08/24/2016 2:36PM

Mohawk: Friday 8/26 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 3,5/3,5,6/2,4,8,9/7,8/3,6,9 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 7,8/3,6,9/1,2,6,9/3 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 6,8,10/5/4,6/1,3,4,5,6 = $30

MEET STATS: 302 - 884 / $1573.80  BEST BETS: 52 - 82 / $166.60

SPOT PLAYS: 18 - 82 / $102.00

Best Bet: KATIE SAID (9th)

Spot Play: BIG TSUNAMI (11th)

Race 1

(5) MACHIN A TRICK easily beat similar two back and he should get put into play earlier here; top call. (3) MACH MESSIER was a good 2nd to a big favorite last time and he rates highly in this group. (1) ALWAYS ROCK N ROLL could get a trip similar to the one he got to win last time; using. (4) VEGAS DREAM was sharp in his August 19th qualifier and he should take a share here.

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Race 2

(3) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE fits this class like a glove and he should be tough in here. (6) LISVINNIE had some steering issues last week which took him out of the race. He isn't the soundest, but he gets Hudon back and he will likely roll him to the front on the backside like he did in his two wins earlier in the month here. (5) CALGARY SEELSTER has been facing better. He should be a threat from close range. (4) MACHAPELO looks likely to fill one of the minor slots here.

Race 3

(2) EMOTICON HANOVER faces some tough invaders here but she holds a post position advantage which may tip the scales in her favour. (4) HAUGHTY has taken a while to get going this year, but her most recent start signals she could be coming up to her first win of the year soon. (8) DOUBLE EXPOSURE and (9) SOUTHWIND PEARL are two obvious threats based on their recent company lines, but, the posts do them no favors here.

Race 4

(7) IMAGINE DRAGON fits a similar profile to a Lindy Farm entrant that jogged here on Tuesday night; top call. (8) APPLE PIE ANGEL is in the best form of her life and is the one to beat. (3) RIDE AWAY SHARK is also in sharp form and she will be a threat from close range here. (1) VICTORIA SEMALU could get a great following trip here and stick around for a big piece of the purse.

Race 5

(3) A ROD HALL seems to have rediscovered his potent closing kick. If he is kept in close enough range, he can mow these down late. (6) RENEGADE MAGIC was beaten by two good sophomores last time out. She fits well here. (9) CLASSIC VENTURE can be a threat here if he is put into play earlier in the mile. (5) MARQUIS VOLO drops following a poor comeback race but he may need another start or two before showing his best.

Race 6

(1) SHES LIGHTS OUT has been showing the signs recently and she faces easier here; slight nod in a race with several possibilities. (2) BRING ME DIAMONDS is another that can take this if she leaves hard for position near the front. (9) SELLING THE DREAM is in excellent form and is a Pick 4 factor but the post could be her undoing. (6) GLORIOUS DELIGHT should make the ticket here but she could be prepping for a sophomore stake, too.

Race 7

(3) WINDSUN REVENGE qualified faster than the rest of this field has been racing. He may have some things figured out now. (2) STAN THE MAN has been racing well and should be there at the finish here. (7) KINETIC KING qualified well for his return and he will be passing horses late. (10) SHOOT THE THRILL made a miraculous recovery last time to fall one stride short. Post 10 likely limits him to a minor share here.

Race 8

(10) CAPRICE HILL looks best here, but her drawing post 10 gives the others a fighting chance; slight nod. (6) SIDE BET HANOVER is the one to fear most and she could make things difficult for the choice early here. (8) FLOWERS N SONGS saves her best for the biggest races. She isn't out of this. (3) LOOKIN SHARP has a good win record and is another that is likely to show early speed here.

Race 9

(5) KATIE SAID is the class of this field and I would expect Miller to get her moving earlier than he has been vs. the top mares on the continent. (3) WRANGLER MAGIC has raced better on Lasix and she should be a good price here; exacta factor. (9) BEDROOMCONFESSIONS has been on a roll and should be a factor here despite the post. (6) SANDBETWEENURTOES will likely need this race after missing more than a month's action.

Race 10

(4) LUCK BE A LINDY flashed early speed from the 10-hole vs. better last time. She should be a major factor with the class and post relief here. (6) D GS PESQUERO also drops and should be given an aggressive steer here. (9) NAUGHTY LADY B is a good one to use on the bottom of exotic wagers at a price. (2) JUSTABIT MEAN should take a smaller slice off a following trip here.

Race 11

(5) BIG TSUNAMI has had some rough trips recently but shown determination down the lane. If she can find a good helmet to follow here, she could break through with her first 2016 win. (1) LEGAL PROCESS was in a tough spot first up vs. a strong leader last time at Georgian. She should be contentious here. (3) DONTBRUISECARRIE can share from a better post here and could beat these if she gets a spot near the front early. (4) DOCTOR TERROR drops back to the bottom level and should make the Super ticket, at a minimum. (6) CASE DISMISSED raced well at this level in July and merits a look here.

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