08/31/2016 3:43PM

Mohawk: Friday 9/2 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,5,6/3,5,7/2,4,7/1,3/6,7,8,9 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3/6,7,8,9/1,6,7/3,4,7 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 2,8,9/1,5/1,3,8/2 = $18

MEET STATS: 318 - 938 / $1654.70  BEST BETS: 52 - 87 / $166.60

SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 87 / $119.10

Best Bet: IMAGINE DRAGON (11th)

Spot Play: HOPE FOR PADDY (4th)

Race 1

(6) GOD FORBID N got hung the mile last week with the trainer driving. She picks up Miller and drops in class. Expect sharp improvement here. (5) GRACIES PARADE also gets class relief and her potent late kick should put her into the picture late vs. these. (3) AINSLEYNOELLE chased some hot fractions on the limb and understandably stopped. She could hit the board at a price here with an easier trip. (7) JORDIES HOPE is another mare to consider at a price for the lower exotics rungs.

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Race 2

(7) KATHY PARKER hasn't been near as good as she was last year, but her most recent start was better and now she adds Lasix here; call to upset. (5) EMOTICON HANOVER is having a stellar season and is clearly the filly to beat. (3) DOUBLE EXPOSURE was 2nd to the choice last time and she can follow along for a good share here, too. (8) ROYAL CHARM can hit the ticket at a price if she stays flat this time.

Race 3

(2) MACHIN A TRICK comes off a powerful win in this class last week; call to repeat. (7) LINDY BEACH came off a long break to destroy maidens and he is the other one that you need on your Pick 5 tickets. (4) THINK AGAIN improved sharply in his first start out of the Auciello barn. He is an exacta factor here. (10) VEGAS DREAM has a great in-the-money record but he likely won't get bet from out there. He could sneak into the Tri or Super at a price.

Race 4

(1) HOPE FOR PADDY - a drop-and-pop specialist - gets class relief and a good post to work with here; top call. (3) APPLE PIE ANGEL went a phenomenal trip on the engine last week to take a new life's mark. She's the one to beat and is likely to be odds-on. (4) REQUEST FOR PAROLE is an interesting entrant that could pepper the early pace and set the table for the choice. (7) REGALLY READY is likely to close from far back for a minor share here.

Race 5

(9) VERO AMORE BI was very impressive breaking his maiden last time in an OSS Gold event. It appears that Waples chose him over the other Alagna trainee here; slight nod in a contentious Grand Circuit dash. (7) INTERNATIONAL MONI has been perfectly prepped for this by a hot barn and would be no surprise in this spot. (6) KING OF THE HILL has the speed to contend and should be put into play early by Tetrick; using. (8) SIGNAL HILL raced much better last time on a wet track to break his maiden. These are tougher, but the $250K yearling buy may also be figuring things out now.

Race 6

(6) BEDROOMCONFESSIONS was an unlucky loser in the very last step after doing all of the work last week. Her consistency should be respected and she doesn't need the lead to win. (1) DELIGHTFUL HILL could topple the choice again here if she can work out another pocket trip. (7) STORM POINT is on a roll and the barn signaled intent at scratch time by listing Miller to drive; using. (3) WRANGLER MAGIC hasn't won in this class yet but she should take another share here.

Race 7

(4) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE was burned up in a third 1/4 pace duel last time now goes for a potent barn off the claim; top call. (3) JIMMY BE GOOD has ripped off four blowout wins in a row at Georgian and he is worth consideration here shipping in to go for a much bigger purse. (7) JENKINS CREEK drops back into a claimer where he should be dangerous. (8) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT should benefit from some quick early fractions and pass many of these late.

Race 8

(8) MISS TEZSLA has turned up her game in her past two starts and I would think Gingras will generate some speed early here to put her in a good spot near the front; slight nod. (9) CAPRICE HILL had no issue whatsoever with the outermost post last week. She's the one to beat. (2) FLOWERS N SONGS is in with an upset chance if she can get a good following spot near the front early. (6) WORLDCLASS HANOVER can pass a few late here and take a slice.

Race 9

(5) RUBIO should bounce back here after having his unbeaten skein broken in the Haughton when he was out the entire mile. (1) WHAT THE HILL beat the choice that day and is the obvious main rival here again. (8) MOUNTAIN OF LOVE is worth a look here going for a barn that has been on fire at this meet the past few weeks. (7) MASS PRODUCTION can contend for a smaller share getting back on the big track.

Race 10

(1) RIDE AWAY SHARK should push for position early, which makes all the difference for her chances. (3) P L HURRICANE has faced some very tough winners in her last four starts. She fits much better here and should be heard from. (8) KISS ME OR NOT has a history of racing well off breaks; consider. (6) TRUE REFLECTION picked up Tetrick at scratch time and she should be passing most of these in the second 1/2 for a small share.

Race 11

(2) IMAGINE DRAGON drops, moves inside and picks up Tetrick. Sharp improvement should be forthcoming here. (3) BET YA made a big move last time but was nailed by one coming from even farther back as the late pace collapsed. She can lay closer here from a better post and she should be a threat. (1) NINETTE B has been known to pop at a price here; don't discount. (5) NAUGHTY LADY B should repeat her last two trips where she takes a share off a following trip. (4) JUSTABIT MEAN is typically a fringe player that can hit the bottom rung of the exotics.

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