08/03/2016 2:12PM

Mohawk: Friday 8/5 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 1,5/1,7,8/4,7/2,4,5/2,5,9 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,5/2,5,9/2,4,7/5,8 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 1,3,6/1,4,9/2,5,6/4 = $27

MEET STATS: 262 - 739 / $1408.20  BEST BETS: 43 - 69 / $139.40\

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 68 / $86.60

Best Bet: FOREVER LIZA (11th)

Spot Play: BIG TSUNAMI (4th)

Race 1

(1) BERNADETTE went a big trip in defeat last week, succumbing only late to a game and determined pocket sitter. She looks best here and she could get the card off to a chalky start. (5) MAXIM SEELSTER saves her best efforts for Grassroots races and she is sure to get put into play earlier here. (4) DIAMOND TESTED closed a big gap last time and she can hit the board here with an alert start. (8) SELLING THE DREAM has performed well in Grassroots company. She can close for a piece of this.

Race 2

(8) CHIEVOUS COLE trotted to a new life's mark last time and no doubt will be heading for the front looking for a repeat here; slight nod. (7) BLUSH AND CRUSH is also fresh off taking a new speed badge and she is dangerous here now that she has reached peak form. (1) ALL B OVER can threaten here if he stays flat this time. (2) MOONBEAM HALL can take a smaller share off a following trip.

Race 3

(4) LINDWOOD BEACH GIRL has been facing the best sophomore fillies in North America for several weeks. She should beat these despite missing some time. (7) LOVETHEWAYOULOOK set some wild fractions last time and still stuck around for 2nd. She looks like the only real threat to the choice here. (2) DONTBRUISECARRIE has been passing horses in each of her past three starts. She can close late for a small share here. (3) VOODOO CHARM is worth a look going for Auciello for the first time.

Race 4

(2) BIG TSUNAMI made a sustained bid racing very wide on the final turn last time but the pace picked up at that point and she could do no better than 4th. She can beat this group if Henry gets her motivated earlier. (4) DOCTOR TERROR and (5) DOCS HOLLYWOOD both figure with the class drop to the bottom conditioned level, but notice they are a combined 1 for 38 this year so far. (6) JUSTABIT MEAN finished ahead of the choice last time after roughing it on the rim. She isn't out of the equation here.

Race 5

(9) HP SISSY should get a much more aggressive steer here back in a Grassroots dash; call to upset. (5) WILD RIVER SWAN ships in and will take plenty of action debuting for Moreau; using. (2) BUTTERMILK HANOVER should be closer early with the move to a better post. She too has upset potential. (1) DOCS DIVA exits a very quick mile and fits much better here.

Race 6

(4) MYSTERY WRITER has been racing well and she never gets bet. She could offer huge Pick 4 value here. (7) MUCH ADOO should be tougher here returning to a 7-day cycle. She's the one to beat. (2) RIDE AWAY SHARK took a new life's mark last time when benefitting from a perfect trip sitting behind hot early fractions. She can win this, but is also likely to be way overbet this time. (6) KAYLA GRACE looks well-prepared for her return to action and she is another to consider for early Pick 4 tickets.

Race 7

(5) PARKLANE GLAMOROUS has been beaten by the same undefeated foe in her past two. She fits well here and gets a slight nod over (8) WINDSUN GLORY, who destroyed a similar group three starts back and projects to get a decent trip near the front here. (7) QUEENOFTHEJUNGLE has been consistent recently and should take a share here, at least. (4) GOLDEN IDOL has missed some time but she picks up a catch-driver again and can take a share.

Race 8

(6) STREAKAVANA motored to an impressive OSS Gold win in his second start after being sold privately but has now missed 2 1/2 weeks and no doubt has another Gold race on his upcoming schedule. He looks much the best on paper, but is hard to single, considering. (3) RODEO SPORTS fought back to win his debut in a gritty performance; using. (1) SOME ATTITUDE was flying late last week and isn't out of this. (2) HURRICANE BEACH looked like a winner at the head of the lane in his debut then tired. He can improve off that initial start.

Race 9

(1) BOURBON SEELSTER dug in late to reach up last week now she gets to move inside; top call. (4) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU is in sharp form and is the main threat to the choice here. She will likely be sent much harder off the gate this time. (9) MISS BABE DELIGHT left, took a shuffle, then closed well late. She is in with a chance here, likely at a square price. (10) DOCS SAUSALITO would look better if she didn't miss time and draw the 10-hole here; minor share predicted.

Race 10

(5) MAPLELEA should get a big boost from the smaller size of this field; on top. (6) DELIGHTFUL HILL comes in off a very sharp win. She should be a big threat here. (2) OUR HOT MAJORETTE drops, but she has now missed three weeks and is worth trying to beat as the probable chalk. (1) HOPE FOR PADDY - a “drop and pop” specialist - moves up here and will likely close late for a smaller share.

Race 11

(4) FOREVER LIZA rode perfect cover to a win last week, but she has been in great form racing on this track for several weeks. She's the one to beat. (6) TWIN B THONG fits well in Grassroots company and should be right there. (10) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE isn't without a shot here, but she will need to overcome the outer post. (2) DEWAR N SODA can ride an inside following trip to a small share here. (1) MATTJESTIC TEMPO has had a lean year in terms of wins but she is capable of taking a slice here.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Week-long coverage of Hambletonian Day + real-time insights & Live Video on Saturday from the DRF Harness team.]