09/14/2016 2:42PM

Mohawk: Friday 9/16 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 1,6,/5,7,9/2,8,10/2,4,6/2,3,6 = $32.40

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,6/2,3,6/1,4,5,9/8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 5/1,2,5,7,10/2,4,5,6/6,8 = $40

MEET STATS: 346 - 1036 / $1785.50  BEST BETS: 57 - 95 / $179.40

SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 95 / $119.10

Best Bet: P L JERICO (8th)

Spot Play: DAYLINER (6th)

Race 1

(5) MAGICAL VALENTINE was a distant 2nd when starting from the 9-hole at Flamboro. But check her race two back. I'm expecting a much more aggressive approach in this Grassroots semi-final, and a win. (6) P L JILL has three sharp wins in her last five and broke in the other two starts. If she stays flat here, she should be a big threat. (1) WINDSONG MAGIC has got back into good form at the right time and she should be contentious here, possibly at a square price. (10) COULD IT BE MAGIC has won the last two times she has raced in the Grassroots. She is another that can contend at a price and there are sure to be some upsets in these races tonight.

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Race 2

(9) MUSCLES FOR LIFE comes into this race off a Grand Circuit win and he should be formidable vs. these Grassroots foes. (5) GOLDEN SON has won four of his last five starts in Grassroots company; respect his consistency. (7) MUSCLE AVE is getting hot at the right time and he can be raced effectively from on or off the pace; using. (4) GONNA FLY is another that is rarely far back at the wire that should make the ticket here.

Race 3

(10) FOREVER LIZA is the fastest filly in here and I'll give her top call despite the post. I would expect her to blast off the gate looking for position much closer to the front this time in this semi-final. (2) SELLING THE DREAM is sharp, gets a good post and an aggressive driver. She's a Pick 5 must-use. (8) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU got hooked up in an insane first 1/2 speed duel last week and paid a big price. She could clear these early and take them a long way. (7) GOLDEN IDOL adds Lasix and has some races that aren't on the program page that show she is fast enough to win this; consider at a price.

Race 4

(2) WINDSUN GLORY tried the best in North America last time and she wasn't disgraced. Check out her easy Grassroots wins two and three starts back; top call. (6) NOONE TO DEPEND ON should threaten from close range here and would be extra dangerous if she could secure a pocket ride. (4) FREE SHOW's Clinton line can be tossed as many break before the start there. She adds Lasix and her penultimate start puts her right there with these. (3) SPORTS EXPERT also adds Lasix and is worth a look as a possible live longshot.

Race 5

(3) MIGRATE BLUE CHIP qualified as fast or faster than most of these raced on September 9th. She looks ready to roll for a trainer that sends them ready. (2) MY OLD MASTER should leave better here which gives him a decent shot at notching his second lifetime win. (6) THINK AGAIN has improved his late speed in every start for Auciello since changing hands prior to his third start back. He will likely pop soon; beware. (5) SILVERADO is a good one to use in the lower exotics rungs.

Race 6

(1) DAYLINER hasn't been used much in her last couple of starts but she is capable of a quick brush - see June 14th's mile - and he could pop at a big price here; call to upset. (9) MAGICAL STEPH is a solid Grassroots performer that doesn't need a perfect trip to win; using. (4) PROFOUND PATIENCE has raced decently at Mohawk every time and she should be live here, probably at a square price. (5) MYRETIREMENTTICKET should be a pace threat but she is likely to be overhauled late by at least one of the three above.

Race 7

(8) KISS ME OR NOT had two tighteners, now she gets to drop in class. She does her best work up front and she should get sent by Drury here. (6) SOUTHWIND GEISHA comes off a break and also gets class relief. She is very capable in this class if she is ready. (3) KATIES BEACH went a big trip last week only to be nailed right on the money. You have to toss her in the Pick 4 off that sharp try. (1) MISS COCO LUCK is another that fits well in this class and she gets post relief also; using.

Race 8

(5) P L JERICO had a perfect tune-up vs. older foes last week, Expect a big effort here. (9) DYANAMIC EDGE is improving his overall speed in his recent starts and he can threaten here despite his post. (2) HOLIDAY PARTY will be there early, but may find it tough to hold some of these off in the lane. (3) GEORGIES POCKETS is one of the best closers in a speed-laden field but the time off could lead to his undoing here.

Race 9

(2) FLAHERTY was overtaken by a sharp - but tripped-out - winner last week but his form continues to improve as the final of the Grassroots draws near; slight nod. (7) ARSENIC is always tough in this class and tonight should be no different. (1) BETTOR MEMORIES has hit his best stride in the past month and is worth a look here starting from the inside with a hot driver at the controls. (10) ST LADS MOONWALK is one of the best in this division and he comes off a win from this post; don't discount.

Race 10

(4) SHOW TIME HILL adds Lasix coming off a sharp qualifier for the hottest barn on the grounds; top call. (2) DONTBRUISECARRIE should have lots of pace to chase here and she could trip out and pass some winded early leaders late here. (5) HEX brings some solid form back to Mohawk from the B tracks and she should be right there vs. these. (6) STYLISH BEACHWARE is another that is in with a shot in a contentious dash that's likely to be decided by trip and pace.

Race 11

(6) VOODOO CHARM comes off a good try vs. a mare that was dropping from the top class now she gets to drop another level. She makes her 2nd start for Moreau here and she should be tough. (8) IMAGINE DRAGON made a power move then held sway last week. She can contend here despite the move up. (10) LIGHTS GO OUT is back on a 7-day cycle and drops where she fits better. She can contend if she is sent for position early. (7) A PLUS should be sharper here returning in a week after beating lesser off a three-week break; using.

Race 12

(2) CONTINUAL HANOVER is razor-sharp right now and he gets post relief on his main rival (8) PIRANHA in what appears to be a two-horse race. Slight nod to the former. (1) TANGO STAR has been displaying improved late speed and he should get a solid pace to stalk here. (6) SPORTS AUTHORITY should be up with the leaders early and stick around for a slice. (3) BLAISE MM HANOVER will likely get some early competition for the lead which will make it tough for him to hang around late here.

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