09/09/2015 4:27PM

Mohawk: Friday 9/11 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

3,6/3,4,9/3,4,6/7,9 = $54

 

LATE PICK 4: 1,8/1/1,2,6/1,2,4,6 = $24

MEET STATS: 293 - 950 / $1620.90  BEST BETS: 40 - 85 / $131.20

SPOT PLAYS: 12 - 82 / $92.30

Best Bet: SOUTHWIND FRANK (2nd)

Spot Play: MOHONEYTELLSALL (7th)

Race 1

(7) LEAN HANOVER was victimized by a slow 2nd 1/4 in the Champlain but had good late trot to offer. He won't be held off much longer. (5) BROOKLYN HILL has finished 2nd three times straight to the division leader and is logical but may be overbet here. (1) DEEP IMPACT miscued early last time costing him all chance. Notice he closed in :26 3/5 once he got trotting in a good rhythm.

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Race 2

(3) SOUTHWIND FRANK continues to dominate and looks as though only gets beaten here if he breaks. (5) ADORED BY MASSES will likely get an aggressive steer from Filion here and is a good bet to grab the coveted garden spot early and complete the exacta if he can do so. (6) ZLATAN raced well against the choice last time showing speed both early and late. He should get a good slice of this.

Race 3

(8) LADY SHADOW has only lost once since being sold and will be tough to catch here if she clears early. (7) PRECOCIOUS BEAUTY unleashed a furious late rush last week to win from a very tough spot. She looked like her old self then and is dangerous here. (6) FITS WELL ships north in decent form and retains Miller. She should share.

Race 4

(3) LIGHTS GO OUT was literally flying in the final yards last week and now drops even further in class. Don't be shocked if she's on the lead by the 3/4 pole or even earlier here. (6) OCEANVIEW BINDI set some big fractions and bottomed out the field last week. A repeat would make her very tough here. (7) BRESCIA SEELSTER went a very tough trip and still saved 2nd behind the one above. She could better this placing but needs a better steer.

Race 5

(9) GRANA PADANNO inherited a win last time when a sure winner switched to pacing in front of him. That colt was much classier than any of these, though, and this Andover Hall gelding should be tough here. (3) MYSTERY BET got moved up to 2nd in the same race but has stayed sharp and seems to have cured his earlier gait issues; using. (4) TAROT was on a tear earlier this year and returns from a break with a quick qualifier in tow. He's another for this pick 4 ticket.

Race 6

(3) BEACH GAL notched her first win of 2015 three back then faced better. She fits here and will likely get a good pace to chase down. (4) INVEST IN ART set some wild fractions in The Simcoe and tired late. More careful rating here could get her home. (6) ARTISTIC MADISON got picked off late last time but has now hit her best stride and will get a win soon.

Race 7

(9) MYHONEYTELLSALL has faced much better the past two starts and could take this group at a square price if he leaves hard enough to get a contending spot early. (7) MAC RAIDER has faced some pretty good sophomores his past few starts and is another that can make some noise here at a price in a wide-open tilt. (3) RUSTYS OVERLOAD is logical to come on late for a share here.

Race 8

(8) MUSCLE BABY DOLL has been virtually flawless all year and although she faces what looks like her toughest test yet, she should be up to it. (1) WILD HONEY'S 14 for 21 record and $1.1 million in earnings speaks for itself. This should be a good tilt. (6) ELEGANT SERENITY is another that has come on and really excelled the past few weeks and could vault by late of the top two hook up in a second 1/2 duel.

Race 9

(1) MISSION BRIEF drew the much easier elimination - not that she needs any breaks - and should roll this group. (2) SPEAK TO ME has 6 slices from 9 starts and should trip out and complete this exacta. (4) MAGIC MARKER has a long trip at Pocono and should have better luck here from an inner post and grab a share.

Race 10

(6) DAZZLING ROCKETTE has some traffic issues in the stretch last week that likely cost her one placing. She looks tough here and should get an aggressive steer from Filion. (2) B SANTANNAS LOVE nosed the choice out for 2nd last time but notice the lone 2015 win. (1) C C CALLMEKELLY - who hasn't won in her last 82 starts and none since 2012 - attracted a claim last week by conditioner Pereira; interesting.

Race 11

(1) UNIQUE ROCK N ROLL has done okay vs. slightly better now moves inside from the 10-hole. Waples can trip this mare out here; top call. (4) MISCHIEVOUSGIRLS has really ratcheted up the speed the past two starts and looks like she is improving quickly; for a share. (6) ABBIJADE HANOVER took a major shuffle last week similar to August 13 which she followed with a win. She's another of many possibilities here.

Race 12

(2) VICTORIA SEMALU has Christoforou down as driver and he had great success with her prior to his injury. They can take these a long way. (4) LOTSA MATZAH converted a perfect trip to win in good time last week. She is a threat again but may not get the same trip. (8) RIDE AWAY SHARK was an unlucky loser last time to one that tripped out perfectly. The outer slot does her no favors here, however.

Race 13

(2) SHELLYSSILVERMOON closed a big gap late last time and gets the call to upset here in a field that looks like it has quite a bit of early speed signed on. (9) NAT A VIRGIN drops in class but is erratic enough to try to beat as the likely chalk. (3) WILDCAT HANNA raced well in this class last time and should be up for a share here. (8) BOAT HOUSE ROW set a strong pace then tired late vs. better. She could get hooked up with Nat A Virgin early here, though. (7) JUSTABITMEAN is an honest sort that always seems to be along late for a share.

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