIRGIN just missed making the Milton final and should be heard from here vs. easier. (2) KISS ME OR NOT fell just short a class higher last time and is capable with the right trip.

Race 10

(10) HOPE FOR PADDY takes a class plunge here and post 10 may add to her price. Filion should be able to coax some early speed out of her and get a position from which to attack from; top call. (3) D GS PESQUERO has been live in both starts since returning but couldn't fish out any cover last time and paid the price late; using. (8) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR has been racing well at Tioga and has blown up the tote on this circuit before. Don't sell this one short, especially if she is being ignored in the wagering.

Race 11

(3) LYONS LEVI LEWIS catches a field of mainly Ontario-sired colts and geldings that may be tuning up for some late season big money sires stakes. It wouldn't be a shock to see him get away with a soft first half here; top call. (7) PHYSICALLYINCLINED has put together a good season so far though lightly-raced. He may need this one but is capable for sure. (2) DRACHAN HANOVER won a similar race last week while tripped out on cover. He could repeat if he can work out a good trip.

Race 12

(3) HOLLYROCKER was impressive in winning a conditioned race in a field likely tougher than what she faces here; repeat likely. (7) ARTIAWITCHTOYOU rode the rail to victory down the lane last week and her tactical speed puts her in those advantageous spots frequently; contender. (5) MISCHIEVOUSGIRLS raced tough last week and should be on the ticket here. (2) LADY SPARTACUS will likely leave more alertly here from the inside which gives her a chance to hit the ticket. (1) LITTLE MISS SPORTY will be passing horses late and can get on the bottom end of vertical exotic wagers.

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